Icy-Tart — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$385

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$36

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 06-08 22:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 0% $-5

Politics

20% — —

Tech

17% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	No		+26	$20	80¢	$21	+$1	06-08 22:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		-16	$-15	94¢	$-15	$-1	06-08 20:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$47	27	27	+0	open	—	04-12 22:44
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	4	$47	31	31	+0	open	—	05-06 19:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$47	27	27	+0	open	—	04-25 20:45
will elon musk testify against altman	2	$45	26	26	+0	open	—	04-28 20:03
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	2	$32	18	18	+0	open	—	04-24 15:09
will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by at least 20	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	04-20 00:09
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$25	19	19	+0	open	—	04-12 22:47
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	05-08 01:24
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	06-08 22:03
Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?	1	$18	23	0	+23	open	—	05-03 13:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$15	0	16	-16	open	—	06-08 20:11
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	1	$10	16	0	+16	No	$-10	05-03 14:19
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-05 11:29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-26 20:46
Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	1	$5	57	0	+57	No	$-5	05-08 23:04
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	04-28 17:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 22:03:12	Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xae1d5f…
06-08 20:11:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	16	90¢	$15	0x91ea00…
05-08 23:04:29	Will Reform UK win at least 1600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	57	9¢	$5	0x0efb29…
05-08 01:24:29	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x820676…
05-06 19:10:56	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	82¢	$12	0x633515…
05-05 11:29:04	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x7392d0…
05-03 14:19:40	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x89c538…
05-03 14:19:06	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0xab38ca…
05-03 13:24:12	Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?	Yes	BUY	23	80¢	$18	0x2d3b16…
04-28 20:03:14	will elon musk testify against altman	Yes	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0xe8b39f…
04-28 17:01:56	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x338d25…
04-28 16:59:02	will elon musk testify against altman	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xfeac63…
04-26 20:46:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x76af52…
04-25 20:46:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x6cb9aa…
04-25 20:45:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xfdac23…
04-24 15:09:46	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0xbea1bf…
04-21 10:58:00	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x8f8723…
04-20 00:09:00	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by at least 20	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$20	0xf2b6a6…
04-19 16:40:10	will progressive bulgaria pb win the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election by at least 20	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x62e193…
04-18 17:02:34	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x4d1220…
04-18 03:16:26	Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x109911…
04-17 14:29:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x1c0155…
04-15 20:38:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xe0567d…
04-12 22:47:45	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	19	94¢	$18	0xa27c27…
04-12 22:44:59	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x94957d…
04-12 14:39:15	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0xce2f58…
04-11 18:13:29	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xd03aa8…