Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.7%

Resolved

Trades

436

lifetime

Volume

$578

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 08-11 21:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

64% 40% +$3

Politics

18% 100% +$1

Tech

9% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Pop-Culture

3% 100% +$3

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?	4	$18	22	22	+0	open	—	04-16 14:10
Will Nate and Cassie marry in Euphoria: Season 3?	5	$18	21	21	+0	open	—	04-15 13:56
alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	2	$16	22	22	+0	open	—	08-08 08:31
US bank failure by May 31?	3	$15	21	16	+5	open	—	05-01 16:30
spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	2	$15	22	22	+0	open	—	06-13 15:37
will msci downgrade indonesia to frontier market status by november 30 20260625205132272	5	$13	44	22	+22	open	—	08-11 01:22
trumprx launched by february 28 2026	2	$13	20	20	+0	open	—	01-27 09:23
will iran strike gulf oil facilities by march 31	5	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	03-02 10:42
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	8	$12	32	32	+0	open	—	05-05 14:15
left wing wave in french mayoral elections	5	$11	16	16	+0	open	—	03-22 19:47
Will Kanye tweet again by May 31?	2	$10	22	22	+0	Yes	+$3	05-04 08:07
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	3	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	03-04 17:54
california tax spend audit proposition	2	$9	14	14	+0	open	—	07-31 12:50
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	3	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	03-05 18:47
spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	2	$9	22	22	+0	open	—	06-09 17:20
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by february 28	7	$9	14	14	+0	open	—	01-22 20:43
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	03-11 14:04
spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	3	$8	22	22	+0	open	—	06-11 06:49
will russia enter ternuvate by february 28	6	$8	19	19	+0	open	—	01-29 10:03
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?	2	$8	20	20	+0	No	+$4	01-28 15:55
ssi announces it has achieved ssi by december 31 20260811190054539	2	$8	22	22	+0	open	—	08-12 04:00
penguin listed on binance by march 31	4	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	01-25 04:05
iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	1	$7	0	11	-11	open	—	06-17 18:55
FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?	8	$6	23	21	+1	open	—	05-12 05:32
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	04-11 07:32
will russia capture all of ternuvate by february 28 2026	5	$6	20	20	+0	open	—	01-31 12:18
will russia enter stinky by march 31	3	$5	12	12	+0	open	—	02-25 19:13
will futures the real me debut nopt1 on billboard 200 20260624161928894	2	$5	49	0	+49	open	—	06-26 04:22
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-02 00:04
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	2	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	01-14 19:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 04:00:34	ssi announces it has achieved ssi by december 31 20260811190054539	Yes	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0x0b5b99…
08-11 21:10:16	ssi announces it has achieved ssi by december 31 20260811190054539	Yes	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0xd72c04…
08-11 01:22:21	will msci downgrade indonesia to frontier market status by november 30 20260625205132272	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x5903f1…
08-09 06:19:12	will msci downgrade indonesia to frontier market status by november 30 20260625205132272	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$3	0x4eaead…
08-09 06:15:15	will msci downgrade indonesia to frontier market status by november 30 20260625205132272	Yes	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x1813d6…
08-08 08:31:15	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	SELL	22	63¢	$14	0x3b923c…
08-08 02:58:01	sachsen anhalt parliamentary election turnout up or down 20260806110617592	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x224285…
08-07 07:16:24	will afd win an absolute majority of seats in mecklenburg vorpommern 20260806103954025	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xdcc5d4…
08-06 20:08:50	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x3fe61f…
08-05 14:15:08	will the loser of the michigan democratic senate primary endorse the winner by august 31 20260803145642550	No	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0xfca3c6…
08-03 14:26:23	todd blanche nomination withdrawn by august 31 20260731141647591	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x84bdd7…
08-03 03:56:48	todd blanche nomination withdrawn by august 31 20260731141647591	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x26c77b…
08-01 23:27:18	Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0xcc5e44…
08-01 23:27:11	Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?	Yes	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x983182…
07-31 12:50:29	california tax spend audit proposition	Yes	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x90b948…
07-30 20:56:14	Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?	No	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xcefdfa…
07-29 18:14:05	megaquake by august 31 20260729155103111	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4bcfae…
07-22 14:59:42	colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers 20260717184712607	No	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x826c95…
07-20 23:58:16	will israel election happen as scheduled 20260720204824362	No	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x637496…
07-20 22:57:51	will argentina make peter thiel a citizen by december 31	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x08d7cd…
07-19 12:17:22	ekrem imamolu released from custody in 2026	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0xe853bd…
07-19 12:15:55	will turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026	Yes	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0x6cbca9…
07-02 13:53:31	california tax spend audit proposition	Yes	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0xd3366a…
07-02 12:31:02	tom kean jrptout as us rep before term ends 20260701205956589	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0xca29b8…
07-02 09:15:41	will the catholic church publicly excommunicate anyone in 2026 20260630195252800	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xdfda4a…
07-01 11:03:17	fda approves corcept therapeutics relacorilant 07 11 2026	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x963504…
07-01 10:50:07	fda approves daiichi sankyo astrazeneca enhertu 07 07 2026	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x24ae60…
07-01 04:08:13	will msci downgrade indonesia to frontier market status by november 30 20260625205132272	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x1fd827…
06-30 22:55:02	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x9b9535…
06-26 21:32:34	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x36f2fd…
06-26 19:40:34	will msci downgrade indonesia to frontier market status by november 30 20260625205132272	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x98495b…
