Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$3.49K

Unrealized P&L

-$783

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

433 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$291.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$673

Open exposure

$429

1 position

First seen

2026-09-14

last 11-04 01:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

62% 62% -$19,838

Other

38% 100% +$7,807

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes		+1,908	$1,212	22¢	$429	-$783	10-02 21:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	44	$62.4K	33,595	33,595	+0	open	—	09-15 20:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	25	$51.9K	27,508	27,508	+0	Yes	+$2,692	11-04 01:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	37	$35.4K	18,608	17,128	+1,481	Yes	+$319	10-26 01:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	42	$23.8K	12,192	12,192	+0	Yes	+$464	10-27 04:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	11	$19.7K	10,421	10,421	+0	Yes	+$952	10-28 15:56
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	49	$18.6K	17,943	6,627	+11,316	No	+$3,375	10-22 00:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	12	$18.2K	20,229	0	+20,229	No	-$18,171	11-02 22:12
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	51	$16.1K	16,499	4,282	+12,217	Yes	+$3,799	10-22 01:21
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	14	$11.2K	9,618	5,637	+3,981	No	-$2,808	11-02 21:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	8	$8.1K	4,176	4,176	+0	Yes	+$218	11-04 01:29
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	23	$6.1K	3,459	3,459	+0	Yes	+$573	10-25 07:07
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	30	$5.9K	3,662	3,662	+0	open	—	10-13 14:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	10	$5.0K	5,097	0	+5,097	Yes	+$114	10-12 03:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	11	$1.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$1,950	10-27 20:34
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	13	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$15	10-21 21:37
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	18	$1.2K	1,908	0	+1,908	open	—	10-02 21:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$10	11-02 10:08
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$1.0K	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	-$1,019	10-26 00:49
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	20	$662	791	791	-0	No	-$660	10-26 01:48
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$561	300	300	+0	Yes	+$9	11-02 16:45
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	3	$454	250	250	+0	No	+$4	11-02 23:59
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$440	500	0	+500	Yes	+$60	09-15 21:27
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$278	449	449	+0	No	-$27	11-02 01:03
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	2	$234	200	200	+0	open	—	10-13 18:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 01:30:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	6,693	100¢	$6,659	0xcff214…
11-04 01:29:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	3,599	100¢	$3,581	0x5f570e…
11-04 01:28:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xd72b40…
11-04 01:28:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,564	100¢	$1,557	0xdd96be…
11-03 04:47:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	414	85¢	$351	0x9032c8…
11-03 04:46:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	80	85¢	$68	0x2bc1dd…
11-03 04:46:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5,468	87¢	$4,766	0xf6642f…
11-03 04:45:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,333	85¢	$1,132	0xbddaa3…
11-03 04:36:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	153	78¢	$119	0x58f0ba…
11-03 04:36:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	111	78¢	$86	0x1d6f97…
11-03 04:36:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	78¢	$19	0x40c244…
11-03 04:36:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	696	78¢	$540	0xbe0e16…
11-02 23:59:18	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	150	92¢	$137	0xcccb8f…
11-02 23:59:12	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xf6f1bf…
11-02 22:12:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	384	87¢	$334	0x441bdf…
11-02 21:37:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	219	96¢	$210	0x19e56e…
11-02 21:36:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	359	96¢	$344	0xb3e632…
11-02 21:22:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x8c077e…
11-02 21:22:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	SELL	5,635	74¢	$4,170	0xf8fb35…
11-02 18:54:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	118	92¢	$109	0x759690…
11-02 18:51:55	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xa455bd…
11-02 18:46:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x7802c4…
11-02 18:34:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xdc194a…
11-02 18:32:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	1,744	92¢	$1,605	0x5aa37a…
11-02 16:45:13	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0x836c53…
11-02 10:08:28	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	SELL	1,000	56¢	$560	0xed9412…
11-02 01:03:00	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	449	28¢	$126	0x5e15a8…
11-02 01:01:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	3,439	92¢	$3,164	0x2e64a3…
11-01 17:45:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	702	97¢	$678	0xdc5569…
11-01 17:11:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	98	97¢	$94	0x422340…
11-01 15:26:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	2,000	75¢	$1,500	0x3f142a…
11-01 14:07:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	5,479	91¢	$4,986	0x979871…
