(anonymous) 0xbcdc65…15e5b1
new 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$32
Unrealized P&L
+$4.46K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
672
lifetime
Volume
$97.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$144
Open exposure
$47.4K
18 positions
First seen
2026-10-23
last 10-26 22:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
63% 100% +$32
Other
37% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 432 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +19,890 $18,250 98¢ $19.6K +$1,341 10-25 01:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +10,000 $7,229 100¢ $10.0K +$2,721 10-26 20:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +5,797 $5,087 96¢ $5.6K +$507 10-26 13:39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +2,870 $2,672 93¢ $2.7K -$2 10-26 20:11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +2,110 $1,983 94¢ $2.0K +$11 10-26 18:35
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? Yes +1,484 $1,250 82¢ $1.2K -$33 10-26 17:46
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? No +1,251 $1,163 94¢ $1.2K +$10 10-26 16:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +1,600 $1,143 70¢ $1.1K -$15 10-26 16:31
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +1,080 $1,013 95¢ $1.0K +$15 10-26 14:10
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +1,200 $833 62¢ $738 -$95 10-26 14:44
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +600 $422 84¢ $507 +$85 10-26 19:24
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +550 $506 92¢ $503 -$3 10-26 17:39
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +542 $453 86¢ $469 +$16 10-26 16:40
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +637 $439 57¢ $363 -$76 10-26 19:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +300 $216 72¢ $214 -$2 10-26 19:54
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +314 $204 64¢ $202 -$2 10-26 11:05
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +160 $109 68¢ $110 +$1 10-26 22:49
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +0 $19 100¢ $0 -$19 10-26 22:20