Shimmering-Town — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$417

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

2,086

Trades

3,686

lifetime

Volume

$46.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 214 days

Categories

Other

70% 67% -$458

Sports

16% 67% +$74

Crypto

11% 84% +$18

Tech

2% 80% -$62

Politics

1% 76% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	7	$788	400	650	-250	Yes	+$261	08-11 17:57
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	13	$677	362	462	-100	Yes	+$146	08-10 15:23
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	13	$675	408	408	-0	Yes	+$140	08-08 15:36
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	8	$612	260	510	-250	Yes	+$157	08-12 17:59
will anyone say pillow during big brother e2 20260709220215501	3	$543	417	417	+0	Yes	+$283	07-14 06:18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	9	$515	335	485	-150	Yes	+$50	08-14 15:39
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	10	$505	341	291	+50	Yes	+$12	08-23 14:01
Will MrBeast's next video get between 51 and 53 million views on day 3?	17	$458	240	240	+0	Yes	+$17	08-25 17:06
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	7	$416	227	227	+0	Yes	+$20	08-21 16:52
Will MrBeast's next video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 6?	3	$410	60	360	-300	Yes	+$10	08-14 17:43
Will MrBeast's next video get between 43 and 45 million views on day 2?	13	$386	241	221	+20	Yes	+$55	08-24 16:36
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	6	$383	367	567	-200	No	-$14	08-19 05:40
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week?	7	$378	205	205	+0	Yes	+$33	09-18 14:35
Will "Turning Point: Generation 9/11" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	17	$374	692	0	+692	Yes	-$374	09-08 16:21
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	7	$364	188	185	+3	Yes	+$2	07-19 20:40
Will Rick Devens be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 11)?	5	$346	230	200	+30	No	+$44	09-25 03:06
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	15	$319	690	150	+540	No	-$223	08-14 00:22
Will "Beauty in Black: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	9	$312	217	217	+0	Yes	+$114	09-07 18:23
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 74 million views on day 6?	1	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	08-14 14:03
will anyone say evict during big brother e10 20260720170408417	5	$290	311	0	+311	No	+$21	07-27 22:54
israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	15	$284	1,187	0	+1,187	No	-$284	06-07 20:46
will leavitt say alien during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953943 659	4	$282	152	152	+0	Yes	+$22	07-16 17:30
will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during events with turkish president 20260706181434503	4	$270	276	0	+276	No	+$6	07-08 04:16
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	3	$269	139	139	+0	Yes	+$9	08-29 19:43
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	8	$267	504	368	+136	No	-$179	06-23 06:59
will anyone say camera during big brother e14 20260803205833796	3	$256	260	0	+260	Yes	+$4	08-06 20:40
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	7	$255	124	176	-53	Yes	+$42	08-09 14:57
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	2	$249	250	0	+250	No	+$1	08-11 00:12
Will MrBeast's next video get between 43 and 45 million views on day 2?	3	$245	135	135	+0	Yes	+$25	08-10 16:38
will haley thogmartin be evicted in big brother season 28 week 8	1	$240	626	0	+626	Yes	+$386	08-30 03:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 16:43:44	Giants vs. Texans: 1H O/U 28.5	Under	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xea02a3…
10-25 16:43:38	Giants vs. Texans: 1H O/U 25.5	Under	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x118dcd…
10-25 16:43:08	Colts vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 28.5	Under	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xaa37f0…
10-25 16:42:54	Colts vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 25.5	Under	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x665e8e…
10-25 16:42:20	Browns vs. Titans: 1H O/U 28.5	Under	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xa47886…
10-25 16:42:11	Browns vs. Titans: 1H O/U 25.5	Under	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x706a76…
10-25 16:40:51	Buccaneers vs. Panthers: 1H O/U 28.5	Under	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x35df08…
10-25 16:40:45	Buccaneers vs. Panthers: 1H O/U 25.5	Under	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xc14fef…
10-25 16:40:15	Bengals vs. Ravens: 1H O/U 28.5	Under	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x4a457e…
10-25 16:40:06	Bengals vs. Ravens: 1H O/U 25.5	Under	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xbc5ed8…
10-25 16:32:36	Spread: Steelers (-5.5)	Saints	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xad8cd0…
10-25 16:11:32	Steelers vs. Saints	Steelers	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xb4bf34…
10-25 16:10:30	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Saints	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x109c16…
