Realized P&L
+$5.99K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.60K
Hit rate
97.8%
Resolved
7
Trades
369
lifetime
Volume
$200.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$542
Open exposure
$24.3K
8 positions
First seen
2026-09-14
last 10-27 04:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
55% 100% +$7,234
Politics
45% 50% -$1,246
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +13,028 $11,582 92¢ $12.1K +$469 10-27 04:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +10,421 $9,355 96¢ $10.1K +$701 10-26 01:33
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,908 $1,212 57¢ $1.1K -$115 10-02 21:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +600 $372 66¢ $399 +$27 10-25 07:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +1,000 $350 39¢ $390 +$40 10-25 05:59
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +300 $276 92¢ $274 -$2 10-21 03:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +0 -$464 100¢ $0 +$464 10-27 04:01
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +0 -$15 66¢ $0 +$15 10-21 21:37