Shimmering-Town — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$645

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved (90d)

448

Trades (90d)

805

3,729 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$17.0K

$46.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-10 02:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 219 days

Categories

Other

69% 67% -$452

Sports

16% 67% +$113

Crypto

11% 84% +$18

Tech

2% 80% -$62

Politics

1% 76% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will "Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of November 3 - November 10, 2026?	Yes		+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	11-07 16:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	7	$788	400	650	-250	Yes	+$261	08-11 17:57
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	13	$677	362	462	-100	Yes	+$146	08-10 15:23
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	13	$675	408	408	-0	Yes	+$140	08-08 15:36
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	8	$612	260	510	-250	Yes	+$157	08-12 17:59
will anyone say pillow during big brother e2 20260709220215501	3	$543	417	417	+0	Yes	+$283	07-14 06:18
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	9	$515	335	485	-150	Yes	+$50	08-14 15:39
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	10	$505	341	291	+50	Yes	+$12	08-23 14:01
Will MrBeast's next video get between 51 and 53 million views on day 3?	17	$458	240	240	+0	Yes	+$17	08-25 17:06
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	7	$416	227	227	+0	Yes	+$20	08-21 16:52
Will MrBeast's next video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 6?	3	$410	60	360	-300	Yes	+$10	08-14 17:43
Will MrBeast's next video get between 43 and 45 million views on day 2?	13	$386	241	221	+20	Yes	+$55	08-24 16:36
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	6	$383	367	567	-200	No	-$14	08-19 05:40
Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 US song this week?	7	$378	205	205	+0	Yes	+$33	09-18 14:35
Will "Turning Point: Generation 9/11" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	17	$374	692	0	+692	Yes	-$374	09-08 16:21
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	7	$364	188	185	+3	Yes	+$2	07-19 20:40
Will Rick Devens be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 11)?	5	$346	230	200	+30	No	+$44	09-25 03:06
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	15	$319	690	150	+540	No	-$223	08-14 00:22
Will "Beauty in Black: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	9	$312	217	217	+0	Yes	+$114	09-07 18:23
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 74 million views on day 6?	1	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	08-14 14:03
will anyone say evict during big brother e10 20260720170408417	5	$290	311	0	+311	No	+$21	07-27 22:54
israeli parliament dissolved by june 15	15	$284	1,187	0	+1,187	No	-$284	06-07 20:46
will leavitt say alien during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953943 659	4	$282	152	152	+0	Yes	+$22	07-16 17:30
will trump say million or billion or trillion 10 times during events with turkish president 20260706181434503	4	$270	276	0	+276	No	+$6	07-08 04:16
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	3	$269	139	139	+0	Yes	+$9	08-29 19:43
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	8	$267	504	368	+136	No	-$179	06-23 06:59
will anyone say camera during big brother e14 20260803205833796	3	$256	260	0	+260	Yes	+$4	08-06 20:40
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	7	$255	124	176	-53	Yes	+$42	08-09 14:57
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	2	$249	250	0	+250	No	+$1	08-11 00:12
Will MrBeast's next video get between 43 and 45 million views on day 2?	3	$245	135	135	+0	Yes	+$25	08-10 16:38
will haley thogmartin be evicted in big brother season 28 week 8	1	$240	626	0	+626	Yes	+$386	08-30 03:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 02:43:27	Bills vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 16.5	Under	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x1d7a57…
11-10 02:17:15	Bills vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 16.5	Under	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xea629a…
11-09 23:35:37	Nuggets vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0xbdf314…
11-09 23:34:16	Pelicans vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x73ab51…
11-09 23:33:16	Cavaliers vs. Hornets	Cavaliers	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x5bfa42…
11-09 23:32:54	Cavaliers vs. Hornets	Cavaliers	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x1c73e7…
11-09 17:30:54	Illinois State Redbirds vs. Purdue Boilermakers	Purdue Boilermakers	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xa5e662…
11-09 06:16:22	Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Cincinnati Bearcats	Cincinnati Bearcats	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x72e2cb…
11-09 06:15:19	USC Upstate Spartans vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x846528…
11-09 06:14:46	Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Columbia Lions	Columbia Lions	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x102ba6…
