Optimistic-Passbook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

214

Trades

337

lifetime

Volume

$475

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 07-07 23:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 71% +$3

Other

16% 42% -$9

Pop-Culture

4% 50% -$5

Politics

1% 67% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on march 18 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	03-18 14:34
will kanye release bully by march 27	5	$15	16	24	-8	No	-$6	03-27 02:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 20:15 UTC	3	$12	8	5	+3	Down	-$2	03-15 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 22:20 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	03-15 22:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 22:30 UTC	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	03-15 22:35
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	2	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$3	07-04 19:10
ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	03-18 21:42
bitcoin up or down on march 19 2026	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	03-19 13:06
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	2	$7	4	4	+0	France	+$0	07-04 23:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 14:20 UTC	2	$6	8	0	+8	Down	-$6	03-16 14:23
ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 btts	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	03-17 20:48
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	03-18 21:31
ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 atm1	1	$5	14	0	+14	No	-$5	03-18 14:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 04:10 UTC	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	03-22 04:15
will bitcoin reach 77k on march 16	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-17 02:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 23:50 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	03-16 23:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:55 UTC	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	03-25 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 12:45 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	03-19 12:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 14:25 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	03-16 14:30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 25?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	04-25 15:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 14:00 UTC	2	$4	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	03-25 14:01
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	05-17 17:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 04:00 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	03-22 04:04
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	04-24 22:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 13:45 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	03-24 13:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 23:35 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	03-16 23:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 14:20 UTC	3	$3	3	1	+1	Down	-$1	03-19 14:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 13:45 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	03-17 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 13:00 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	03-18 13:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 21:15 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	03-22 21:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 23:15:35	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9fc90d…
07-06 16:39:13	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 extra time	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x7ea7f8…
07-06 16:38:44	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdf9179…
07-06 16:18:37	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0xdb58f9…
07-06 16:16:53	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xdb0c26…
07-06 03:01:01	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xc98916…
07-06 02:33:29	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcb3e37…
07-06 02:32:58	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa47712…
07-06 02:27:47	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7fd971…
07-04 23:17:34	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd5a119…
07-04 19:16:58	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0x1858d8…
07-04 19:10:41	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2ea161…
07-04 03:36:17	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x124498…
07-04 00:29:43	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x18d00a…
07-03 20:56:49	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5bd0ca…
07-03 20:46:16	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x708269…
07-03 01:05:58	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xca7589…
07-03 00:48:07	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2f9006…
06-28 01:11:22	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0142e2…
06-21 17:57:49	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 4pt5	Saudi Arabia	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf5d1d5…
06-20 02:56:53	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8d54cf…
06-18 18:21:35	bitcoin above 62k on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x71496d…
06-18 17:43:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbd5ec1…
06-15 11:57:57	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xf4f885…
05-23 02:02:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x781158…
05-20 14:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0e7607…
05-20 13:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd5b672…
05-20 13:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd77abd…
05-20 13:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x528945…
05-20 13:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x61788f…
05-20 13:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x002479…
05-20 13:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1c6028…
05-20 13:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x225fb2…
05-20 13:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8d3d23…
05-20 13:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x4c50f6…
05-20 13:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x55f72a…
05-17 23:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 18?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcfcefc…
05-17 17:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x783f91…
05-16 20:33:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc69d8c…
05-16 20:31:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd253f6…
05-16 20:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdcc4f1…
05-16 20:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6f5b18…
05-16 20:25:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9caf5a…
05-15 13:07:01	Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x681cac…
04-25 15:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xdc8d93…
04-25 15:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x39b11e…
04-24 23:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x790861…
04-24 22:39:52	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcadd2e…
04-22 22:06:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x51f79b…
04-22 21:36:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x0e1c5b…
04-22 21:35:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc10904…
04-22 21:33:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x683ada…
04-22 21:31:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2f0f4c…
04-22 21:29:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xb8517b…
04-22 21:28:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x42edc2…
04-22 21:07:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0307b9…
04-22 01:13:18	highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 20corhigher	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x0c2c2d…
04-22 01:11:44	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf98a98…
04-22 01:11:28	highest temperature in london on april 22 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd8405a…
04-19 00:44:06	highest temperature in london on april 19 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8c9212…
04-13 01:59:07	Will Alfonso López Chau finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xeb1494…
04-05 20:41:25	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xffa250…
04-05 20:35:35	highest temperature in shanghai on april 6 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfdf680…
03-27 02:28:55	will kanye release bully by march 27	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7a061b…
03-27 02:05:13	will kanye release bully by march 27	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe7688c…
03-27 02:04:09	will kanye release bully by march 27	No	SELL	24	42¢	$10	0x6e3d0a…
03-26 14:30:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2ebafe…
03-26 14:27:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9ab17c…
03-26 14:06:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe869d3…
03-26 13:55:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc67c26…
03-26 13:32:19	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe9534a…
03-25 14:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 14:35 UTC	Up	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x957b9c…
03-25 14:36:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3f12d7…
03-25 14:31:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x661c3b…
03-25 14:26:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 14:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0xae5b24…
03-25 14:25:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb2f70b…
03-25 14:01:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xac4bf6…
03-25 14:01:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x88d719…
03-25 13:59:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:55 UTC	Down	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x7b68fd…
03-25 13:55:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xca91d2…
03-25 13:51:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x6e0ad5…
03-25 13:50:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x33b634…
03-25 13:48:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x06b9ba…
03-25 13:40:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4c6380…
03-25 13:35:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x45d663…
03-25 13:30:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xab7045…
03-25 13:25:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb29cbb…
03-25 13:20:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb268c5…
03-25 13:15:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5b0f6c…
03-25 01:24:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 01:20 UTC	Down	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xa4dce4…
03-25 01:20:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb146c9…
03-24 20:06:19	Will Alfonso López Chau finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x039658…
03-24 20:00:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbef5cb…
03-24 19:43:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3c06a9…
03-24 19:41:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc0212e…
03-24 19:35:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 19:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2c0a14…
03-24 19:33:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe0d094…
03-24 14:09:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe9dc61…
03-24 14:05:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3b79ec…
03-24 13:50:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0cc418…