10-19 01:43:41	Packers 1H Team Total: O/U 12.5	Over	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc018a6…
10-19 01:20:00	Packers 1H Team Total: O/U 13.5	Over	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x2a803e…
10-19 00:43:47	1H Spread: Packers (-1.5)	Packers	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x30fb0a…
10-19 00:36:21	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x269684…
10-18 21:02:53	Will Josh Downs be the highest-scoring WR in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2ea61d…
10-18 21:02:44	Will Romeo Doubs be the highest-scoring WR in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8f28f2…
10-18 20:57:24	Will Drake Maye be the highest-scoring QB in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x784baa…
10-18 20:56:32	Will Jameis Winston be the highest-scoring QB in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x23e7d9…
10-18 20:56:24	Will Aaron Rodgers be the highest-scoring QB in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x20bafa…
10-18 20:56:12	Will Lamar Jackson be the highest-scoring QB in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf328a9…
10-17 17:36:59	Steelers vs. Buccaneers: 1H O/U 25.5	Under	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x85349d…
10-17 17:36:17	Panthers vs. Eagles: 1H O/U 25.5	Under	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x133577…
10-17 17:35:32	Ravens vs. Browns: 1H O/U 25.5	Under	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x4e4d9a…
10-17 17:34:57	Texans vs. Jaguars: 1H O/U 25.5	Under	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x37bb5c…
10-17 17:32:21	Rhamondre Stevenson: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5	Over	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xe33f13…
10-17 17:31:23	Cam Skattebo: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5	Over	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x5aa121…
10-17 17:30:59	Tyler Shough: Passing Yards O/U 249.5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x69f068…
10-17 17:16:05	Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5	Over	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x029f88…
10-17 15:45:20	Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5	Over	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x85b1d0…
10-17 15:42:57	Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5	Over	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xbd464f…
10-12 15:32:05	Will Marcus Mariota be the highest-scoring QB in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x41d980…
10-12 15:31:48	Will Carson Wentz be the highest-scoring QB in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x17f087…
10-12 15:31:30	Will Tyrod Taylor be the highest-scoring QB in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x77c9ff…
10-12 15:27:24	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdba22f…
10-11 22:43:24	Will Isaiah Likely be the highest-scoring TE in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0c3d71…
10-11 22:43:17	Will Isaiah Likely be the highest-scoring TE in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x6ab84d…
10-11 18:08:10	Will Brian Thomas Jr. be the highest-scoring WR in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x94aa35…
10-11 17:22:39	Vikings vs. Saints: O/U 35.5	Over	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xb04919…
10-11 17:21:22	Vikings vs. Saints: O/U 27.5	Under	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x1a5f74…
10-11 17:20:39	Browns vs. Jets: O/U 32.5	Over	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x140790…
10-11 17:19:55	Browns vs. Jets: O/U 22.5	Under	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xd375fe…
10-11 17:17:33	Bears vs. Packers: O/U 64.5	Over	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xa80d99…
10-11 17:17:10	Bears vs. Packers: O/U 54.5	Under	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xfb3363…
10-11 17:15:09	Texans vs. Titans: O/U 30.5	Over	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x8aabbc…
10-11 17:12:15	Texans vs. Titans: O/U 24.5	Under	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x791beb…
10-11 14:58:31	Will the Ravens vs Falcons game not air?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf8b654…
10-11 14:58:15	Will the Ravens vs Falcons game not air?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xb2750d…
10-11 14:20:03	Eagles vs. Jaguars: O/U 56.5	Over	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xffcb2e…
10-11 14:19:34	Eagles vs. Jaguars: O/U 50.5	Under	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x3092e8…
10-08 15:16:30	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 61.5	Over	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x9015db…
10-08 15:15:53	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 57.5	Under	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xa37796…
10-08 15:10:57	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 62.5	Over	BUY	25	15¢	$4	0x5aa307…
10-08 15:09:21	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5	Under	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x666d70…
