Considerate-Ranch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

114

Trades

611

lifetime

Volume

$921

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-19 18:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 32% +$22

Other

22% — —

Politics

10% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes		-38	$-3	8¢	$-3	$-0	06-09 06:32
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+10	$0	4¢	$0	$-0	06-11 21:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl ast eve 2026 01 18 eve	2	$46	40	40	+0	open	—	01-18 19:23
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$35	32	32	+0	open	—	02-28 15:25
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	6	$30	30	30	+0	open	—	05-11 05:17
epl mun mac 2026 01 17 mun	2	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	01-17 14:45
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 mun	3	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	03-01 18:24
eth updown 4h 1775073600	3	$20	25	25	+0	open	—	04-01 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 05:42
ethereum up or down march 6 12pm et	3	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	03-06 19:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	3	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-07 19:52
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$10	130	0	+130	open	—	01-17 09:42
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	5	$9	10	10	+0	Up	+$7	05-10 02:58
ethereum up or down january 31 1pm et	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	01-31 19:03
bitcoin up or down march 6 7am et	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-06 13:06
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	3	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	03-03 15:51
eth updown 4h 1776600000	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	04-19 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	4	$8	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	5	$8	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 06:14
Trump kiss by May 31?	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 21:01
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	5	$8	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 06:14
btc updown 4h 1782216000	3	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	06-23 15:42
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	4	$7	10	5	+5	Up	+$3	05-10 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	5	$7	10	5	+5	Up	+$3	05-10 03:40
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-03 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	4	$7	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 07:35
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	19	$7	600	0	+600	open	—	05-25 19:40
will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	02-28 16:55
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	07-18 21:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	05-08 12:29
btc updown 4h 1781625600	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	06-16 18:17
btc updown 4h 1782388800	3	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	06-25 13:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 18:03:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x6f1a63…
07-19 17:56:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x103617…
07-18 21:36:24	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x0a6455…
07-18 18:31:21	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x4c8dd0…
07-18 18:11:27	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xac50a3…
07-18 18:11:19	Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0x8f0907…
07-08 23:51:34	btc updown 4h 1783540800	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xca0ce5…
07-08 11:00:44	btc updown 4h 1783497600	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xacc951…
07-06 21:11:26	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x32fcff…
07-06 14:55:50	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x7689ac…
07-05 05:39:50	btc updown 15m 1783229400	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x4fbcea…
07-05 05:31:11	btc updown 15m 1783229400	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x73e815…
07-05 05:31:11	btc updown 15m 1783229400	Down	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x53e491…
07-05 05:31:11	btc updown 15m 1783229400	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0397e8…
07-05 05:21:25	btc updown 15m 1783228500	Down	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x588cd2…
07-05 05:19:13	btc updown 15m 1783228500	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x78b7d9…
07-05 05:03:08	btc updown 15m 1783227600	Up	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xdc2797…
07-05 05:02:16	btc updown 15m 1783227600	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x7e2d47…
07-05 04:46:19	btc updown 15m 1783226700	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc12b7f…
07-04 20:38:01	btc updown 15m 1783197000	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xd0d4be…
07-04 20:02:29	btc updown 15m 1783195200	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xcf4f1e…
07-04 19:43:41	btc updown 15m 1783193400	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xcff3ce…
07-04 19:38:41	btc updown 15m 1783193400	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x4bde76…
07-04 07:36:58	Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xb1c4ef…
07-02 18:56:53	another rfk jr animal rescue by june 30	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x09eed7…
07-02 02:34:52	Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x8abe53…
06-30 11:17:38	btc updown 4h 1782806400	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa876b4…
06-29 03:18:31	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	67	1¢	$0	0x92d80a…
06-27 13:36:28	btc updown 15m 1782567000	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8bf5fb…
06-27 13:20:37	btc updown 15m 1782566100	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xdf9edf…
06-27 13:17:16	btc updown 15m 1782566100	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x8c92fe…
06-27 13:05:13	btc updown 15m 1782565200	Down	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xfaeab4…
06-27 13:05:13	btc updown 15m 1782565200	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x46f932…
06-27 13:03:41	btc updown 15m 1782565200	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xe3738a…
