Terrible-Chance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$189

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.4%

Resolved

Trades

671

lifetime

Volume

$8.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-17 07:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 32% $-189

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	5	$152	202	127	+75	open	—	05-22 04:19
btc updown 5m 1781677800	6	$119	117	117	+0	open	—	06-17 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	7	$117	109	84	+25	open	—	05-21 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	5	$114	196	79	+117	open	—	05-22 05:14
btc updown 5m 1781676300	2	$93	76	76	+0	open	—	06-17 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$91	88	33	+55	open	—	05-21 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$88	79	61	+18	open	—	05-20 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$85	90	72	+19	open	—	05-22 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$84	65	65	+0	open	—	05-18 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	8	$83	115	115	+0	open	—	05-21 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$80	116	0	+116	open	—	05-22 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$80	98	0	+98	open	—	05-21 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$79	70	70	+0	open	—	05-20 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$75	54	54	+0	open	—	05-20 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	3	$74	122	47	+75	open	—	05-21 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	6	$73	69	51	+17	open	—	05-21 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$72	62	62	+0	open	—	05-21 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	4	$72	49	49	+0	open	—	05-22 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$71	52	52	+0	open	—	05-22 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$66	43	43	+0	open	—	05-21 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	5	$64	203	36	+167	open	—	05-21 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$64	56	56	+0	open	—	05-21 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$64	40	40	+0	open	—	05-19 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	3	$64	161	13	+148	open	—	05-21 10:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$62	34	34	+0	open	—	05-26 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	4	$60	48	48	+0	open	—	05-20 01:49
btc updown 5m 1781674500	4	$60	53	53	+0	open	—	06-17 05:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	4	$60	44	44	+0	open	—	05-21 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$58	35	35	+0	Down	+$8	05-07 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$55	32	32	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 09:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 07:11:47	btc updown 5m 1781680200	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x9af088…
06-17 07:05:29	btc updown 5m 1781679900	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb993e8…
06-17 07:00:41	btc updown 5m 1781679600	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x42d775…
06-17 06:55:52	btc updown 5m 1781679300	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x9843ff…
06-17 06:51:16	btc updown 5m 1781679000	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xdfb532…
06-17 06:45:32	btc updown 5m 1781678700	Up	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0xc71db3…
06-17 06:40:35	btc updown 5m 1781678400	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x340bc0…
06-17 06:36:20	btc updown 5m 1781678100	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x7037be…
06-17 06:35:58	btc updown 5m 1781678100	Down	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0x9f9edb…
06-17 06:35:19	btc updown 5m 1781678100	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7fdbee…
06-17 06:33:26	btc updown 5m 1781677800	Up	SELL	24	71¢	$17	0xba4d3f…
06-17 06:33:10	btc updown 5m 1781677800	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x85a223…
06-17 06:32:19	btc updown 5m 1781677800	Up	SELL	51	48¢	$25	0x0f43b8…
06-17 06:32:02	btc updown 5m 1781677800	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xda4d6b…
06-17 06:30:56	btc updown 5m 1781677800	Up	SELL	42	65¢	$27	0x7affd9…
06-17 06:30:16	btc updown 5m 1781677800	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xe5655f…
06-17 06:26:04	btc updown 5m 1781677500	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xed4278…
06-17 06:25:32	btc updown 5m 1781677500	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x9a3f6d…
06-17 06:21:17	btc updown 5m 1781677200	Down	BUY	58	60¢	$35	0x97f766…
06-17 06:15:25	btc updown 5m 1781676900	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xeaca41…
06-17 06:10:25	btc updown 5m 1781676600	Down	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x61ddca…
06-17 06:09:23	btc updown 5m 1781676300	Down	SELL	76	69¢	$53	0x1e2aa8…
06-17 06:05:41	btc updown 5m 1781676300	Down	BUY	76	52¢	$40	0x35e87d…
06-17 06:01:26	btc updown 5m 1781676000	Down	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xec9e71…
06-17 05:57:41	btc updown 5m 1781675700	Up	SELL	28	91¢	$25	0x78b971…
06-17 05:56:23	btc updown 5m 1781675700	Up	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x94c702…
06-17 05:52:53	btc updown 5m 1781675400	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6dfc67…
06-17 05:51:32	btc updown 5m 1781675400	Down	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0xeac72f…
06-17 05:50:31	btc updown 5m 1781675400	Down	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x73a519…
06-17 05:49:01	btc updown 5m 1781675100	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5c7aac…
06-17 05:48:05	btc updown 5m 1781675100	Down	SELL	18	89¢	$16	0x4ad65f…
06-17 05:45:43	btc updown 5m 1781675100	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x058103…
