Imaginary-Failure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$318

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

43.9%

Resolved

323

Trades

442

lifetime

Volume

$2.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-22

last 07-18 00:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 41% -$316

Other

0% 33% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes		-9	-$2	6¢	$-0	+$2	05-28 18:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$42	90	+90	Down	-$42	06-15 16:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-19 16:00 UTC	6	$37	57	+57	Down	-$37	06-19 16:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-15 08:00 UTC	2	$35	58	+58	Up	+$23	06-15 08:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-18 08:00 UTC	5	$33	66	+66	Down	+$33	06-18 08:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-16 16:00 UTC	3	$32	55	+55	Down	+$23	06-16 16:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-20 20:00 UTC	3	$26	51	+51	Up	-$26	06-20 20:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-17 04:00 UTC	3	$24	49	+49	Down	+$25	06-17 04:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-21 00:00 UTC	2	$24	40	+40	Up	-$24	06-21 00:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-19 20:00 UTC	2	$22	49	+49	Up	-$22	06-19 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$21	38	+38	Up	+$16	06-15 00:15
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-21 08:00 UTC	1	$21	52	+52	Down	-$21	06-21 08:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-21 12:00 UTC	1	$21	35	+35	Up	-$21	06-21 12:15
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-19 12:00 UTC	2	$21	42	+42	Up	+$21	06-19 12:15
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-23 08:00 UTC	1	$21	30	+30	Down	+$9	06-23 08:15
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-15 04:00 UTC	1	$21	30	+30	Down	+$9	06-15 04:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-25 04:00 UTC	4	$21	38	+38	Up	-$21	06-25 04:15
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-22 04:00 UTC	1	$21	41	+41	Up	-$21	06-22 04:15
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-22 08:00 UTC	1	$21	34	+34	Up	+$13	06-22 08:15
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-20 04:00 UTC	1	$21	48	+48	Up	+$27	06-20 04:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-23 20:00 UTC	1	$21	46	+46	Up	-$21	06-23 20:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-16 08:00 UTC	1	$21	33	+33	Up	+$12	06-16 08:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-25 12:00 UTC	1	$21	38	+38	Down	+$17	06-25 12:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-17 16:00 UTC	1	$21	34	+34	Down	-$21	06-17 16:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-18 12:00 UTC	1	$21	42	+42	Down	+$21	06-18 12:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-20 12:00 UTC	1	$21	42	+42	Up	-$21	06-20 12:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-14 20:00 UTC	1	$21	38	+38	Up	+$17	06-14 20:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-16 04:00 UTC	1	$21	40	+40	Up	-$21	06-16 04:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-21 04:00 UTC	1	$21	41	+41	Down	-$21	06-21 04:16
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-24 12:00 UTC	1	$21	45	+45	Down	-$21	06-24 12:15
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-22 20:00 UTC	6	$21	46	+46	Down	+$25	06-22 20:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 00:15:48	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xe6ae3a…
07-18 00:15:48	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x36a4b8…
07-18 00:15:39	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa268d1…
07-18 00:15:28	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-18 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x3e5264…
07-17 16:16:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-17 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x89c4d4…
07-17 12:16:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-17 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xcd080c…
07-17 08:16:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-17 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xba0810…
07-17 04:16:24	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x61a2cd…
07-17 00:16:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-17 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xacf4ef…
07-16 12:15:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-16 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x2af323…
07-16 04:16:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-16 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd6399e…
07-16 04:15:08	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-16 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x7e3a71…
07-16 00:15:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-16 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x5d67b5…
07-16 00:15:14	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-16 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x64d1fc…
07-15 20:16:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-15 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x52eea5…
07-15 12:15:08	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-15 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x45f8cc…
07-15 08:16:16	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-15 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe00e64…
07-15 04:16:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-15 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x1ed835…
07-15 04:15:14	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-15 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x6750ec…
07-15 00:16:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-15 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x501d54…
07-15 00:16:17	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-15 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xb7b4b5…
07-14 20:16:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-14 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x7a9977…
07-14 16:15:08	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-14 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x1e9aac…
07-14 12:16:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9c6f58…
07-14 08:15:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-14 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc30dd7…
07-14 08:15:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-14 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0aa1b8…
07-14 04:16:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-14 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf2daca…
07-13 20:15:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-13 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x220bad…
07-13 16:16:02	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-13 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0xdd2d33…
07-13 16:15:38	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-13 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	43¢	$10	0x677d21…
07-13 12:15:41	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-13 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x42e4d1…
07-13 08:15:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-13 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x33d11c…
07-13 08:15:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-13 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x63eeb4…
07-13 04:15:32	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-13 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x3523ad…
07-13 04:15:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-13 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x74a8e5…
07-13 04:15:08	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-13 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xde3f10…
07-12 20:15:34	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-12 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xd58969…
07-12 04:16:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-12 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x3427ba…
