Fixed-Multimedia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

76.4%

Resolved

Trades

122

lifetime

Volume

$357

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$52

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 07-07 19:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

33% 100% +$2

Crypto

29% 100% +$1

Other

27% — —

Sports

11% 50% +$7

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No		+98	$50	50¢	$50	$-0	07-10 21:41
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No		-5	$-2	60¢	$-3	$-0	07-05 21:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$50	98	0	+98	open	—	07-10 21:41
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	01-15 10:21
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	2	$22	27	27	+0	open	—	01-21 16:49
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	3	$21	203	203	+0	open	—	03-04 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	5	$19	27	9	+18	open	—	05-23 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$16	37	23	+14	open	—	05-17 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$16	137	0	+137	open	—	05-23 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	05-17 21:34
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	2	$13	33	0	+33	open	—	05-20 16:07
iran strike on israel by february 28	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	02-28 08:20
will trump say think about during meeting with netanyahu	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	02-09 18:03
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$10	21	21	+0	Yes	+$2	03-03 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	6	$9	16	7	+10	open	—	05-23 10:54
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	2	$8	28	0	+28	open	—	03-04 15:57
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	02-28 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$6	171	0	+171	open	—	05-17 21:06
will trump say trump during the board of peace charter announcement	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	01-21 16:58
will trump declare war on iran by february 28 2026	1	$6	46	0	+46	open	—	02-28 08:22
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$6	257	0	+257	open	—	01-23 07:55
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	1	$6	22	0	+22	open	—	01-13 20:22
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$5	53	53	+0	open	—	05-07 12:51
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	05-20 15:39
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$5	143	0	+143	open	—	02-09 17:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	05-20 15:36
ufc gsteve eli10 2026 07 11	1	$5	51	0	+51	open	—	07-10 21:44
Will Trump say "Friendship" during Chinese State Banquet?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-13 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-17 21:44
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	07-05 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$5	39	3	+37	open	—	05-17 21:39
O/U 3.5 Rounds	1	$4	9	0	+9	Over	+$5	05-08 20:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 21:48:08	ufc bra6 lon 2026 07 11	Brandon Royval	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x259aa3…
07-10 21:45:23	ufc cod1 adr 2026 07 11	Cody Garbrandt	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x85ffa5…
07-10 21:44:55	ufc gsteve eli10 2026 07 11	Elisha Ellison	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x57c08b…
07-10 21:44:25	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Nikita Krylov	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x31cc75…
07-10 21:44:04	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4b85d6…
07-10 21:43:26	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 go the distance	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xc646e5…
07-10 21:41:56	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x504ca2…
07-07 19:14:31	ufc kam dri 2026 07 18	Kamaru Usman	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xaf13db…
07-07 19:13:40	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Paddy Pimblett	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x1b0c80…
07-07 19:13:29	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x083333…
07-05 21:09:10	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$2	0x824c33…
07-05 21:09:04	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x8adac2…
06-06 11:00:40	anthropic openai vs microsoft higher valuation on december 31	Anthropic + OpenAI	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x32b2f5…
05-23 11:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7ef056…
05-23 11:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe91cf6…
05-23 11:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0xe9ffb1…
05-23 11:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0xc52df8…
05-23 10:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd991c9…
05-23 10:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6185c2…
05-23 10:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0x046a5c…
05-23 10:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x879269…
05-23 10:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x494608…
05-23 10:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6be544…
05-23 10:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x4dad7a…
05-23 10:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9c5a13…
05-23 10:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2cbbd8…
05-23 10:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd44cff…
05-23 10:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc7e932…
05-23 10:46:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x2422c3…
05-20 16:07:21	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xea73f7…
05-20 16:02:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf94212…
05-20 16:02:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xd3c7b9…
05-20 15:57:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9c7366…
05-20 15:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xecef7e…
05-20 15:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x884e2a…
05-20 15:46:07	Will Trump say "Bunker" in May?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x89f8aa…
05-20 15:39:10	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x59d018…
05-20 15:36:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x066978…
05-20 15:36:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xf96d3b…
05-20 15:36:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xaae65d…
05-20 15:36:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	No	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x3e26d7…
05-19 11:20:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1d5310…
05-19 11:18:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x459e79…
05-17 22:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x19b5ae…
05-17 21:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa96a07…
05-17 21:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0445b7…
05-17 21:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xda1278…
05-17 21:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8803df…
05-17 21:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9a102a…
05-17 21:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	23	30¢	$7	0x2c7a17…
05-17 21:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x8a32a7…
05-17 21:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0xee2509…
05-17 21:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x00ae13…
05-17 21:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x0f551f…
05-17 21:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3ddead…
05-17 21:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf51807…
05-17 21:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xec1e44…
05-17 21:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x98ed68…
05-17 21:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xe43f82…
05-17 21:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe558bf…
05-17 21:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x60e990…
05-17 21:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x134a61…
05-17 21:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x41dfff…
05-17 21:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xb54803…
05-13 05:07:41	Will Trump say "Friendship" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x70468d…
05-13 05:06:24	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x77e0c3…
05-13 05:03:13	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xf818f6…
05-09 07:29:17	UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)	Ateba Gautier	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x35aea9…
05-09 07:28:36	UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)	Ozzy Diaz	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x59f687…
05-08 20:39:48	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe8fe3e…
05-08 20:38:31	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Joaquin Buckley	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xffed70…
05-08 20:37:47	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Joshua Van	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xaa30d1…
05-08 20:37:21	O/U 3.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xde040e…
05-07 12:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x3daa71…
05-07 12:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3826c4…
05-07 12:55:50	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x323a3d…
05-07 12:51:43	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$0	0xec8904…
03-04 15:57:39	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x7282ed…
03-04 15:57:21	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	Yes	SELL	102	2¢	$2	0x6e0262…
03-03 18:49:27	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	Yes	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x1548fe…
03-03 18:49:05	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	Yes	SELL	102	6¢	$6	0xfb3bc7…
03-03 18:48:35	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 4 546	Yes	BUY	203	6¢	$13	0x8bd610…
03-03 18:47:37	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	21	27¢	$6	0x5567cf…
02-28 08:22:23	will trump declare war on iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0x3da3f9…
02-28 08:20:15	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x18153e…
02-28 06:30:45	iran strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x0ad456…
02-28 06:28:37	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0x636235…
02-23 17:03:44	will trump say peanut during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x49b9f8…
02-23 17:01:00	will the uk join the board of peace	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xd1a979…
02-23 17:00:54	will france join the board of peace	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xed1f81…
02-23 16:56:10	btc updown 5m 1771865700	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xfaeb71…
02-22 04:59:12	elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 0 39	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xb361de…
02-22 04:56:58	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xf2d2a0…
02-22 04:55:58	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x84a364…
02-22 04:54:32	ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	Strickland	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdd6972…
02-09 18:13:29	ethereum above 2500 on february 10	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7abb77…
02-09 18:13:07	ethereum above 2600 on february 10	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x39fbf7…
02-09 18:12:57	ethereum above 2700 on february 10	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5016ff…
02-09 18:03:41	will trump say think about during meeting with netanyahu	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1a920a…
02-09 18:00:51	will the bad bunny apple music super bowl halftime show video get between 70 and 80 million views on day 1	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x282f8c…