10-08 06:50:08	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: 1H O/U 25.5	Under	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x41cc72…
10-06 00:27:13	Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 54.5	Under	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x5a75f9…
10-06 00:26:58	Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 60.5	Over	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x2cb198…
10-06 00:26:25	Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 54.5	Under	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x6957e9…
10-04 08:17:26	Cowboys vs. Texans: O/U 63.5	Over	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x542ebc…
10-04 08:16:58	Cowboys vs. Texans: O/U 55.5	Under	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xc53bf4…
10-04 08:15:40	Packers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 33.5	Over	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xc147c5…
10-04 08:15:16	Packers vs. Buccaneers: O/U 27.5	Under	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x284973…
10-04 08:13:22	Cardinals vs. Giants: O/U 34.5	Over	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x6dbfef…
10-04 08:13:05	Cardinals vs. Giants: O/U 32.5	Under	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0x8fdbd1…
10-04 08:12:02	Titans vs. Ravens: O/U 34.5	Over	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x7ae5a5…
10-04 08:11:49	Titans vs. Ravens: O/U 32.5	Under	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x97c620…
10-04 07:57:41	Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 61.5	Over	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x0fdc6c…
10-04 07:57:23	Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 55.5	Under	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xbf17e2…
10-02 00:34:24	Will anyone say "Sleep" during Big Brother E41?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xc36ff4…
10-02 00:33:30	Oilers vs. Canucks: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x69a063…
10-02 00:32:53	Panthers vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x7f8f46…
10-02 00:30:48	Blackhawks vs. Utah: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb998b4…
10-02 00:29:15	Kraken vs. Flames: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xff25f7…
10-02 00:28:09	Wild vs. Predators: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xcd1fb7…
10-02 00:10:42	Will anyone say "Veto" 5+ times during Big Brother E41?	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xef6234…
10-01 23:54:23	Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 34.5	Over	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x2d7835…
10-01 23:54:06	Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 28.5	Under	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x6b99c5…
10-01 14:19:27	Sabres vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x654ca7…
10-01 14:17:21	Lightning vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x20f6d0…
10-01 14:16:03	Flyers vs. Devils: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x67c09f…
10-01 02:36:06	nhl lak col 2026 09 30 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xcbe3b9…
10-01 00:43:53	nhl pit phi 2026 09 30 spread away 1pt5	Flyers	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x2c45db…
10-01 00:41:06	nhl pit phi 2026 09 30 spread away 1pt5	Flyers	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0358db…
10-01 00:30:47	nhl nyi tor 2026 09 30 spread home 2pt5	Maple Leafs	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x374269…
10-01 00:30:32	nhl nyi tor 2026 09 30 spread home 1pt5	Islanders	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb1afc1…
09-29 03:13:15	Will Jaylen Warren be the highest-scoring RB in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe65af8…
09-29 03:12:47	Will Jeremiyah Love be the highest-scoring RB in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x42d0e4…
09-28 16:46:03	Will Travis Etienne Jr. be the highest-scoring RB in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x0bccad…
09-28 16:45:53	Will Kyren Williams be the highest-scoring RB in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x503d3e…
09-28 10:00:09	Will Big Brother episode not air?	Yes	SELL	81	45¢	$36	0xdc616d…
09-28 04:52:00	Will Trey McBride be the highest-scoring TE in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x374f4d…
09-28 04:47:29	Will Tyler Warren be the highest-scoring TE in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x527a3d…
09-28 04:47:11	Will Dalton Kincaid be the highest-scoring TE in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x83e1ff…
09-28 04:46:38	Will Jake Ferguson be the highest-scoring TE in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2d7575…
09-28 04:46:23	Will Tucker Kraft be the highest-scoring TE in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x470f49…
09-28 04:45:11	Will Dallas Goedert be the highest-scoring TE in Week 3 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xf1a9ef…
09-28 03:32:21	Will Big Brother episode not air?	Yes	SELL	19	45¢	$9	0x5986f3…
09-27 20:45:59	Will the Washington Commanders be the last winless team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xca49f9…