Realized P&L
+$608
Unrealized P&L
-$156
Hit rate
70.0%
Resolved
114
Trades
4,036
lifetime
Volume
$5.97K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$395
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 11-08 08:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 76 days
Categories
Crypto
71% 29% +$715
Other
24% 40% -$58
Politics
3% 0% -$42
Tech
2% 33% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,244 $60 1¢ $71 +$10 09-25 11:12
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,191 $109 2¢ $59 -$50 11-06 00:12
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? Yes +200 $94 26¢ $52 -$42 11-07 15:29
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +30,543 $31 0¢ $46 +$15 11-08 08:38
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +24,750 $74 0¢ $37 -$37 10-29 13:38
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +25,000 $150 0¢ $25 -$125 11-06 00:32
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +13,580 -$7 0¢ $20 +$27 11-08 00:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 8? Yes +50 $24 40¢ $20 -$4 11-07 03:35
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +10,000 $60 0¢ $15 -$45 10-08 01:31
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +4,537 $9 0¢ $14 +$5 11-08 08:51
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in November? Yes +1,000 $17 1¢ $11 -$5 11-07 06:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in November? Yes +500 -$24 2¢ $11 +$35 11-06 13:30
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in November? Yes +980 $30 1¢ $8 -$22 11-07 03:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 -$24 1¢ $6 +$29 11-04 12:01
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +0 -$52 9¢ $0 +$52 11-06 16:13