11-09 06:14:22	Cleveland State Vikings vs. Bowling Green Falcons	Bowling Green Falcons	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xa8f1b7…
11-09 06:11:55	Wizards vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x614583…
11-09 06:11:34	Nuggets vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x1a13be…
11-09 06:11:19	Pelicans vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x275775…
11-09 06:10:49	Wizards vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x861077…
11-08 22:46:15	Heat vs. Kings	Heat	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xeda345…
11-08 22:44:49	Bears 1H Team Total: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x16abb3…
11-08 16:13:33	Chiefs 1H Team Total: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x386c90…
11-08 16:12:45	Giants 1H Team Total: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x82dac5…
11-08 16:10:33	UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriors	Hawaii Rainbow Warriors	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x2bfd1f…
11-08 16:09:55	Rider Broncs vs. Binghamton Bearcats	Binghamton Bearcats	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x6f64e5…
11-08 16:08:52	Norfolk State Spartans vs. William & Mary Tribe	William & Mary Tribe	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x319031…
11-08 15:55:43	Heat vs. Kings	Heat	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x246611…
11-08 15:55:00	76ers vs. Bulls	76ers	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc5f537…
11-08 15:51:07	Nets vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x5c4b58…
11-08 04:01:31	Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xda50ba…
11-08 03:26:51	Portland State Vikings vs. Seattle Redhawks	Seattle Redhawks	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xb393a0…
11-08 03:25:45	Sacramento State Hornets vs. Santa Clara Broncos	Santa Clara Broncos	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x5d3405…
11-08 03:22:30	Michigan State vs. Michigan	Michigan	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7ceb25…
11-08 03:21:18	West Virginia vs. Texas Tech	Texas Tech	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x1c41ca…
11-08 03:19:52	Liberty vs. New Mexico State	Liberty	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x81427c…
11-08 02:59:24	Nets vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x846c99…
11-08 02:59:09	Jazz vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x290fb5…
11-08 02:58:18	Celtics vs. Bucks	Celtics	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xa9a58d…
11-08 02:56:27	Magic vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x5f0cc6…
11-08 02:42:39	Wizards vs. Thunder	Thunder	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x13fd5a…
11-08 01:32:33	Wizards vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x7bcc36…
11-08 00:49:10	Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x2f9b07…
11-08 00:48:30	Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5	Over	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x1ebdb6…
11-08 00:48:19	Brock Purdy: Rushing Yards O/U 14.5	Over	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x03324e…
11-08 00:46:49	Baker Mayfield: Passing Yards O/U 149.5	Under	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc41fcc…
11-08 00:46:16	Bryce Young: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x623d6e…
11-08 00:43:25	Jahmyr Gibbs: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x1f9813…
11-08 00:41:46	Caleb Williams: Passing Completions O/U 21.5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd943a9…
11-08 00:41:39	Caleb Williams: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5	Over	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd2288c…
11-07 16:34:09	Will "Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of November 3 - November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5b0584…
11-03 00:41:40	Bears vs. Seahawks: O/U 60.5	Under	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x0fa913…
10-25 16:43:44	Giants vs. Texans: 1H O/U 28.5	Under	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xea02a3…
10-25 16:43:38	Giants vs. Texans: 1H O/U 25.5	Under	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x118dcd…
10-25 16:43:08	Colts vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 28.5	Under	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xaa37f0…
10-25 16:42:54	Colts vs. Vikings: 1H O/U 25.5	Under	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x665e8e…
10-25 16:42:20	Browns vs. Titans: 1H O/U 28.5	Under	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xa47886…
10-25 16:42:11	Browns vs. Titans: 1H O/U 25.5	Under	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x706a76…
10-25 16:40:51	Buccaneers vs. Panthers: 1H O/U 28.5	Under	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x35df08…
10-25 16:40:45	Buccaneers vs. Panthers: 1H O/U 25.5	Under	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xc14fef…
10-25 16:40:15	Bengals vs. Ravens: 1H O/U 28.5	Under	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x4a457e…
10-25 16:40:06	Bengals vs. Ravens: 1H O/U 25.5	Under	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xbc5ed8…