11-01 13:14:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	13,378	99¢	$13,271	0x5d7d03…
11-01 13:00:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xf2eebd…
11-01 12:56:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	3,918	90¢	$3,526	0xb68ec7…
11-01 12:24:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	3,649	99¢	$3,620	0x5c5792…
11-01 12:14:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	1,440	89¢	$1,282	0xd36169…
11-01 12:14:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	2,075	99¢	$2,057	0x798030…
11-01 12:14:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x1f341a…
11-01 00:51:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	199	94¢	$187	0xd72324…
11-01 00:36:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	199	94¢	$187	0xb33da2…
10-31 21:38:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	3,268	85¢	$2,778	0xc8834e…
10-31 21:38:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	2,978	93¢	$2,770	0xe0289f…
10-29 01:17:02	us x iran ceasefire continues through november 4	Yes	BUY	300	87¢	$261	0xd34a36…
10-28 20:52:49	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2,200	96¢	$2,116	0x72f834…
10-28 18:19:37	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	5,393	73¢	$3,937	0x810db6…
10-28 18:19:22	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x269d7c…
10-28 18:15:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x674bcb…
10-28 18:15:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x8737a9…
10-28 16:48:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	228	73¢	$166	0x5e66ba…
10-28 16:35:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	4,000	96¢	$3,840	0x67fed0…
10-28 15:56:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	10,409	99¢	$10,294	0xe3b32f…
10-28 15:40:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xad73c0…
10-28 14:56:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x625667…
10-27 20:36:54	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	250	90¢	$225	0x2cb774…
10-27 20:35:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	55¢	$550	0x3eae4c…
10-27 20:34:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	3,000	40¢	$1,200	0x93f478…
10-27 20:32:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	40¢	$400	0x2a66cb…
10-27 19:01:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0x9fef8b…
10-27 19:01:47	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	0	72¢	$0	0xdde2fd…
10-27 18:43:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	255	72¢	$184	0xfaf6bc…
10-27 12:22:44	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	72¢	$720	0x2eda81…
10-27 12:22:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	135	71¢	$96	0x679770…
10-27 11:21:09	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	449	34¢	$153	0xd51031…
10-27 04:14:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	8,797	91¢	$8,005	0x4daedf…
10-27 04:01:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	749	100¢	$748	0x77584e…
10-27 04:01:50	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xabb492…
10-27 04:01:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x1585b6…
10-27 04:01:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xcb16c3…
10-27 04:01:12	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb6fcb3…
10-27 03:54:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd1a9df…
10-27 03:54:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xd1236a…
10-27 03:53:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9e5584…
10-27 03:53:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xea1ce3…
10-27 03:52:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	5,182	100¢	$5,172	0x86c197…
10-26 01:48:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	791	0¢	$1	0xea26b9…
10-26 01:33:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	2,200	89¢	$1,958	0x3788c4…
10-26 01:32:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1,348	88¢	$1,187	0x407116…
10-26 01:31:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	3,500	99¢	$3,468	0x26ba9e…
10-26 01:31:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	2,542	99¢	$2,513	0x076a4a…
10-26 01:29:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,480	100¢	$1,478	0x750034…
10-26 00:49:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1,300	0¢	$1	0x5f2f08…
10-25 21:28:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	3,987	100¢	$3,983	0x9c3014…
10-25 21:24:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc1d084…
10-25 19:49:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	2,743	92¢	$2,523	0xa6b5a9…
10-25 19:34:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	13,000	100¢	$12,987	0x6a75b6…
10-25 19:14:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	400	93¢	$372	0xecfe4d…
10-25 18:39:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6b7d11…
10-25 17:46:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	369	99¢	$366	0x71a05e…
10-25 17:41:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	700	86¢	$602	0xa18540…
10-25 17:41:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	86¢	$860	0x02cb46…
10-25 17:38:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	1,560	99¢	$1,548	0x44ccd9…
10-25 17:21:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	131	86¢	$113	0x36dee5…
10-25 17:18:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x0a7b1a…
10-25 17:02:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0x7206a7…
10-25 16:34:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaef2d8…
10-25 15:56:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x661037…
10-25 15:54:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	77	99¢	$77	0x576012…
10-25 15:02:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	80	99¢	$80	0x47b2c4…
10-25 13:30:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x793d18…