Flawless-Elbow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.29K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.0%

Resolved

192

Trades

384

lifetime

Volume

$22.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 07-17 23:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

57% 19% -$6,002

Sports

19% 41% +$207

Crypto

12% 31% +$589

Politics

10% 31% +$59

Tech

2% 14% -$148

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	4	$3.9K	2,698	2,695	+4	Yes	-$145	04-30 03:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	8	$3.1K	63,703	0	+63,703	No	-$3,061	04-30 06:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	4	$1.6K	12,493	0	+12,493	Yes	+$916	04-29 18:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	6	$1.3K	46,709	132	+46,577	No	-$1,308	04-30 06:50
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$416	1,299	1,299	+0	Yes	+$16	05-18 07:15
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	6	$402	1,939	1,939	+0	Lakers	+$37	04-28 05:25
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$392	417	417	+0	Thunder	-$8	05-22 16:47
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers	2	$364	659	659	+0	Ducks	+$74	04-30 21:18
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	9	$272	2,024	1,934	+90	No	-$165	04-28 05:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	2	$250	3,216	0	+3,216	No	-$250	04-30 06:51
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	9	$244	377	194	+183	No	-$71	06-16 22:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	3	$211	387	115	+272	No	-$64	05-21 07:55
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$200	392	0	+392	cancelled	-$4	05-26 02:32
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$200	357	0	+357	Spurs	-$200	06-06 03:28
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	1	$200	571	0	+571	Knicks	+$371	06-04 03:15
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$200	476	0	+476	Spurs	+$276	05-29 03:03
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$200	455	0	+455	Spurs	-$200	05-27 03:17
mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06 total 8pt5	1	$200	294	0	+294	Under	+$94	06-07 20:34
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$200	370	0	+370	Knicks	+$170	05-24 02:47
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-23?	1	$200	278	0	+278	Yes	+$78	05-23 19:57
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	1	$200	264	0	+264	No	+$64	05-28 02:12
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	1	$200	225	0	+225	No	+$25	05-30 04:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	4	$174	365	365	+0	Yes	-$11	05-18 16:43
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	7	$156	781	0	+781	Nuggets	-$156	04-27 02:20
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	2	$149	448	448	+0	No	+$6	06-01 12:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	6	$148	844	844	+0	No	-$81	04-28 05:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	5	$148	1,342	1,342	+0	No	-$113	04-28 05:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$137	191	191	+0	Yes	-$4	05-30 12:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$136	292	292	+0	No	+$40	05-23 12:07
Zagreb: Nerman Fatic vs Elmer Moeller	2	$128	278	278	+0	Elmer Moeller	-$6	05-12 17:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 23:46:07	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 jorge campillo	Yes	SELL	110	19¢	$21	0xe9807c…
07-17 20:05:03	mlb tb bos 2026 07 17 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x3aaa56…
07-17 19:58:09	mlb tb bos 2026 07 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xcb9615…
07-17 04:08:30	bitcoin above 62k on july 17 2026	No	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0x60cf8f…
07-16 20:11:08	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	73	26¢	$19	0xa6507c…
07-16 08:38:53	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3d5f6b…
07-16 08:06:26	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x0d1e2b…
07-15 18:13:32	Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?	No	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc1a574…
07-14 22:18:56	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 jorge campillo	Yes	BUY	110	21¢	$23	0x854479…
07-14 13:08:14	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x70eb0d…
07-13 22:41:46	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x4a64ce…
07-13 20:22:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x17761a…
07-13 10:02:16	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	69	22¢	$15	0x8a264d…
07-13 00:45:31	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xdca952…
07-12 16:27:49	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xccb00f…
07-12 04:56:44	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xdde4da…
07-12 01:16:50	Will India win?	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x9ec998…
07-11 19:35:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x7a668e…
07-11 13:43:43	bitcoin above 62k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xbfd688…
07-10 22:23:16	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x48e51e…
07-10 10:51:14	Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?	Yes	BUY	37	50¢	$18	0xdad0c1…
07-10 03:57:43	Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x83e0bd…
07-09 07:21:14	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	96	23¢	$22	0xea9ce6…
07-08 20:39:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc98cab…
07-05 04:49:26	mlb sd lad 2026 07 05 spread home 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xe13359…
07-01 17:09:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x92f648…
06-30 04:02:44	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	43	92¢	$40	0x5d195d…
06-30 04:02:43	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	95	1¢	$1	0x026848…
06-29 22:17:08	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	105	1¢	$1	0xacf905…
06-29 22:17:07	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	Yes	SELL	176	1¢	$2	0xd0ccb8…
06-21 21:28:28	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	105	26¢	$27	0x16107b…
06-20 22:27:55	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	176	22¢	$40	0x67feb0…
06-20 20:46:28	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x1b0f85…
