Flawless-Elbow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$99

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.8%

Resolved

Trades

302

lifetime

Volume

$19.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 07-17 23:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

61% 0% $-6

Sports

16% 100% +$126

Crypto

14% — —

Politics

7% 0% $-21

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	4	$3.9K	2,698	2,695	+4	open	—	04-30 03:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	8	$3.1K	63,703	0	+63,703	open	—	04-30 06:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	4	$1.6K	12,493	0	+12,493	open	—	04-29 18:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	6	$1.3K	46,709	132	+46,577	open	—	04-30 06:50
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets	6	$402	1,939	1,939	+0	open	—	04-28 05:25
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$392	417	417	+0	open	—	05-22 16:47
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers	2	$364	659	659	+0	open	—	04-30 21:18
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	9	$272	2,024	1,934	+90	open	—	04-28 05:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	2	$250	3,216	0	+3,216	open	—	04-30 06:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	3	$211	387	115	+272	open	—	05-21 07:55
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$200	455	0	+455	open	—	05-27 03:17
mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06 total 8pt5	1	$200	294	0	+294	open	—	06-07 20:34
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	1	$200	571	0	+571	open	—	06-04 03:15
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$200	357	0	+357	open	—	06-06 03:28
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$200	476	0	+476	open	—	05-29 03:03
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	1	$200	225	0	+225	open	—	05-30 04:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	4	$174	365	365	+0	open	—	05-18 16:43
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	7	$156	781	0	+781	open	—	04-27 02:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	6	$148	844	844	+0	open	—	04-28 05:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	5	$148	1,342	1,342	+0	open	—	04-28 05:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	4	$136	292	292	+0	open	—	05-23 12:07
Zagreb: Nerman Fatic vs Elmer Moeller	2	$128	278	278	+0	Elmer Moeller	$-6	05-12 17:15
Thunder vs. Suns	3	$127	637	0	+637	open	—	04-26 22:48
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$124	1,216	1,216	+0	open	—	04-28 05:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	4	$114	245	245	+0	open	—	05-18 05:49
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	1	$110	149	0	+149	open	—	05-05 16:42
Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Alexander Zverev	4	$107	561	0	+561	open	—	04-27 00:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	4	$106	357	357	+0	open	—	05-18 13:29
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders	3	$104	40,002	0	+40,002	open	—	04-26 18:39
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$103	469	469	+0	open	—	05-22 16:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 23:46:07	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 jorge campillo	Yes	SELL	110	19¢	$21	0xe9807c…
07-17 20:05:03	mlb tb bos 2026 07 17 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x3aaa56…
07-17 19:58:09	mlb tb bos 2026 07 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xcb9615…
07-17 04:08:30	bitcoin above 62k on july 17 2026	No	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0x60cf8f…
07-16 08:38:53	will trump meet with benjamin netanyahu in july 2026 20260626153701914	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3d5f6b…
07-16 08:06:26	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x0d1e2b…
07-14 22:18:56	2026 corales puntacana championship top20 jorge campillo	Yes	BUY	110	21¢	$23	0x854479…
07-14 13:08:14	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x70eb0d…
07-13 22:41:46	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x4a64ce…
07-13 20:22:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x17761a…
07-13 10:02:16	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	69	22¢	$15	0x8a264d…
07-13 00:45:31	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xdca952…
07-12 16:27:49	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xccb00f…
07-12 04:56:44	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xdde4da…
07-11 13:43:43	bitcoin above 62k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xbfd688…
07-10 22:23:16	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x48e51e…
07-05 04:49:26	mlb sd lad 2026 07 05 spread home 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xe13359…
07-01 17:09:38	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x92f648…
06-30 04:02:44	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	43	92¢	$40	0x5d195d…
06-30 04:02:43	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	95	1¢	$1	0x026848…
06-29 22:17:08	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	105	1¢	$1	0xacf905…
06-29 22:17:07	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	Yes	SELL	176	1¢	$2	0xd0ccb8…
06-21 21:28:28	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	105	26¢	$27	0x16107b…
06-20 22:27:55	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	Yes	BUY	176	22¢	$40	0x67feb0…
06-20 20:46:28	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x1b0f85…
06-17 22:33:55	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	95	32¢	$30	0x380dc2…
06-17 21:12:23	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xc6be1a…
06-17 19:52:01	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	31¢	$35	0x88611c…
06-15 15:33:10	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	76	42¢	$32	0x6bc104…
06-13 05:35:51	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x3948c0…
06-13 04:08:03	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	67	47¢	$31	0x39585f…
06-12 07:07:36	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	157	23¢	$36	0x06d6c2…
06-07 20:34:52	mlb bos nyy 2026 06 06 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x08648d…
06-06 03:28:27	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	357	56¢	$200	0x1517d6…
06-04 04:45:55	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$39	0x285928…
