Accomplished-Put — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$186

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

Trades

141

lifetime

Volume

$6.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$102

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-14 19:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

50% 56% +$19

Politics

30% 64% -$309

Sports

14% 50% +$118

Tech

3% 50% -$3

Crypto

3% 33% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	No		+117	$94	87¢	$102	+$8	09-14 19:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	4	$610	312	312	+0	Yes	+$8	04-07 23:30
will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	2	$442	250	250	+0	No	+$42	07-31 10:58
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$404	962	962	+0	Yes	+$148	07-19 15:26
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 31 2026 112	2	$314	159	159	+0	Yes	+$2	04-01 13:39
Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	1	$300	314	0	+314	Yes	+$14	07-28 11:26
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	2	$290	427	0	+427	Yes	-$290	08-02 07:47
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	3	$268	143	143	+0	open	—	06-17 10:41
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$267	137	137	+0	No	+$6	03-31 16:44
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	2	$235	149	149	+0	No	+$53	08-28 11:25
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$229	128	128	+0	No	+$26	05-07 09:52
spx opens up or down on march 30 2026	3	$228	171	70	+101	Up	-$1	03-30 12:31
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	4	$209	281	0	+281	No	-$33	04-01 15:05
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	3	$209	206	206	+0	Yes	+$69	07-22 08:47
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	2	$186	96	96	+0	Yes	+$2	09-14 19:01
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	2	$164	101	101	+0	open	—	08-27 10:29
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$133	176	176	+0	No	-$123	04-28 06:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	1	$126	131	0	+131	No	+$5	05-07 21:16
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693 459	2	$124	116	116	+0	Yes	+$24	07-22 08:45
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	6	$120	180	61	+119	Yes	-$29	03-04 20:10
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$113	63	63	+0	No	+$13	04-01 05:24
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	2	$109	59	59	+0	Yes	+$9	03-08 21:22
will iran strike israel on march 6	2	$107	72	72	+0	No	+$7	03-08 13:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$98	53	53	+0	No	+$2	04-18 12:10
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	1	$94	117	0	+117	open	—	09-14 19:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$85	48	48	+0	No	+$2	04-18 12:10
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	3	$82	44	44	+0	Yes	+$2	04-07 22:58
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$69	43	43	+0	No	+$9	03-26 15:48
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	1	$65	79	0	+79	Yes	+$14	04-18 12:12
will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	1	$60	140	0	+140	Yes	-$60	07-23 10:46
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$60	53	53	+0	No	+$10	03-09 16:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 19:02:43	Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	No	BUY	117	81¢	$94	0x396d24…
09-14 19:01:51	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	96	98¢	$94	0x045270…
09-08 09:16:30	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	96	96¢	$92	0x2eb484…
09-07 08:45:19	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0x570b91…
09-04 17:27:07	Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xb49210…
08-28 11:25:54	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	SELL	149	97¢	$144	0xc64e74…
08-27 10:38:40	Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?	No	BUY	149	61¢	$91	0xf5093a…
08-27 10:29:49	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	SELL	101	88¢	$89	0xd5e50a…
08-02 07:47:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	209	43¢	$90	0x696be7…
07-31 18:31:23	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	101	75¢	$75	0x9b8568…
07-31 18:15:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0xe4f0d7…
07-31 10:59:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xcda6f2…
07-31 10:58:57	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	143	5¢	$7	0xf7bf57…
07-31 10:58:27	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	No	SELL	250	97¢	$242	0x264cfa…
07-31 08:15:05	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	111	10¢	$11	0x481245…
07-31 05:02:30	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x08cd1d…
07-30 16:46:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x85741b…
07-30 16:29:06	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026 from july 29	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0xc1def9…
07-28 11:26:32	Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?	Yes	BUY	314	95¢	$300	0xfbe070…
07-23 10:57:22	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x5ba201…
07-23 10:46:52	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0xad7347…
07-23 10:46:27	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	140	43¢	$60	0x353384…
07-22 08:47:57	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	81	67¢	$55	0xdacb76…
07-22 08:47:37	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	125	68¢	$85	0x8ad089…
07-22 08:45:57	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693 459	No	SELL	116	64¢	$74	0xf05700…
07-21 05:28:13	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	No	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xd6a141…
07-20 09:49:12	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	206	34¢	$70	0x7ac759…
07-19 21:46:36	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	386	0¢	$0	0xb5b247…
07-19 20:58:24	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	386	2¢	$7	0xe747cb…
07-19 15:26:22	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	17	59¢	$10	0x2e33cc…
