Glum-Herbs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$62

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$176

Open exposure

$214

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-14 14:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

35% 100% +$20

Crypto

35% 100% +$15

Politics

30% 100% +$27

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No		+116	$111	97¢	$112	+$1	10-14 14:48
kharg island no longer under iranian control by october 31	No		+101	$100	100¢	$101	+$1	10-14 14:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp up or down on january 20	1	$440	442	0	+442	Down	+$2	01-20 15:08
bitcoin above 94k on january 3	1	$421	423	0	+423	No	+$2	01-03 05:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	2	$300	183	120	+63	No	+$3	06-27 13:24
will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	1	$280	282	0	+282	Yes	+$2	03-16 05:25
will ethereum dip to 1400 in march 2026	1	$277	279	0	+279	No	+$2	03-28 05:48
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	1	$260	261	0	+261	No	+$1	03-08 13:04
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$246	250	0	+250	No	+$4	02-10 03:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	1	$244	246	0	+246	No	+$2	04-16 05:41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	1	$240	241	0	+241	No	+$1	05-13 06:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$222	226	0	+226	No	+$4	04-16 05:42
will the bank of new zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the february decision	1	$200	202	0	+202	Yes	+$2	02-10 03:16
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	1	$188	191	0	+191	Yes	+$3	04-01 13:18
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$180	186	0	+186	No	+$6	03-08 13:02
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	1	$179	182	0	+182	No	+$3	06-03 07:02
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$150	151	0	+151	No	+$1	04-01 13:22
Trump out as President by September 30?	1	$132	133	0	+133	No	+$1	09-16 10:17
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	1	$130	136	0	+136	No	+$6	06-03 07:02
bitcoin up or down on april 1 2026	1	$130	133	0	+133	Up	+$3	04-01 13:18
us obtains iranian enriched uranium by august 31	1	$123	125	0	+125	No	+$2	08-07 05:40
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	1	$122	123	0	+123	Yes	+$1	05-13 06:19
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$120	123	0	+123	No	+$3	05-13 06:21
will lebanon be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522908	1	$120	121	0	+121	No	+$1	06-27 13:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$111	116	0	+116	open	—	10-14 14:48
abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	1	$111	114	0	+114	No	+$3	07-18 05:36
kharg island no longer under iranian control by october 31	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	10-14 14:47
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	1	$88	89	0	+89	No	+$1	07-18 05:35
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$80	83	0	+83	No	+$3	08-07 05:40
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	1	$74	75	0	+75	No	+$1	09-16 10:17
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 4	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	01-03 05:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 14:48:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	116	95¢	$111	0xccb03b…
10-14 14:47:52	kharg island no longer under iranian control by october 31	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xdca5eb…
09-16 10:17:43	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x6cd7e8…
09-16 10:17:06	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0xa2bc41…
08-07 05:40:57	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	83	97¢	$80	0xf8ce5c…
08-07 05:40:28	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by august 31	No	BUY	125	99¢	$123	0xb47f15…
07-18 05:36:34	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	No	BUY	114	97¢	$111	0x9bb797…
07-18 05:35:49	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0x3e66f3…
06-27 13:26:44	will lebanon be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522908	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x209e16…
06-27 13:24:22	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xb7953e…
06-03 07:03:20	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	183	98¢	$180	0xf441cb…
06-03 07:02:45	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	BUY	136	96¢	$130	0x41b5d3…
06-03 07:02:12	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	182	99¢	$179	0xa3812b…
05-13 06:21:34	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	241	99¢	$240	0xa7f760…
05-13 06:21:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	123	98¢	$120	0x78ac1f…
05-13 06:19:54	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x897f44…
04-16 05:42:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	226	98¢	$222	0x7ec6b9…
04-16 05:41:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	BUY	246	99¢	$244	0x2b9d6a…
04-01 13:22:43	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0x5350d3…
04-01 13:18:59	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	Yes	BUY	191	99¢	$188	0xd98614…
04-01 13:18:33	bitcoin up or down on april 1 2026	Up	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0xcd3702…
03-28 05:48:31	will ethereum dip to 1400 in march 2026	No	BUY	279	99¢	$277	0xf860a0…
03-16 05:25:37	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	282	99¢	$280	0xd6ce4a…
03-08 13:04:01	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 8	No	BUY	261	100¢	$260	0x32c93c…
03-08 13:02:07	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	186	97¢	$180	0xdac35e…
02-10 03:16:57	will the bank of new zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the february decision	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xaea67f…
02-10 03:16:03	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	250	98¢	$246	0x913655…
01-20 15:08:52	xrp up or down on january 20	Down	BUY	442	100¢	$440	0xefcba8…
01-03 05:35:17	bitcoin above 94k on january 3	No	BUY	423	99¢	$421	0x0b7b92…
01-03 05:34:37	will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 4	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xd61971…