06-17 05:40:25	btc updown 5m 1781674800	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x8d9b5f…
06-17 05:38:49	btc updown 5m 1781674500	Up	SELL	23	48¢	$11	0x0f47d5…
06-17 05:37:05	btc updown 5m 1781674500	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc8b0da…
06-17 05:36:28	btc updown 5m 1781674500	Down	SELL	31	78¢	$24	0x037499…
06-17 05:35:25	btc updown 5m 1781674500	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x434746…
06-17 05:30:20	btc updown 5m 1781674200	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xfb3920…
06-17 05:25:32	btc updown 5m 1781673900	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x0ff0b5…
06-17 05:20:22	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Austria	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0xc86e41…
06-17 05:17:43	btc updown 5m 1781673300	Up	SELL	38	14¢	$5	0x0016f6…
06-17 05:16:41	btc updown 5m 1781673300	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xa8f2ef…
06-17 05:14:55	btc updown 5m 1781673000	Up	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0xd7e1dc…
06-17 05:12:13	btc updown 5m 1781673000	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x8c9b40…
06-17 04:33:11	btc updown 5m 1781670600	Up	SELL	12	64¢	$7	0x83fa53…
06-17 04:32:43	btc updown 5m 1781670600	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb887f6…
06-17 04:29:41	btc updown 5m 1781670300	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xfc2b7b…
06-17 04:28:53	btc updown 5m 1781670300	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x616e8c…
06-17 04:25:26	btc updown 5m 1781670300	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb603fa…
06-17 04:23:02	btc updown 5m 1781670000	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x66534b…
06-17 04:15:52	btc updown 5m 1781669700	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x9242c8…
06-17 04:14:52	btc updown 5m 1781669400	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6c5c5d…
06-17 04:13:29	btc updown 5m 1781669400	Down	SELL	28	74¢	$21	0x333f4d…
06-17 04:11:20	btc updown 5m 1781669400	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x4a4aee…
06-17 04:01:44	btc updown 5m 1781668800	Down	SELL	35	67¢	$23	0x817b6f…
06-17 04:00:20	btc updown 5m 1781668800	Down	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x603b99…
06-17 03:57:55	btc updown 5m 1781668500	Up	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x0138b8…
06-17 03:55:28	btc updown 5m 1781668500	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x3ac1f5…
06-17 03:50:29	btc updown 5m 1781668200	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe80cf3…
06-17 03:44:46	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xb2adf2…
06-17 03:43:34	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Austria	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x6999e7…
06-17 03:26:39	btc updown 5m 1781666700	Up	SELL	27	82¢	$22	0x0565e3…
06-17 03:25:31	btc updown 5m 1781666700	Up	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0xf8ca33…
06-17 03:25:22	btc updown 5m 1781666700	Up	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x3aacae…
05-26 16:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	69	32¢	$22	0xd7f609…
05-26 16:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x895733…
05-26 15:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0x9ce716…
05-26 15:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x84759f…
05-26 15:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	233	3¢	$7	0x6e871c…
05-26 15:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x229ac8…
05-26 15:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x175802…
05-26 15:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x4b8d3a…
05-22 09:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	52	62¢	$32	0xb1e780…
05-22 09:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x1999c9…
05-22 09:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	72	62¢	$44	0x858a18…
05-22 09:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	72	43¢	$31	0x80f1fa…
05-22 09:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x221c5b…
05-22 09:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0x2ac8bb…
05-22 09:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x2ef162…
05-22 09:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	33	85¢	$28	0x455189…
05-22 09:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0x2d31ed…
05-22 09:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xbf3c7e…
05-22 09:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x6b5529…
05-22 09:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	52	97¢	$51	0x20f534…
05-22 09:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0x1ff1eb…
05-22 08:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	97¢	$20	0x690ba9…
05-22 08:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf1e3a1…
05-22 08:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0xf2e0b6…
05-22 08:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x993e30…
05-22 08:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	21	27¢	$6	0xf973eb…
05-22 08:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x783f70…
05-22 05:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	160	31¢	$50	0xe7be96…
05-22 05:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x8c8828…
05-22 05:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0xc8055c…
05-22 05:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	16	26¢	$4	0xf6959c…
05-22 05:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0x17c076…
05-22 05:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	64	79¢	$51	0x4656fe…
05-22 05:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	64	63¢	$40	0x832d4e…
05-22 05:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x9a84d6…
05-22 05:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x657091…