06-26 04:22:31	will futures the real me debut nopt1 on billboard 200 20260624161928894	No	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0x4a87a6…
06-25 13:50:59	NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)	Labour	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xca6e23…
06-25 12:22:11	will futures the real me debut nopt1 on billboard 200 20260624161928894	No	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x28e9b4…
06-25 11:11:56	will the powerball jackpot hit 1 billion by july 31	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x145ae1…
06-24 09:05:41	nicusor dan out as president of romania in 2026 20260622232316805	Yes	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0xbbdd77…
06-23 07:36:20	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x29ac46…
06-18 23:53:46	will an artwork sell for 150 million by december 31	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xb9fe06…
06-18 14:01:38	will scotus let drug users own guns 20260615190653355	No	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0x4f2060…
06-17 18:55:11	iran x oman strait of hormuz agreement by june 15	Yes	SELL	11	59¢	$7	0x690960…
06-17 13:53:22	will kevin olearys utah data center project break ground in 2026 20260615145357221	Yes	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x0732b4…
06-13 15:37:42	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Down	SELL	22	48¢	$11	0xbeb9b7…
06-11 16:02:49	will trump announce an acquisition of part of the chagos islands before 2027 20260609184517049	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x9264c5…
06-11 11:56:30	will spotify reach 1 billion total users in 2026 20260610215643543	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7f41c0…
06-11 06:49:33	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0xd59365…
06-10 03:56:37	flavio bolsonaro charged or arrested by september 30 20260609144215531	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x7d8864…
06-09 17:20:18	spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	Down	SELL	22	25¢	$6	0xd51921…
06-09 16:00:15	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x79f389…
06-09 13:12:15	spacex ipo officially added to nasdaq 100 in 2026 20260608205014294	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xf2d2c6…
06-09 13:03:13	spacex ipo open price above ipo price 20260608141838202	No	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0xc07767…
06-09 12:56:15	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0xbe8259…
06-09 11:17:39	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Down	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x748925…
06-09 10:43:43	spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	Down	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x1ed201…
06-06 17:40:06	will russia enter stavky by june 30	Yes	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0xc8617a…
06-04 21:47:10	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	No	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xc2d78c…
06-04 19:16:16	joe rogan confirmed 60 minutes correspondent by june 30	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0xc51133…
06-03 21:51:10	will an artwork sell for 150 million by december 31	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x274076…
05-31 11:04:51	Will Charli XCX release a new original album by July 31?	No	SELL	13	27¢	$4	0x8f65ff…
05-31 08:09:00	Chud the Builder convicted?	No	SELL	7	61¢	$4	0x0778c3…
05-30 12:58:24	Will Argentina make Peter Thiel a citizen by December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0xc6ff75…
05-28 21:54:57	E. Jean Carroll arrested by June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0x8accf8…
05-28 19:59:43	Trump on $250 bill this year?	Yes	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x9c9692…
05-14 21:54:51	Will Drake release a surprise album?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xf84e81…
05-12 05:32:13	FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?	No	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0x702960…
05-11 22:50:36	US Kamikaze Dolphins confirmed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x6c3816…
05-11 14:54:41	FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?	No	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xb6dacc…
05-07 04:59:26	FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?	No	SELL	6	24¢	$2	0x6305ba…
05-06 23:21:42	FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?	No	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x06b106…
05-05 14:28:32	US bank failure by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0xfa7ae3…
05-05 14:15:04	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0xa2485c…
05-05 06:22:50	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x677423…
05-04 23:24:18	Will Nate and Cassie get divorced in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x7d7421…
05-04 21:17:26	Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x2aa167…
05-04 21:17:22	US bank failure by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xd15593…
05-04 21:17:22	US bank failure by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x9b520a…
05-04 21:02:04	US bank failure by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x07fd12…
05-04 19:47:04	US bank failure by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xf2fd4c…
05-04 08:07:42	Will Kanye tweet again by May 31?	No	SELL	22	29¢	$6	0xfeaeb8…
05-04 03:47:46	Will Kanye tweet again by May 31?	No	BUY	22	17¢	$4	0x20b42a…
05-02 00:04:22	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$4	0x62a324…
05-01 16:30:52	US bank failure by May 31?	Yes	SELL	16	77¢	$12	0xb0acca…
05-01 15:23:14	US bank failure by May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x151d3d…
05-01 04:23:48	US bank failure by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x723562…
04-30 20:40:42	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc66ddf…
04-30 20:39:36	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xe547ae…
04-30 19:23:10	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0x0849d6…
04-30 13:22:02	FDA approves argenx's Vyvgart?	No	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x4fbd25…
04-30 07:26:04	FDA approves argenx's Vyvgart?	No	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x01d002…
04-30 07:10:14	FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?	No	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0x72bb21…
04-30 02:52:18	FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x1b7b80…
04-30 01:34:26	FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xcdd2bc…
04-30 01:20:20	FDA approves Daiichi Sankyo & AstraZeneca's Enhertu?	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x4f4eb2…
04-29 00:23:48	Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x08765d…
04-29 00:03:04	Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x903164…
04-28 09:39:32	Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x1053d5…
04-27 19:16:48	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xe62b3b…
04-21 19:56:48	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x2f6d01…
04-18 16:14:28	FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?	No	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x19ae63…
04-17 21:12:34	FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xffdff0…
04-16 15:45:20	Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x0515ab…