Direct-Dinner — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$20.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$276

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 10-08 06:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

80% 70% -$146

Politics

19% 67% -$2

Sports

1% 100% +$148

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	2	$949	482	482	+0	No	+$1	05-09 06:52
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	2	$932	501	501	+0	No	+$0	06-04 05:47
Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)	5	$861	616	265	+351	ACF Fiorentina	-$5	04-26 06:27
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	2	$855	462	462	+0	open	—	06-03 08:21
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	3	$835	431	431	+0	No	+$1	05-11 08:59
US military draft authorized in 2026?	2	$807	441	441	+0	open	—	05-29 05:16
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	2	$795	421	421	+0	No	+$5	06-02 05:58
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	2	$742	389	389	+0	No	+$0	08-13 07:22
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?	2	$722	399	399	+0	No	+$4	05-31 06:34
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?	3	$721	414	414	+0	open	—	05-05 05:27
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	4	$701	379	379	+0	No	-$4	06-06 07:58
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	2	$696	371	371	+0	open	—	08-13 09:24
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	2	$679	360	350	+10	No	-$2	05-10 07:39
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$673	341	341	+0	No	+$2	04-25 06:50
Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)	1	$660	668	0	+668	Aston Villa FC	+$8	05-10 08:01
us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	3	$659	364	364	+0	No	-$4	06-30 05:31
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	2	$655	352	352	+0	No	+$0	05-30 06:34
Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	1	$644	662	0	+662	RB Leipzig	+$18	05-09 07:39
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	2	$615	316	316	+0	No	+$2	05-09 01:33
lol koia ucam1 2026 06 04 game1 both teams slay baron	1	$466	512	0	+512	No	+$46	06-04 05:50
Spread: Albania (-2.5)	1	$444	467	0	+467	Israel	+$23	06-03 08:24
Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)	1	$417	429	0	+429	Al Ahli Saudi Club	+$12	05-11 11:44
Spread: Ghana (-1.5)	1	$404	440	0	+440	Wales	+$36	06-02 06:43
Spread: Dinamo 1948 (-2.5)	1	$402	428	0	+428	FCSB	+$26	05-29 05:19
Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)	1	$363	399	0	+399	BK Hacken	+$36	05-31 06:37
Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)	1	$356	383	0	+383	Shandong Taishan FC	-$356	05-05 06:51
Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)	1	$353	367	0	+367	Beşiktaş JK	+$14	04-27 08:47
Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)	1	$349	371	0	+371	Denmark	+$22	06-07 05:21
dota2 vpp balu 2026 06 08 game1 both teams destroy barracks	1	$339	372	0	+372	Yes	-$339	06-08 06:03
Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5)	1	$337	359	0	+359	Eyüpspor	+$22	04-25 06:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 06:37:32	Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb25c08…
09-29 03:41:03	Greece x Turkey military engagement by December 31?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xa3fd70…
08-13 09:24:42	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	SELL	371	94¢	$348	0x271717…
08-13 07:28:04	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	BUY	371	94¢	$348	0x12c877…
08-13 07:22:55	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	No	SELL	389	95¢	$371	0x08e6f0…
08-13 06:25:15	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	No	BUY	389	95¢	$371	0x09b6b5…
06-30 05:31:53	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	161	90¢	$145	0x08dace…
06-30 05:31:52	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	203	90¢	$183	0xc7890b…
06-30 03:10:52	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	364	91¢	$331	0x9f42d8…
06-08 06:03:24	dota2 vpp balu 2026 06 08 game1 both teams destroy barracks	No	BUY	372	91¢	$339	0xa87b9a…
06-07 05:21:55	Spread: Ukraine (-1.5)	Denmark	BUY	371	94¢	$349	0xf86583…
06-06 07:58:54	Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	356	92¢	$327	0x2613b8…
06-06 07:58:48	Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	14	92¢	$12	0x7cfb5d…
06-06 07:58:45	Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xe0d27b…
06-06 05:45:16	Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?	No	BUY	379	93¢	$352	0x4bb363…
06-04 05:50:03	lol koia ucam1 2026 06 04 game1 both teams slay baron	No	BUY	512	91¢	$466	0xab6a43…
06-04 05:47:25	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	501	93¢	$466	0xf1f6ea…
06-04 02:32:07	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	501	93¢	$466	0xe60210…
06-03 08:24:10	Spread: Albania (-2.5)	Israel	BUY	467	95¢	$444	0xa25d2a…
06-03 08:21:13	Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	462	93¢	$430	0x238f12…
