Realized P&L
+$6.45K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.39K
Hit rate
98.3%
Resolved
8
Trades
379
lifetime
Volume
$203.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$537
Open exposure
$28.0K
10 positions
First seen
2026-09-14
last 10-27 20:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
54% 100% +$7,234
Politics
45% 60% -$782
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +13,028 $11,582 94¢ $12.3K +$730 10-27 04:14
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +10,421 $9,355 98¢ $10.2K +$858 10-26 01:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +5,000 $1,950 36¢ $1.8K -$125 10-27 20:34
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +1,990 $1,371 72¢ $1.4K +$71 10-27 19:01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,908 $1,212 56¢ $1.1K -$134 10-02 21:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +1,000 $550 52¢ $525 -$25 10-27 20:35
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +300 $276 92¢ $274 -$2 10-21 03:00
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +250 $225 90¢ $226 +$1 10-27 20:36
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +449 $153 34¢ $150 -$2 10-27 11:21
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +0 -$15 66¢ $0 +$15 10-21 21:37