Prime-Debtor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$75

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

56.7%

Resolved

108

Trades

529

lifetime

Volume

$1.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$23

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-30 12:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 53% -$30

Politics

5% 40% -$10

Other

3% 33% -$35

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-72	-$19	17¢	$-12	+$7	05-04 06:34
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+74	$12	12¢	$9	-$3	06-30 12:19
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	-59	-$8	4¢	$-2	+$5	05-04 05:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	9	$82	81	38	+42	Down	-$28	05-04 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	14	$74	60	60	+0	Up	+$4	05-04 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	12	$62	50	50	+0	Up	+$2	05-04 07:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	10	$53	57	57	+0	Down	+$3	05-04 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	10	$51	45	45	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	8	$46	53	52	+0	Up	+$7	05-04 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	9	$45	148	148	+0	Down	-$6	05-04 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	7	$45	32	32	+0	Up	-$5	05-11 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	7	$41	46	46	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	5	$33	25	25	+0	Up	+$3	05-04 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	5	$33	19	19	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	6	$32	18	18	+0	Up	+$2	05-04 08:29
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	12	$31	5,020	20	+5,000	Yes	-$31	05-03 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	5	$30	23	12	+11	Down	+$1	05-12 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	5	$27	20	20	+0	Down	-$3	05-11 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	6	$27	21	21	+0	Down	-$3	05-04 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	5	$26	22	17	+6	Up	-$4	05-04 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	6	$26	42	15	+27	Down	-$6	05-04 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	6	$26	58	58	+0	Down	-$4	05-04 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$25	17	17	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	5	$25	47	0	+47	Up	+$22	05-04 04:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	10	$24	26	26	+0	Up	-$2	05-04 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	6	$23	53	53	+0	Down	-$7	05-04 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	4	$22	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	05-04 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	4	$21	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$20	17	17	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 13:24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$19	0	72	-72	open	—	05-04 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$18	22	22	+0	Up	-$12	05-12 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$18	21	12	+10	Down	-$2	05-04 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	4	$18	53	38	+15	Down	-$2	05-04 04:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 12:19:43	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0xaa389f…
06-30 12:13:01	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf1f5b8…
05-16 21:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xec3e99…
05-16 21:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x068172…
05-16 21:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x46e4cc…
05-16 21:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x64a084…
05-16 21:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x5bbceb…
05-16 21:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa0acb0…
05-15 20:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x5527b1…
05-15 20:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf32987…
05-15 20:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x5faa8d…
05-15 20:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xfe9477…
05-15 19:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb1897f…
05-15 19:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x788233…
05-15 19:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdb5864…
05-15 19:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd8dde8…
05-15 19:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x800aaf…
05-15 19:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xaae92e…
05-15 19:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf238d8…
05-15 19:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x70e511…
05-12 13:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xb74057…
05-12 13:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xcd9b43…
05-12 13:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa482f7…
05-12 13:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd8b412…
05-12 13:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x6a3e10…
05-12 13:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8532ad…
05-12 13:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xadc39d…
05-12 13:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xed5ded…
05-12 13:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6f9329…
05-12 13:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb94206…
05-12 13:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xadb383…
05-12 13:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x67cebd…
05-12 13:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	22	16¢	$3	0xdcd3b7…
05-12 13:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x891510…
05-12 13:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xab4556…
05-12 13:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x12d6cf…
05-12 13:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x212d9c…
05-12 13:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8382a9…
05-12 13:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x5ead36…
05-12 13:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x2ad95f…
05-12 13:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x6357a4…
05-12 13:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x82ce1d…
05-12 13:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd7f7d6…
05-12 13:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0x68a8eb…
05-12 13:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x8d02e5…
05-11 01:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x49fbbf…
05-11 01:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9e4abe…
05-11 01:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xfdac4c…
05-11 01:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x3eced3…
05-11 01:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0xd79457…
05-11 01:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x10e422…
05-11 01:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2d786e…
05-11 01:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x199ba3…
05-11 01:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7b6fd9…
05-11 01:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x78182b…
05-11 01:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x375bb4…
05-11 01:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe8e81e…
05-11 01:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x94cd1d…
05-11 01:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf1c675…
05-11 01:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8397b7…
05-11 01:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xe94d9f…
05-11 01:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5c0826…
05-11 00:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x1fbf2d…
05-11 00:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa1e1e1…
05-10 21:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x20ff7b…
05-10 21:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x113017…
05-10 21:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	17	91¢	$15	0xd41e63…
05-10 21:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xc0ae39…
05-10 21:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x63357e…
05-10 21:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	92¢	$9	0x7c9d78…
05-10 21:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x28e399…
05-10 21:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb1e525…
05-10 21:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x8b2df7…
05-10 21:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc85bed…
05-10 21:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x223f36…
05-10 20:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xcf2983…
05-10 20:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5655b3…
05-10 20:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4bae01…
05-10 20:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc1ec00…
05-10 20:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x0ed02a…
05-05 03:22:10	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xf38736…
05-05 02:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb9fe6b…
05-05 02:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4582d3…
05-05 02:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x4d9078…
05-05 02:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe9556b…
05-05 02:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x98f1a2…
05-05 02:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xe72065…
05-05 02:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5b1aaa…
05-05 02:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x12a65b…
05-05 02:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd6b63b…
05-05 02:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9c2e1d…
05-05 02:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6da3fc…
05-05 02:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa3f73d…
05-05 02:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x17641d…
05-05 01:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x77b4d3…
05-05 01:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xd94ffc…
05-05 01:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x23bfef…
05-05 01:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0x115525…
05-05 01:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8e6291…
05-05 01:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x6b5e24…