06-04 03:15:42	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	571	35¢	$200	0x7dfb58…
06-02 12:22:40	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	243	4¢	$9	0x744d9c…
06-01 16:47:43	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	84	44¢	$37	0xafdac1…
06-01 00:58:49	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	298	15¢	$44	0x812433…
05-31 18:57:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	243	16¢	$39	0x159897…
05-30 12:50:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	30¢	$14	0xf2ae5e…
05-30 12:50:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	110	4¢	$5	0x0bb144…
05-30 12:50:21	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0x13acf4…
05-30 12:50:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	13¢	$9	0x7a0051…
05-30 12:50:18	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	99	6¢	$6	0x4ca368…
05-30 04:36:20	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0x7adb4c…
05-29 03:03:48	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	476	42¢	$200	0x27aeaf…
05-27 03:17:23	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	455	44¢	$200	0x35609b…
05-23 12:07:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	251	32¢	$79	0x6b8b0b…
05-22 16:47:24	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	469	6¢	$28	0x23f8d8…
05-22 16:47:22	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	SELL	417	46¢	$192	0xaa043f…
05-21 17:36:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	45	48¢	$22	0x0ba2ed…
05-21 17:36:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	SELL	65	18¢	$12	0xa39ad2…
05-21 16:36:00	Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	BUY	68	49¢	$33	0xa68f53…
05-21 15:42:15	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	180	25¢	$45	0x6ae61a…
05-21 14:48:47	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	469	16¢	$75	0xa8162a…
05-21 13:55:21	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Juan Carlos Prado	Coleman Wong	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x01f4d0…
05-21 13:06:18	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro	Shuai Zhang	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x95d9c5…
05-21 12:13:23	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Jaqueline Cristian vs Daria Kasatkina	Daria Kasatkina	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x09730e…
05-21 11:20:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	102	23¢	$23	0x004376…
05-21 10:29:37	Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruud	Alexei Popyrin	BUY	158	27¢	$43	0x93abb4…
05-21 09:36:33	Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Ugo Humbert	Ugo Humbert	BUY	98	26¢	$26	0x0a72d1…
05-21 08:44:26	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	110	19¢	$21	0xe4d373…
05-21 07:55:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	272	24¢	$65	0xb190b9…
05-21 06:11:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	251	15¢	$38	0xe3748c…
05-21 05:22:59	Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaier	Daniel Altmaier	BUY	92	33¢	$30	0x6f58d3…
05-21 05:16:34	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	138	15¢	$21	0x3f47f6…
05-21 04:05:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	27	31¢	$8	0xbbe885…
05-21 03:23:33	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0xcc83d3…
05-20 17:08:16	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	Mumbai Indians	BUY	301	11¢	$33	0xb82aa8…
05-20 12:20:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	Yes	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0xf0184f…
05-20 10:40:13	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Fiona Ferro vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	BUY	94	27¢	$25	0xa98587…
05-20 10:38:07	Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Aleksandar Kovacevic	BUY	156	21¢	$33	0x936c75…
05-20 10:37:42	Geneva Open: Cameron Norrie vs Mariano Navone	Cameron Norrie	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xa29c54…
05-20 08:56:19	Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud	Raphael Collignon	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xa80dc5…
05-20 06:26:07	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	42¢	$11	0x159560…
05-20 05:35:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	56	25¢	$14	0x78a909…
05-20 05:35:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	54	25¢	$13	0x93a6d2…
05-20 05:00:01	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	17¢	$12	0xb379a9…
05-20 04:55:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xecffef…
05-19 22:36:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	42	27¢	$11	0xc89e06…
05-19 20:36:46	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x23c525…
05-19 19:50:08	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x48a983…
05-19 19:50:01	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x6b20fc…
05-19 18:48:16	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	99	14¢	$14	0xc54f38…
05-19 18:46:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x7a3db7…
05-19 15:58:19	Hamburg European Open: Justin Engel vs Ugo Humbert	Justin Engel	SELL	81	32¢	$26	0x7b9e07…
05-19 14:56:57	Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanov	Hugo Gaston	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xbb6046…
05-19 14:54:46	Hamburg European Open: Justin Engel vs Ugo Humbert	Justin Engel	BUY	81	13¢	$10	0x6368fa…
05-19 10:58:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0xcde607…
05-19 09:58:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	67	12¢	$8	0x8f48fe…
05-19 08:55:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	77	15¢	$12	0x8b5b7e…
05-19 08:54:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x7c3840…
05-19 05:50:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	59	14¢	$8	0x61eb56…
05-19 05:49:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	14¢	$10	0xd53fb7…
05-19 05:49:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	40	22¢	$9	0x9560fb…
05-19 03:54:24	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	59	15¢	$9	0xf5a599…
05-19 03:01:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xd82118…
05-19 03:00:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xdcd514…
05-19 02:58:01	Geneva Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Casper Ruud	Jenson Brooksby	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xe1fa67…