06-27 08:36:41	btc updown 4h 1782547200	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd833c4…
06-27 06:56:55	btc updown 15m 1782542700	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xd93074…
06-27 06:39:55	btc updown 4h 1782532800	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x332d57…
06-27 05:32:58	btc updown 15m 1782538200	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x8cdb83…
06-27 05:18:05	btc updown 15m 1782537300	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xa59ccf…
06-27 04:49:50	btc updown 15m 1782535500	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x896dd8…
06-27 04:49:50	btc updown 15m 1782535500	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x2242b3…
06-27 04:42:13	btc updown 15m 1782534600	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x5c006d…
06-27 04:42:11	btc updown 15m 1782534600	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x72a167…
06-27 04:42:11	btc updown 15m 1782534600	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1aea7b…
06-26 20:41:11	btc updown 15m 1782505800	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xa133c8…
06-26 16:32:44	btc updown 15m 1782491400	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xf76588…
06-26 15:52:26	btc updown 15m 1782488700	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x8e8be9…
06-26 15:36:19	btc updown 15m 1782487800	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xed2245…
06-26 15:36:19	btc updown 15m 1782487800	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x4aa89d…
06-26 13:53:24	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	0	2¢	$0	0x2c4974…
06-26 13:53:22	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0xc4f8a3…
06-26 12:19:04	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0cee63…
06-26 10:00:40	btc updown 4h 1782460800	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x5cc76a…
06-26 07:35:01	btc updown 15m 1782459000	Down	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x2e99f8…
06-26 07:35:01	btc updown 15m 1782459000	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x1d7cf4…
06-26 07:33:07	btc updown 15m 1782459000	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbaa80e…
06-26 07:33:07	btc updown 15m 1782459000	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x0eae50…
06-26 07:16:50	btc updown 15m 1782458100	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2ca2a1…
06-26 07:03:01	btc updown 15m 1782457200	Up	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0xa49e77…
06-26 07:02:49	btc updown 15m 1782457200	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xd025aa…
06-26 06:47:01	btc updown 15m 1782456300	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x3165b4…
06-26 06:45:23	btc updown 15m 1782456300	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x7b32b7…
06-26 06:36:46	btc updown 15m 1782455400	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x08bf63…
06-26 06:31:13	btc updown 15m 1782455400	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x2a29c5…
06-26 06:19:14	btc updown 15m 1782454500	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0af4e8…
06-26 06:01:04	btc updown 15m 1782453600	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x455a8c…
06-26 05:56:41	btc updown 15m 1782452700	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xdc58f6…
06-26 05:56:40	btc updown 15m 1782452700	Down	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x2377f2…
06-26 05:50:13	btc updown 15m 1782452700	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x3964ec…
06-26 05:48:22	btc updown 15m 1782452700	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x96ae2a…
06-26 05:39:17	btc updown 15m 1782451800	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x9b56d1…
06-26 05:34:53	btc updown 15m 1782451800	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xee3ac3…
06-26 05:34:53	btc updown 15m 1782451800	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb66059…
06-26 05:29:13	will openai ipo by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xfac8a5…
06-25 20:33:17	Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xb47ed2…
06-25 13:31:29	btc updown 4h 1782388800	Down	SELL	1	65¢	$0	0x6e9213…
06-25 13:31:25	btc updown 4h 1782388800	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x14ba8b…
06-25 12:30:29	btc updown 4h 1782388800	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xe8e71a…
06-25 06:32:25	bitcoin up or down june 25 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xb25dc4…
06-24 11:50:29	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xc646b9…
06-24 11:05:37	btc updown 4h 1782288000	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x810d69…
06-23 23:11:34	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x5f89b6…
06-23 22:16:49	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xab562a…
06-23 17:56:50	btc updown 4h 1782230400	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xd5dc4d…
06-23 15:42:08	btc updown 4h 1782216000	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x5859a9…
06-23 14:14:53	btc updown 4h 1782216000	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xfd96a6…
06-23 14:14:53	btc updown 4h 1782216000	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x8a6773…
06-21 07:22:19	eth updown 4h 1782014400	Up	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x8ea4f3…
06-21 07:22:14	eth updown 4h 1782014400	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc5ccc0…
06-19 14:03:17	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x4d581d…
06-19 12:48:23	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x39e6cf…
06-19 11:46:41	btc updown 4h 1781856000	Down	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xef8e77…
06-19 06:54:04	btc updown 4h 1781841600	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x365ad5…
06-19 06:54:02	btc updown 4h 1781841600	Down	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xc2202a…
06-19 05:28:35	Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xc70d26…
06-19 05:24:44	Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x64088e…
06-19 01:01:53	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x709868…
06-18 18:50:44	btc updown 4h 1781798400	Down	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xbdb529…
06-18 13:59:40	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x7499c2…
06-18 12:08:34	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x9bd40c…