Pesky-Statistic-Ballot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.0%

Resolved

203

Trades

515

lifetime

Volume

$940

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-16 22:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 52% +$35

Politics

1% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	4	$37	48	+48	Up	+$0	05-14 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	4	$35	109	+109	Down	$-35	05-09 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$30	35	+35	Down	+$5	05-13 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$30	32	+32	Up	+$2	05-13 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$30	32	+32	open	—	05-14 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$25	26	+26	Down	+$1	05-13 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$21	31	+31	open	—	05-14 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$20	22	+22	Down	+$2	05-12 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$20	23	+23	Up	+$3	05-13 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$20	24	+24	Down	+$4	05-12 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$15	27	+27	Down	$-15	05-09 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$15	24	+24	Up	+$9	05-09 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	3	$15	20	+20	Up	$-15	05-13 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$12	25	+25	Down	+$13	05-09 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$11	12	+12	Down	+$2	05-09 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$11	18	+18	Down	+$7	05-09 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$11	17	+17	Down	+$6	05-14 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$11	25	+25	open	—	05-14 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$11	16	+16	Up	$-0	05-13 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$10	53	+53	Down	$-10	05-09 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$10	12	+12	Down	+$2	05-12 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	05-12 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	05-12 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$10	15	+15	Up	+$5	05-09 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$10	14	+14	Down	+$4	05-12 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	05-12 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$10	13	+13	Down	+$3	05-09 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	05-13 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$10	13	+13	open	—	05-14 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$10	12	+12	Up	+$2	05-12 15:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 22:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4165ff…
05-16 22:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1fee16…
05-16 22:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5b415a…
05-16 21:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x130211…
05-16 21:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x46550a…
05-16 21:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1964c7…
05-16 21:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa14d74…
05-16 21:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2ff220…
05-16 21:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xcd9e7e…
05-16 21:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf14d6c…
05-16 21:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5d5fa6…
05-16 21:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbee588…
05-16 21:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd4de37…
05-16 21:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x32525e…
05-16 21:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xad2077…
05-16 20:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbf4a40…
05-16 20:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6ab71c…
05-16 20:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6e37bd…
05-16 20:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2af9fa…
05-16 20:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd89ae0…
05-16 20:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x963e23…
05-16 20:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x36b6c7…
05-16 20:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2fd5a1…
05-16 20:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe56715…
05-16 20:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5fd60d…
05-16 20:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf6caff…
05-16 20:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd9c913…
05-16 20:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3e94fb…
05-16 19:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x8e52d8…
05-16 19:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x68599c…
05-16 19:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa36bbb…
05-16 19:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xff3d22…
05-16 19:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xaf8998…
05-16 19:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6d8e99…
05-16 19:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1d171b…
05-16 19:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xff56ee…
05-16 19:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2842f3…
05-16 19:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x95c471…
05-16 19:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xfe304b…
05-16 19:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x267ecc…
05-16 19:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x138116…
05-16 19:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd5d103…
05-16 19:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x84199d…
05-16 18:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x80b10e…
05-16 18:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd1db3b…
05-16 18:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9389f4…
05-16 18:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x40a362…
05-16 18:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4604d7…
05-16 18:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xefd9e9…
05-16 18:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x386385…
05-16 18:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x1e8462…
05-16 18:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5e16d6…
05-16 18:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe44ee1…
05-16 18:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3756ce…
05-16 18:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd2c789…
05-16 18:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbf8ad9…
05-16 17:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe477ff…
05-16 17:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x532030…
05-16 17:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x2beeda…
05-16 17:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd75f47…
05-16 17:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xb62eb0…
05-16 17:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x94f2ba…
05-16 17:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3263ec…
05-16 17:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1d1a90…
05-16 17:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xacda82…
05-16 17:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x19859e…
05-16 17:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x81213e…
05-16 17:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa7b680…
05-16 17:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x19e831…
05-16 17:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x17b3f1…
05-16 17:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xe55ea1…
05-16 17:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x94eae3…
05-16 17:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3c157e…
05-16 16:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc14c39…
05-16 16:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x2edc4e…
05-16 16:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfb692a…
05-16 16:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xac1e6f…
05-16 16:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x80a5d4…
05-16 16:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfc6420…
05-16 16:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa94e39…
05-16 16:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbe4880…
05-16 16:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfa6b54…
05-16 16:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x198ff4…
05-16 16:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xf07554…
05-16 16:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbe9ac8…
05-16 16:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7a5071…
05-16 15:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7618de…
05-16 15:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xfa28f5…
05-16 15:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe56415…
05-16 15:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xd29988…
05-16 15:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x36a28a…
05-16 15:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x7a465f…
05-16 15:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x2ef80b…
05-16 15:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbd5340…
05-16 15:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x3c1659…
05-16 13:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9e5904…
05-16 13:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfc4691…
05-16 13:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x004882…
05-16 13:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6f3255…
05-16 13:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xa77ddc…