Elliptical-Tugboat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$814

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved

Trades

354

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 05-24 03:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

59% 0% $-20

Crypto

26% 23% $-532

Politics

6% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-262

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	32	$2.0K	2,154	1,706	+448	open	—	04-24 22:10
will mrbeasts video get between 79 and 80 million views on day 5	7	$1.9K	965	963	+2	open	—	04-23 19:20
will mrbeasts next video get between 55 and 58 million views on day 2	2	$1.5K	1,560	0	+1,560	open	—	04-20 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$1.0K	547	547	+0	Up	+$42	05-10 09:50
doge updown 5m 1775078700	2	$797	403	403	+0	open	—	04-01 21:30
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	3	$689	3,196	0	+3,196	open	—	04-18 23:54
btc updown 5m 1774997100	2	$664	368	368	+0	open	—	03-31 22:50
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	9	$644	5,303	858	+4,444	open	—	05-11 08:02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$588	825	0	+825	open	—	04-25 09:26
will mrbeasts next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2 649	10	$584	1,929	1,170	+759	open	—	04-06 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$500	956	0	+956	Up	$-500	05-10 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$500	532	0	+532	Up	+$32	05-10 09:54
will mrbeasts next video get between 78 and 79 million views on day 6	7	$382	330	330	+0	open	—	03-27 04:23
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$366	963	235	+728	No	$-262	04-21 23:19
will mrbeasts next video get between 81 and 82 million views on week 1	29	$269	210	210	+0	open	—	03-28 09:25
fif eng ury 2026 03 27 eng	7	$261	184	184	+0	open	—	03-27 21:37
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$237	400	400	+0	open	—	04-25 07:05
will mrbeasts next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 5	4	$231	142	142	+0	open	—	03-26 06:30
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$194	233	0	+233	open	—	04-25 20:16
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?	9	$162	294	293	+1	open	—	04-19 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$144	355	223	+132	Down	$-6	05-12 21:48
will mrbeasts latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4	1	$131	1,102	0	+1,102	open	—	04-08 08:17
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	2	$102	600	0	+600	open	—	04-05 11:28
Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	26	$96	517	517	+0	open	—	05-24 03:54
doge updown 5m 1775078100	2	$90	48	48	+0	open	—	04-01 21:21
will mrbeasts next video get between 59 and 62 million views on day 3	5	$70	270	270	+0	open	—	03-23 18:34
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	7	$66	274	0	+274	open	—	04-24 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$63	38	38	+0	Down	+$13	05-12 21:35
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 62 million views on day 3	7	$63	764	0	+764	open	—	04-07 05:00
will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	5	$62	281	110	+171	open	—	03-29 22:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 03:54:29	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	SELL	517	0¢	$1	0x4cee2e…
05-15 08:05:45	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?	No	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x800951…
05-15 08:05:13	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?	No	BUY	300	2¢	$4	0xd7f912…
05-15 08:05:01	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?	No	BUY	300	2¢	$4	0x3c336c…
05-12 21:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	131	16¢	$21	0x0865b3…
05-12 21:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0x7d09e6…
05-12 21:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0xbaedc4…
05-12 21:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	223	31¢	$69	0xc6cb72…
05-12 21:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	123	20¢	$25	0x013897…
05-12 21:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x2855eb…
05-12 21:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	108	23¢	$25	0x711739…
05-12 21:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x0584b2…
05-12 21:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x89354c…
05-12 21:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x75dae3…
05-12 21:29:14	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?	No	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xc65d07…
05-12 18:51:02	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xe2b80a…
05-12 10:49:44	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x32a3f0…
05-12 07:44:14	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?	No	BUY	31	11¢	$3	0x2a909d…
05-12 06:06:19	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?	No	BUY	55	15¢	$8	0x2708ab…
05-12 06:00:29	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc124e5…
05-11 23:22:23	Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?	No	BUY	185	12¢	$22	0x701f97…
05-11 22:23:56	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd7b5ce…
05-11 22:09:51	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xfd836e…
05-11 22:09:34	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x008042…
05-11 22:09:28	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x0d4d93…
05-11 22:09:20	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x583ca7…
05-11 22:09:16	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0x0a3943…
05-11 22:08:59	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x0258ab…
05-11 22:07:35	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xc5602f…
05-11 22:06:49	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x143641…
05-11 22:06:16	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x169af8…
05-11 22:05:39	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x1bc011…
05-11 22:05:16	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x0cbd80…
05-11 22:04:06	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0xdeda97…
