Meager-Guarantee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$95

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

13.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$47

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-11 05:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

100% 33% $-95

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on May 12?	Yes		+10	$0	4¢	$0	+$0	05-11 05:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?	4	$40	15	144	-129	No	$-101	05-10 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?	1	$6	0	10	-10	Yes	+$6	05-10 03:33
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 7?	1	$1	213	0	+213	No	$-1	05-06 05:34
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on May 12?	1	$0	10	0	+10	open	—	05-11 05:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 05:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on May 12?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x8aedc9…
05-10 03:38:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?	No	SELL	93	23¢	$21	0x28179b…
05-10 03:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?	No	SELL	41	23¢	$9	0xea1446…
05-10 03:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?	No	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x97c0a4…
05-10 03:33:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?	No	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x3e5b05…
05-10 03:28:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 10?	No	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x4b0f29…
05-06 05:34:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 7?	Yes	BUY	213	0¢	$1	0x2470b7…