06-17 22:33:55	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	95	32¢	$30	0x380dc2…
06-17 21:12:23	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xc6be1a…
06-17 19:52:01	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	31¢	$35	0x88611c…
06-17 00:41:02	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	135	27¢	$36	0xb07d07…
06-16 22:16:28	Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	183	38¢	$69	0x850e4e…
06-16 14:36:43	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	205	15¢	$32	0x44858b…
06-15 15:33:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	76	42¢	$32	0x6bc104…
06-14 02:13:30	Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	39¢	$26	0xacbe6f…
06-13 15:12:52	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	79	33¢	$26	0x74c1e4…
06-13 05:35:51	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x3948c0…
06-13 04:51:57	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?	Yes	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0x4da27f…
06-13 04:49:04	Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	39¢	$26	0xc04773…
06-13 04:08:03	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	67	47¢	$31	0x39585f…
06-13 01:48:09	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	Yes	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0x91f418…
06-12 07:07:36	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	157	23¢	$36	0x06d6c2…
06-07 20:34:52	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x08648d…
06-06 12:48:07	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	38	61¢	$23	0xe9beae…
06-06 12:48:07	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	76	38¢	$29	0x9e242a…
06-06 03:28:27	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	357	56¢	$200	0x1517d6…
06-04 04:45:55	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$39	0x285928…
06-04 04:43:51	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	167	48¢	$80	0xd5c805…
06-04 03:15:42	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	571	35¢	$200	0x7dfb58…
06-02 21:46:07	Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	47¢	$20	0xfbd688…
06-02 21:14:16	Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	48¢	$20	0xc63355…
06-02 20:35:19	Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	47¢	$20	0xed8d45…
06-02 20:03:41	Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x15a174…
06-02 12:22:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	243	4¢	$9	0x744d9c…
06-02 12:22:38	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	87	21¢	$18	0xd29d71…
06-02 12:22:37	Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	SELL	33	21¢	$7	0x49d5f6…
06-01 16:47:43	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	84	44¢	$37	0xafdac1…
06-01 14:52:20	Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	49¢	$21	0x34daf6…
06-01 12:05:28	Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	448	17¢	$77	0xda9289…
06-01 00:58:49	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	298	15¢	$44	0x812433…
05-31 22:04:31	Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0xd6936f…
05-31 18:57:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	243	16¢	$39	0x159897…
05-30 12:50:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	30¢	$14	0xf2ae5e…
05-30 12:50:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	110	4¢	$5	0x0bb144…
05-30 12:50:21	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0x13acf4…
05-30 12:50:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	13¢	$9	0x7a0051…
05-30 12:50:18	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	99	6¢	$6	0x4ca368…
05-30 04:36:20	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x7adb4c…
05-30 04:00:40	Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	448	16¢	$72	0x562fae…
05-29 14:36:30	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	70	42¢	$29	0x71b8af…
05-29 03:03:48	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	476	42¢	$200	0x27aeaf…
05-28 02:12:39	Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League?	No	BUY	264	76¢	$200	0xe3003f…
05-27 03:17:23	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	455	44¢	$200	0x35609b…
05-26 16:09:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	55¢	$26	0x1169be…
05-26 02:32:26	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0x56d574…
05-24 02:47:27	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Knicks	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0xd46e2a…
05-23 19:57:38	Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0xd432fd…
05-23 12:07:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	251	32¢	$79	0x6b8b0b…
05-22 16:47:24	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	469	6¢	$28	0x23f8d8…
05-22 16:47:22	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	SELL	417	46¢	$192	0xaa043f…
05-21 17:36:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	45	48¢	$22	0x0ba2ed…
05-21 17:36:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	65	18¢	$12	0xa39ad2…
05-21 16:36:00	Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	BUY	68	49¢	$33	0xa68f53…
05-21 15:42:15	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	180	25¢	$45	0x6ae61a…
05-21 14:48:47	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	469	16¢	$75	0xa8162a…
05-21 13:55:21	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Juan Carlos Prado	Coleman Wong	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x01f4d0…
05-21 13:06:18	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro	Shuai Zhang	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x95d9c5…
05-21 12:13:23	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Jaqueline Cristian vs Daria Kasatkina	Daria Kasatkina	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x09730e…
05-21 11:20:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	102	23¢	$23	0x004376…
05-21 10:29:37	Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruud	Alexei Popyrin	BUY	158	27¢	$43	0x93abb4…
05-21 09:36:33	Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbert	Ugo Humbert	BUY	98	26¢	$26	0x0a72d1…
05-21 08:44:26	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	110	19¢	$21	0xe4d373…
05-21 07:55:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	272	24¢	$65	0xb190b9…
05-21 07:02:11	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?	Yes	BUY	80	27¢	$22	0x542fdd…