07-12 00:16:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-12 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x6baf2c…
07-11 20:16:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-11 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x3cdc08…
07-11 16:16:19	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-11 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x30ac34…
07-11 12:15:19	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-11 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xc20699…
07-11 12:15:14	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-11 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xc46415…
07-11 04:16:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-11 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x6784d8…
07-10 08:15:08	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-10 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x789095…
07-10 04:16:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-10 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x44d285…
07-10 04:15:40	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-10 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x7d927c…
07-10 00:15:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-10 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x55e2f4…
07-09 20:16:35	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-09 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xdcf742…
07-09 20:15:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-09 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb1aea5…
07-09 20:15:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-09 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4652c3…
07-09 16:15:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-09 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x074a1e…
07-09 16:15:41	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-09 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3b9f52…
07-09 16:15:32	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-09 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc32185…
07-09 16:15:08	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-09 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc047be…
07-09 12:16:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-09 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5ae6a2…
07-09 04:16:26	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-09 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0xde4208…
07-09 04:16:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-09 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xcda960…
07-09 04:16:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-09 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xb5f6a9…
07-09 00:15:08	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-09 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xcf6738…
07-08 20:16:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-08 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xe874ce…
07-08 20:16:17	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-08 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8f6654…
07-08 20:16:14	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-08 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa1454a…
07-08 20:16:10	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-08 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0928b4…
07-08 20:16:04	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-08 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x43fa85…
07-08 12:16:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-08 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xcf90ab…
07-08 12:16:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-08 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x892551…
07-08 12:16:19	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-08 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xfeb62a…
07-08 12:16:14	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-08 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc648ba…
07-08 04:19:02	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-08 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x95c556…
07-08 04:15:52	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-08 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x0256c6…
07-07 20:16:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-07 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xda55d5…
07-07 16:15:37	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-07 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7f2c26…
07-07 16:15:34	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-07 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x92b1c7…
07-07 16:15:29	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-07 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1d025c…
07-07 08:15:08	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-07 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xf92f8e…
07-07 04:16:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-07 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xfa9e06…
07-07 00:15:53	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-07 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdc434c…
07-07 00:15:53	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-07 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7c488d…
07-06 04:16:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-06 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbad8da…
07-05 20:16:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-05 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xdebf42…
07-05 16:16:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-05 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb65753…
07-05 12:16:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-05 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x737851…
07-05 08:16:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-05 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x29067e…
07-05 04:16:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-05 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x6d2014…
07-04 20:16:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-04 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xd49135…
07-04 20:15:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-04 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfcb91e…
07-04 08:16:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-04 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x73a810…
07-04 04:16:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-04 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd25deb…
07-03 12:16:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-03 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x83dabd…
07-03 08:16:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-03 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xe8ea61…
07-03 04:15:14	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-03 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x397e18…
07-02 20:16:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-02 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xee856f…
07-02 12:15:11	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-02 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xec2a16…
07-02 04:15:31	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-02 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0x8cde9e…
07-02 04:15:23	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-02 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc0d4ac…
07-02 04:15:20	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-02 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xed781f…
07-01 16:16:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-01 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaf78f4…
07-01 08:16:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-01 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xe26094…
07-01 08:15:08	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-01 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xfd6009…