Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$8,980

Trades

480

Unique wallets

82

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-07-09

First seen

2026-07-08

last 07-08 23:59

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Lively-Authenticity +2,164 (anon) +947 Impolite-Sister +746 Apprehensive-Breakdown +640 Gigantic-Apology +602 Rural-Wharf-Parable +484 Supportive-Matchmaker +435 All-Peasant-Drug +379

NO holders

Lively-Authenticity +1,922 Gigantic-Apology +840 (anon) +784 Impolite-Sister +755 Indelible-Comprehension +632 Rural-Wharf-Parable +546 Supportive-Matchmaker +458 (anon) +416

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -3.8¢ (top1%: 49% YES on $5.9K vs crowd: 53% YES on $8.4K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	12	$3.2K	$3.2K	$5
🐬 Dolphin	16	$786	$509	+$277
🐟 Fish	27	$432	$246	+$186
🦐 Shrimp	27	$73	$57	+$17

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	11	$2.9K	$3.0K	$114
🏆 Top 5%	6	$47	$53	$6
✅ Top 10%	5	$233	$3	+$230
Median	5	$3	$6	$3
Below median	23	$82	$153	$71
⚠️ Bottom 10%	12	$102	$87	+$15
🔻 Bottom 5%	14	$812	$133	+$679
💀 Bottom 1%	6	$288	$543	$255

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Up	+2,164	$976	$976	40	07-08 23:53
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Down	+1,922	$1,082	$1,082	29	07-08 23:59
(anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461	Up	+947	$710	$710	4	07-08 23:59
Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e	Down	+840	$210	$210	1	07-08 23:51
(anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461	Down	+784	$532	$532	7	07-08 23:30
Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed	Down	+755	$318	$318	9	07-08 23:51
Impolite-Sister 0xc2ad…40ed	Up	+746	$368	$368	8	07-08 23:59
Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82	Up	+640	$286	$286	3	07-08 21:27
Indelible-Comprehension 0x7655…5661	Down	+632	$348	$348	1	07-08 20:07
Gigantic-Apology 0x8320…904e	Up	+602	$184	$184	2	07-08 21:04
Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88	Down	+546	$253	$253	11	07-08 23:59
Rural-Wharf-Parable 0x3725…ad88	Up	+484	$108	$108	6	07-08 23:37
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Down	+458	$222	$222	37	07-08 22:47
Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea	Up	+435	$162	$162	40	07-08 23:37
(anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3	Down	+416	$195	$195	9	07-08 23:52
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	Up	+379	$178	$322	10	07-08 22:16
(anonymous) 0x32ed…8ec3	Up	+334	$75	$75	8	07-08 23:48
Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82	Down	+319	$158	$158	5	07-08 22:12
Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9	Down	+236	$7	$7	4	07-08 23:57
(anonymous) 0xa273…ebff	Up	+229	$222	$222	1	07-08 23:57
Several-Nutrient 0xb29f…7da3	Up	+159	$76	$76	10	07-08 23:17
(anonymous) 0xf8d8…2dc8	Down	+131	$74	$74	3	07-08 23:17
Several-Nutrient 0xb29f…7da3	Down	+104	$43	$43	2	07-08 23:51
Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273	Up	+83	$26	$26	8	07-08 21:26
Steep-Icicle 0x3275…8fa9	Down	+69	$29	$29	4	07-08 23:51
Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273	Down	+62	$33	$33	5	07-08 21:27
Dependent-Gym 0x97e5…d1f0	Down	+60	$44	$44	1	07-08 23:37
(anonymous) 0xb103…17b7	Down	+53	$29	$29	2	07-08 23:46
Steep-Icicle 0x3275…8fa9	Up	+53	$21	$21	8	07-08 23:17
(anonymous) 0x7844…28c4	Down	+40	$9	$9	2	07-08 23:56
(anonymous) 0xd4fc…7a72	Up	+39	$11	$11	2	07-08 23:39
Near-Strike 0x679c…afff	Down	+36	$22	$294	43	07-08 23:20
(anonymous) 0xf70c…4e63	Up	+32	$16	$16	5	07-08 18:57
Safe-Irony 0xa08b…855b	Up	+30	$27	$27	2	07-08 23:56
Innocent-Waiver 0xc6f7…a779	Down	+27	$19	$19	3	07-08 21:01
Ecstatic-Onion 0x7292…d0ea	Up	+27	$25	$25	1	07-08 23:56
(anonymous) 0x01e7…d932	Down	+26	$20	$20	4	07-08 21:27
(anonymous) 0x0148…f0fc	Up	+25	$10	$10	1	07-08 20:41
(anonymous) 0x11f8…e629	Down	+25	$12	$12	6	07-08 22:30
Useful-Hobby 0x28f3…cfeb	Up	+25	$16	$16	1	07-08 23:02
Full-Paddock 0x2801…ebdc	Down	+23	$15	$15	1	07-08 23:26
(anonymous) 0x6768…fa71	Up	+23	$10	$10	3	07-08 21:27
(anonymous) 0x8c8c…cb02	Up	+21	$10	$12	3	07-08 20:26
Imaginary-Failure 0x0b2d…86f7	Up	+21	$10	$10	5	07-08 20:16
(anonymous) 0x525e…23fb	Up	+20	$10	$10	1	07-08 20:34
Extraneous-Transom 0x1e4b…0a04	Up	+20	$9	$9	1	07-08 22:00
(anonymous) 0x11f8…e629	Up	+15	$5	$5	4	07-08 23:31
Spotless-Marionberry 0x0cb9…b221	Up	+15	$12	$12	1	07-08 23:55
Detailed-Rim 0xd2fc…20bb	Up	+13	$9	$9	1	07-08 23:11
Awesome-Vengeance 0x5e2f…f9ba	Up	+13	$6	$6	1	07-08 20:11
(anonymous) 0x6768…fa71	Down	+12	$7	$7	5	07-08 22:12
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	Down	+12	$8	$26	5	07-08 23:59
(anonymous) 0xf70c…4e63	Down	+11	$5	$24	6	07-08 18:57
Warlike-Harvester 0x87e2…7893	Up	+11	$6	$6	2	07-08 22:47
(anonymous) 0xa0bf…09b4	Up	+10	$5	$5	1	07-08 19:56
(anonymous) 0x4f83…8c23	Down	+10	$4	$4	1	07-08 22:06
Questionable-Congressman 0xa382…afd6	Down	+10	$5	$5	1	07-08 19:56
Square-Billboard 0x63f8…92b8	Down	+10	$5	$5	1	07-08 22:33
(anonymous) 0x258b…db84	Down	+7	$2	$2	2	07-08 23:55
Considerate-Ranch 0xbe02…c935	Down	+6	$2	$2	1	07-08 23:51