10-25 16:32:36	Spread: Steelers (-5.5)	Saints	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xad8cd0…
10-25 16:11:32	Steelers vs. Saints	Steelers	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xb4bf34…
10-25 16:10:30	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Saints	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x109c16…
10-19 01:43:41	Packers 1H Team Total: O/U 12.5	Over	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc018a6…
10-19 01:20:00	Packers 1H Team Total: O/U 13.5	Over	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x2a803e…
10-19 00:43:47	1H Spread: Packers (-1.5)	Packers	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x30fb0a…
10-19 00:36:21	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x269684…
10-18 21:02:53	Will Josh Downs be the highest-scoring WR in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2ea61d…
10-18 21:02:44	Will Romeo Doubs be the highest-scoring WR in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8f28f2…
10-18 20:57:24	Will Drake Maye be the highest-scoring QB in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x784baa…
10-18 20:56:32	Will Jameis Winston be the highest-scoring QB in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x23e7d9…
10-18 20:56:24	Will Aaron Rodgers be the highest-scoring QB in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x20bafa…
10-18 20:56:12	Will Lamar Jackson be the highest-scoring QB in Week 6 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf328a9…
10-17 17:36:59	Steelers vs. Buccaneers: 1H O/U 25.5	Under	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x85349d…
10-17 17:36:17	Panthers vs. Eagles: 1H O/U 25.5	Under	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x133577…
10-17 17:35:32	Ravens vs. Browns: 1H O/U 25.5	Under	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x4e4d9a…
10-17 17:34:57	Texans vs. Jaguars: 1H O/U 25.5	Under	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x37bb5c…
10-17 17:32:21	Rhamondre Stevenson: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5	Over	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xe33f13…
10-17 17:31:23	Cam Skattebo: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5	Over	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x5aa121…
10-17 17:30:59	Tyler Shough: Passing Yards O/U 249.5	Over	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x69f068…
10-17 17:16:05	Luther Burden III: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5	Over	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x029f88…
10-17 15:45:20	Christian Watson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5	Over	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x85b1d0…
10-17 15:42:57	Drake London: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5	Over	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xbd464f…
10-12 15:32:05	Will Marcus Mariota be the highest-scoring QB in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x41d980…
10-12 15:31:48	Will Carson Wentz be the highest-scoring QB in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x17f087…
10-12 15:31:30	Will Tyrod Taylor be the highest-scoring QB in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x77c9ff…
10-12 15:27:24	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdba22f…
10-11 22:43:24	Will Isaiah Likely be the highest-scoring TE in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0c3d71…
10-11 22:43:17	Will Isaiah Likely be the highest-scoring TE in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	Yes	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x6ab84d…
10-11 18:08:10	Will Brian Thomas Jr. be the highest-scoring WR in Week 5 of the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x94aa35…
10-11 17:22:39	Vikings vs. Saints: O/U 35.5	Over	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xb04919…
10-11 17:21:22	Vikings vs. Saints: O/U 27.5	Under	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x1a5f74…
10-11 17:20:39	Browns vs. Jets: O/U 32.5	Over	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x140790…
10-11 17:19:55	Browns vs. Jets: O/U 22.5	Under	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xd375fe…
10-11 17:17:33	Bears vs. Packers: O/U 64.5	Over	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xa80d99…
10-11 17:17:10	Bears vs. Packers: O/U 54.5	Under	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xfb3363…
10-11 17:15:09	Texans vs. Titans: O/U 30.5	Over	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x8aabbc…
10-11 17:12:15	Texans vs. Titans: O/U 24.5	Under	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x791beb…
10-11 14:58:31	Will the Ravens vs Falcons game not air?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xf8b654…
10-11 14:58:15	Will the Ravens vs Falcons game not air?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xb2750d…
10-11 14:20:03	Eagles vs. Jaguars: O/U 56.5	Over	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xffcb2e…
10-11 14:19:34	Eagles vs. Jaguars: O/U 50.5	Under	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x3092e8…
10-08 15:16:30	Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: O/U 61.5	Over	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x9015db…