Realized P&L
+$193
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
99.5%
Resolved
4
Trades
68
lifetime
Volume
$1.40K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$387
13 positions
First seen
2026-10-20
last 10-27 12:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
86% 50% +$193
Other
14% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +168 $111 66¢ $112 +$1 10-26 15:52
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +141 $79 62¢ $87 +$8 10-26 20:55
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? Yes +66 $2 100¢ $66 +$64 10-22 07:02
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +38 $26 70¢ $27 +$1 10-26 00:18
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +36 $24 70¢ $25 +$1 10-26 00:17
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +65 $18 32¢ $21 +$3 10-22 16:25
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +33 $19 62¢ $20 +$2 10-26 20:55
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +42 $15 36¢ $15 +$0 10-26 00:17
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +28 $8 32¢ $9 +$1 10-21 23:45
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No +8 $3 36¢ $3 +$0 10-24 00:04
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +5 $2 41¢ $2 +$0 10-23 14:36
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +44 $23 2¢ $1 -$22 10-26 00:18
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? Yes +63 $27 0¢ $0 -$27 10-25 11:41