06-03 06:56:03	Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	462	92¢	$425	0xba5d71…
06-02 06:43:10	Spread: Ghana (-1.5)	Wales	BUY	440	92¢	$404	0xe526a0…
06-02 05:58:10	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	No	SELL	421	95¢	$400	0x5e2b09…
06-02 03:14:15	Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?	No	BUY	421	94¢	$395	0xbb8db2…
05-31 06:37:44	Spread: Hammarby IF (-2.5)	BK Hacken	BUY	399	91¢	$363	0xd54f30…
05-31 06:34:34	Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?	No	SELL	399	91¢	$363	0x12fecf…
05-31 04:40:26	Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?	No	BUY	399	90¢	$359	0x46bbc3…
05-30 06:38:50	Spread: AD Ceuta FC (-2.5)	Albacete Balompié	BUY	360	91¢	$328	0xcd11b0…
05-30 06:34:43	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	No	SELL	352	93¢	$327	0xc12eed…
05-30 02:04:22	U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?	No	BUY	352	93¢	$327	0x1e1198…
05-29 05:19:43	Spread: Dinamo 1948 (-2.5)	FCSB	BUY	428	94¢	$402	0x6ee936…
05-29 05:16:36	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	SELL	441	91¢	$401	0x3201e5…
05-29 02:12:16	US military draft authorized in 2026?	No	BUY	441	92¢	$406	0xf6c4be…
05-28 06:17:55	Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0xbbac6d…
05-28 06:17:53	Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Yes	BUY	392	5¢	$20	0x12a1de…
05-11 11:44:33	Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ahli Saudi Club	BUY	429	97¢	$417	0x4fa4f4…
05-11 08:59:09	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	421	97¢	$408	0x236d39…
05-11 08:58:21	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x130557…
05-11 06:48:29	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	431	97¢	$417	0x78211f…
05-10 08:01:09	Spread: Burnley FC (-2.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	668	99¢	$660	0xf87ff0…
05-10 07:39:02	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	SELL	350	95¢	$334	0x432099…
05-10 05:49:06	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	BUY	360	96¢	$345	0x1964e6…
05-09 07:39:13	Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	RB Leipzig	BUY	662	97¢	$644	0xb72843…
05-09 06:52:33	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	482	98¢	$475	0x95285f…
05-09 05:06:25	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	482	98¢	$474	0x88d27c…
05-09 01:33:30	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	316	98¢	$308	0x979c20…
05-07 06:55:45	Spread: ZED FC (-1.5)	Haras El Hodood SC	BUY	336	95¢	$320	0x3ce763…
05-07 02:11:36	Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	316	97¢	$307	0xc03af8…
05-06 09:03:42	Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)	Beijing Guoan FC	BUY	306	99¢	$302	0xab88d1…
05-06 07:29:22	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	720	2¢	$17	0xb30f14…
05-06 05:59:30	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	380	2¢	$9	0x60b296…
05-06 05:59:26	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	340	2¢	$8	0x40b35e…
05-05 06:51:20	Spread: Shandong Taishan FC (-2.5)	Shanghai Shenhua FC	BUY	383	93¢	$356	0xc57d4f…
05-05 05:27:42	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?	No	SELL	404	86¢	$348	0x49f528…
05-05 05:03:40	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?	No	BUY	414	88¢	$365	0xed7503…
04-27 08:47:14	Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5)	Beşiktaş JK	BUY	367	96¢	$353	0xe5f5eb…
04-26 06:27:24	Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	351	99¢	$346	0xf1e8e9…
04-26 06:27:02	Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x9862c3…
04-26 06:26:38	Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	SELL	265	95¢	$252	0x151956…
04-26 06:26:28	Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0xebfe94…
04-26 06:26:28	Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-2.5)	ACF Fiorentina	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x789de7…
04-25 06:53:24	Spread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5)	Eyüpspor	BUY	359	94¢	$337	0xfe12e1…
04-25 06:50:26	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	323	99¢	$320	0xa4fb9e…
04-25 06:50:10	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xc19def…
04-25 02:03:34	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	341	98¢	$336	0xd88c3b…
03-17 07:06:55	val gdr xc 2026 03 17	Gods Reign	BUY	280	82¢	$230	0x3dfb5f…
03-16 05:56:19	dota2 l1ga nemiga 2026 03 16	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0x3fba7a…
03-16 05:56:17	dota2 l1ga nemiga 2026 03 16	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	310	22¢	$68	0x40b836…
03-13 07:21:35	mlb min tor 2026 03 13	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	380	61¢	$232	0x35959e…
03-12 12:13:37	lol ve bw 2026 03 12	Bushido Wildcats	BUY	240	88¢	$211	0xf584b7…
03-11 07:11:43	atp cecchin kopp 2026 03 11	Sandro Kopp	BUY	38	36¢	$14	0xdfa313…
03-11 07:10:49	atp cecchin kopp 2026 03 11	Sandro Kopp	BUY	300	35¢	$105	0xa7e829…
03-11 07:10:47	atp cecchin kopp 2026 03 11	Sandro Kopp	BUY	252	35¢	$88	0xd2587d…