(anonymous) 0xbd8caf…8522ee Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$114
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
59.1%
Resolved
32
Trades
260
lifetime
Volume
$2.09K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$472
22 positions
First seen
2026-11-02
last 11-10 20:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
52% 65% -$71
Other
47% 40% -$43
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +129 $77 74¢ $96 +$18 11-10 15:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +47 $45 96¢ $45 $0 11-06 10:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +46 $37 92¢ $42 +$6 11-06 20:19
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +54 $36 66¢ $36 $0 11-09 23:52
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +31 $26 98¢ $30 +$4 11-08 16:05
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? No +119 $25 21¢ $25 +$0 11-10 12:36
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +22 $20 99¢ $21 +$1 11-05 01:20
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? No +20 $17 84¢ $17 -$1 11-10 08:13
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +23 $16 70¢ $16 +$0 11-10 19:17
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +19 $15 82¢ $16 +$1 11-06 02:57
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET? Yes +19 $24 84¢ $16 -$9 11-10 19:04
Trump out as President before 2027? No +16 $15 98¢ $15 +$0 11-05 20:21
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +22 $15 69¢ $15 +$0 11-10 21:27
Dota 2: Rottweilas Latam vs Mena Warriors - Game 2 Winner Rottweilas Latam +75 $10 19¢ $14 +$4 11-10 21:28
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 11-08 05:21
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $0 11-08 16:01
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25 $8 39¢ $10 +$2 11-08 15:29
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? No +15 $10 67¢ $10 $0 11-09 03:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +13 $10 76¢ $10 $0 11-05 21:33
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? Yes +190 $8 5¢ $9 +$2 11-10 12:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +35 $6 18¢ $6 +$0 11-10 20:31
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11? Yes +3 $0 97¢ $3 +$3 11-09 15:52