Improbable-Hire — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$227

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

3 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$626

$626 lifetime

Avg / trade

$209

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-05 13:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

79% — —

Sports

21% 100% +$227

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	1	$495	0	2,019	-2,019	open	—	05-05 13:32
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	1	$102	300	0	+300	Seattle Mariners	+$198	05-05 03:21
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	1	$29	0	45	-45	Chicago Cubs	+$29	05-05 03:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 13:32:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	2,019	25¢	$495	0x4e55fa…
05-05 03:21:28	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0x070df7…
05-05 03:04:50	Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs	Cincinnati Reds	SELL	45	65¢	$29	0x1cd105…