07-16 13:47:34	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	173	58¢	$100	0xa6de93…
07-14 12:49:08	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	772	21¢	$165	0xcb3980…
06-17 11:00:19	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	962	13¢	$128	0x7a2225…
06-17 10:41:37	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	143	96¢	$137	0x802bfd…
05-09 14:28:29	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	34	92¢	$31	0x489c1c…
05-09 14:28:21	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x6782e7…
05-07 21:16:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	131	96¢	$126	0x37ac6f…
05-07 09:52:14	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0xf69906…
04-28 06:13:00	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	176	3¢	$5	0x6091ac…
04-18 12:13:08	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	51	55¢	$28	0x1f4f62…
04-18 12:12:56	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	79	82¢	$65	0xfd68cd…
04-18 12:10:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0x696e85…
04-18 12:10:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	48	91¢	$43	0x46b576…
04-16 05:03:32	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	128	79¢	$101	0xda2661…
04-07 23:32:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0x2d3f08…
04-07 23:31:29	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x6b91e0…
04-07 23:31:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	48	87¢	$42	0x0ee3da…
04-07 23:30:21	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	189	100¢	$188	0x527173…
04-07 23:02:15	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	189	98¢	$185	0xe7ff4e…
04-07 22:58:23	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	44	94¢	$42	0x195e1d…
04-07 22:58:15	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	123	98¢	$121	0x31c0ca…
04-07 22:58:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0xba107d…
04-07 22:46:21	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	123	94¢	$116	0x19e171…
04-07 22:40:21	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	34	90¢	$30	0xeba9d9…
04-07 22:37:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xe67eb4…
04-07 22:34:31	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa65798…
04-07 22:33:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x23eb4d…
04-01 15:05:51	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	176	99¢	$174	0xe937dd…
04-01 13:39:49	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 31 2026 112	Yes	SELL	159	100¢	$158	0xa9fbaf…
04-01 05:27:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xacbe44…
04-01 05:26:35	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 31 2026 112	Yes	BUY	159	98¢	$156	0x3f322c…
04-01 05:24:15	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x3001ff…
03-31 21:41:49	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,625	0¢	$2	0x877367…
03-31 16:47:09	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	63	80¢	$50	0x0d5688…
03-31 16:44:53	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0xfc0106…
03-31 06:40:35	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	227	2¢	$5	0xc6f6b8…
03-31 06:39:57	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	137	95¢	$131	0x850564…
03-30 16:31:23	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	31	96¢	$29	0x96abbd…
03-30 12:31:08	spx opens up or down on march 30 2026	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9f1d94…
03-30 11:48:28	spx opens up or down on march 30 2026	Up	SELL	70	90¢	$63	0x05395f…
03-30 11:47:30	spx opens up or down on march 30 2026	Up	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0xf805a5…
03-26 15:49:07	Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,625	2¢	$39	0xfd417b…
03-26 15:48:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	43	89¢	$39	0x68aea9…
03-24 09:54:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x158507…
03-23 18:45:11	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xb578ca…
03-23 16:14:35	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	SELL	599	0¢	$2	0xd11e74…
03-23 15:06:23	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	526	2¢	$10	0x28a991…
03-17 11:42:35	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xfe3d4d…
03-17 08:34:39	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x6e098e…
03-16 10:02:23	spx opens up or down on march 16 2026	Down	SELL	27	22¢	$6	0x6c41ea…
03-16 07:01:11	spx opens up or down on march 16 2026	Down	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x1e56c1…
03-15 21:44:41	atp medvede sinner 2026 03 15	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xb48af4…
03-15 14:56:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb2185f…
03-15 14:50:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x980bc7…
03-15 14:47:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x775897…
03-15 14:45:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe7a007…
03-15 14:42:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x346823…
03-15 12:54:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 12:50 UTC	Up	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0x3f8365…
03-15 12:54:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x098d33…
03-11 11:41:47	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x87b64e…
03-11 10:30:29	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0xf0b13c…
03-11 09:41:19	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x4ddbfb…
03-10 22:48:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x9eca8a…
03-10 06:15:09	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0x724847…
03-09 16:42:23	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	53	65¢	$35	0x3a7c59…
03-08 23:07:07	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x0fb04c…
03-08 21:22:21	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x2e4132…
03-08 20:38:01	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	Yes	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xe3605a…
03-08 13:38:21	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xf55d5a…
03-08 13:37:39	will iran strike israel on march 6	No	SELL	72	78¢	$57	0x272d59…