05-11 22:03:47	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	50	23¢	$11	0xf2111f…
05-11 22:03:19	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	50	23¢	$11	0x7515d6…
05-11 22:02:58	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x06e9c4…
05-11 22:02:21	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x445eed…
05-11 21:43:06	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcf7932…
05-11 21:22:40	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x4eace8…
05-11 21:21:52	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x270821…
05-11 20:39:59	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xbeaacb…
05-11 19:44:26	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x69d70f…
05-11 19:43:00	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xcfe070…
05-11 08:02:35	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,667	1¢	$10	0x91f4ea…
05-11 07:47:41	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,667	1¢	$10	0x632846…
05-10 22:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x1c676e…
05-10 22:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xa1d6b4…
05-10 22:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd37353…
05-10 22:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x44b580…
05-10 22:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf0b597…
05-10 19:42:43	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0x1264e1…
05-10 13:31:34	Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0x87af2a…
05-10 10:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	956	52¢	$500	0x81f863…
05-10 09:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0x87473f…
05-10 09:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	547	99¢	$542	0x0f56fa…
05-10 09:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	547	91¢	$500	0x7bafad…
05-01 07:03:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	858	24¢	$206	0x2189fd…
04-25 20:16:38	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	84¢	$145	0xa8cf7b…
04-25 15:15:00	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	300	36¢	$108	0xcab283…
04-25 11:27:00	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	300	39¢	$117	0x2999a3…
04-25 09:26:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	296	89¢	$263	0xdf867a…
04-25 09:26:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0x0cadf4…
04-25 07:51:18	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0x9374ba…
04-25 07:39:44	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x9d23cf…
04-25 07:33:14	Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	81¢	$49	0x636dd2…
04-25 07:06:00	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	220	36¢	$79	0x24a089…
04-25 07:05:28	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	400	29¢	$114	0xc95e19…
04-25 06:47:20	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	400	31¢	$123	0x5311ec…
04-24 22:10:12	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0x65f260…
04-24 22:10:04	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x0f53ab…
04-24 22:08:34	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	80	7¢	$6	0xf5296b…
04-24 22:08:06	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x02adf0…
04-24 22:02:28	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x63a3ca…
04-24 20:14:38	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xbf1fb0…
04-24 20:05:24	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x5ee6f5…
04-24 20:04:12	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xe4281a…
04-24 20:04:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x82be26…
04-24 20:04:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x802fb0…
04-24 20:04:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x456dbc…
04-24 20:04:00	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x401ba6…
04-24 20:01:36	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0xd809d4…
04-24 19:37:40	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x75d03e…
04-24 18:28:32	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	994	92¢	$914	0x5a700a…
04-24 15:49:30	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0x535ea0…
04-24 15:47:24	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	65	91¢	$59	0xf8c124…
04-24 15:47:18	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	32	91¢	$29	0xd02680…
04-24 15:45:00	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	98	91¢	$89	0x15f3d0…
04-24 06:35:18	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	403	93¢	$376	0x6d7c34…
04-24 06:07:22	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0xe68283…
04-23 22:12:10	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	116	68¢	$79	0xac5137…
04-23 22:09:08	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	184	68¢	$125	0x19500e…
04-23 21:32:48	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x63c17e…
04-23 21:32:40	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	45	64¢	$28	0x371669…
04-23 21:01:38	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xb2437e…
04-23 21:01:30	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2c74c4…
04-23 21:00:52	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0xf3d46f…
04-23 21:00:52	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0xe6cd5e…
04-23 21:00:52	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xc08fa6…
04-23 21:00:52	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb9d78d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38	40	$77.8K	4,362	04-28 06:25
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	36	$4.78K	1,204	05-06 18:45
Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d	36	$4.71K	448	04-28 08:02
Accomplished-Dissonance 0xb260…715a	35	$37.3K	627	05-10 14:07
Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8	34	$97.0K	2,004	04-27 14:46
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	34	$37.3K	3,048	05-16 23:15
Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438	34	$4.00K	181	04-23 01:14
Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318	33	$122.1K	1,989	05-20 14:29