Considerate-Ranch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

470

Trades

857

lifetime

Volume

$1.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-09 09:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 28% -$17

Other

41% 28% +$10

Politics

7% 44% +$7

Sports

3% 11% -$34

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	Yes		+22	$2	4¢	$1	-$2	07-06 21:11
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+10	$0	2¢	$0	$0	06-11 21:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl ast eve 2026 01 18 eve	2	$46	40	40	+0	Yes	+$34	01-18 19:23
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$35	32	32	+0	Yes	+$15	02-28 15:25
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$31	1,200	0	+1,200	No	-$31	07-05 16:45
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	6	$30	30	30	+0	Yes	+$12	05-11 05:17
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	3	$28	21	21	+0	Yes	+$10	06-23 01:16
epl mun mac 2026 01 17 mun	2	$25	20	20	+0	Yes	+$15	01-17 14:45
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 mun	3	$24	15	15	+0	Yes	+$6	03-01 18:24
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-01 20:00 UTC	3	$20	25	25	+0	Down	+$4	04-01 23:17
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?	1	$15	18	0	+18	Yes	+$3	06-15 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-20 05:42
ethereum up or down march 6 12pm et	3	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$7	03-06 19:08
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	2	$13	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	05-03 15:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	3	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-07 19:52
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	2	$12	9	9	+0	Yes	+$6	07-03 20:00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	2	$12	8	8	+0	Yes	+$4	07-04 19:15
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$10	130	0	+130	No	-$10	01-17 09:42
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	5	$9	10	10	+0	Up	+$7	05-10 02:58
ethereum up or down january 31 1pm et	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	01-31 19:03
bitcoin up or down march 6 7am et	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	03-06 13:06
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	3	$9	10	10	+0	No	+$2	03-03 15:51
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-19 12:00 UTC	2	$8	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	04-19 15:47
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	5	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$3	06-30 18:53
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	2	$8	7	7	+0	Yes	+$5	06-16 01:28
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	1	$8	10	0	+10	Yes	+$2	07-01 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	4	$8	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	5	$8	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 06:14
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	05-16 17:08
Trump kiss by May 31?	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	05-20 21:01
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	2	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	+$4	06-15 03:09
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	5	$8	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 06:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 09:35:27	Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x1b072f…
10-08 08:40:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x71612d…
10-07 10:34:24	Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xc34c50…
10-03 12:50:15	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xd5d073…
10-02 15:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xed7d25…
10-02 15:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xf16975…
10-02 14:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x4bd710…
10-02 14:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xa98783…
10-02 14:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x2bd19f…
10-02 14:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x135101…
10-02 14:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x3be6fe…
10-02 14:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbbacdc…
10-02 14:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x95e46d…
10-02 14:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x165fd9…
10-02 14:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xb6506a…
10-02 13:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xbd37f5…
10-02 13:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xd0b508…
10-02 13:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xe78605…
10-02 13:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xa526b6…
10-02 13:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x1b3e71…
10-02 13:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x1102df…
10-02 12:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x7e8ae9…
10-02 12:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc20507…
10-02 12:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x53b08e…
10-02 12:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xade61b…
10-02 11:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xe64bcd…
10-02 11:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x50285e…
08-22 21:52:51	Will Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x20f199…
07-19 18:03:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x6f1a63…
07-19 17:58:43	Spain leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xcad51a…
07-19 17:56:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x103617…
07-18 21:36:24	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x0a6455…
07-18 20:21:34	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xcc545a…
07-18 20:21:31	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xd0360e…
07-18 18:31:21	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x4c8dd0…
07-18 18:11:27	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0xac50a3…
07-18 18:11:19	Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0x8f0907…
07-11 23:31:14	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x04fc45…
07-11 07:57:52	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa85424…
07-08 23:51:34	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-08 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xca0ce5…
07-08 11:00:44	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-08 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xacc951…
07-08 10:52:59	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xce235b…
07-08 10:52:43	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe73f05…
07-07 17:21:52	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0xb3e07c…
07-07 10:45:28	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe5a852…
07-06 21:11:26	will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x32fcff…
07-06 14:55:50	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x7689ac…
07-06 08:05:49	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x3067e8…
07-06 04:38:14	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x37bbe4…
07-05 21:35:02	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0xf48fb4…
07-05 18:29:01	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Norway?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x73c7bc…
07-05 16:45:35	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x685479…
07-05 08:21:08	Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x72c56d…
07-05 05:39:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x4fbcea…
07-05 05:31:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x73e815…
07-05 05:31:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x53e491…
07-05 05:31:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0397e8…
07-05 05:21:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 05:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x588cd2…
07-05 05:19:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x78b7d9…
07-05 05:03:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 05:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xdc2797…
07-05 05:02:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x7e2d47…
07-05 04:46:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-05 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc12b7f…
07-05 04:42:40	Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x4b48a4…
07-04 20:38:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xd0d4be…
07-04 20:02:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xcf4f1e…
07-04 19:43:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xcff3ce…
07-04 19:38:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x4bde76…
07-04 19:28:23	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x796c53…
07-04 19:15:22	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0a1c65…
07-04 16:32:08	Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb7e534…
07-04 07:36:58	Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xb1c4ef…
07-03 23:19:38	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xd3becc…
07-03 22:46:46	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x8046af…
07-03 20:00:50	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xf4641d…
07-02 23:07:41	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xd6976e…
07-02 20:10:13	Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7fb0df…
07-02 20:09:52	Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xae6356…
07-02 18:56:53	another rfk jr animal rescue by june 30	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x09eed7…
07-02 17:41:32	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xaf5f6f…
07-02 16:40:28	Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x8d0538…
07-02 02:34:52	Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x8abe53…
07-01 21:05:05	Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x59512f…
07-01 19:57:08	Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x9bcd73…
07-01 19:54:26	Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 3 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	19	2¢	$0	0x95c491…
07-01 19:05:49	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x42e85b…
07-01 09:57:28	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x462299…
07-01 09:20:55	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x539000…
06-30 18:53:25	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x542490…
06-30 18:53:23	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x73ad36…
06-30 18:53:23	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x61a3c7…
06-30 18:53:23	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x0a7a11…
06-30 11:17:38	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-30 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa876b4…
06-30 08:38:23	Will France win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x664758…
06-30 07:30:22	Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 3 Norway?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xccce40…
06-29 10:35:25	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xa6ece2…
06-29 10:33:43	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xe3c096…
06-29 10:28:31	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xdfcd69…
06-29 10:28:25	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x268023…
06-29 06:11:22	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xf7c6f8…
06-29 06:11:13	Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Japan?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x912637…