Flawed-Singular 0xbe62f8…f7a45a Create alert
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Realized P&L (7d)
+$77
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
72.9%
Resolved (7d)
497
Trades (7d)
1,190
15,953 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.05K
$52.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$33
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 11-05 23:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Crypto
97% 51% -$272
Other
3% 38% -$55
Politics
0% 0% -$11
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% 33% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 596 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (LOW) $6.3B by November 30? Yes +12 $1 28¢ $3 +$3 11-04 10:49
Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +8 $3 38¢ $3 $0 11-04 01:25
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? No +17 $1 14¢ $2 +$1 11-05 17:12
Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms? No +9 $3 24¢ $2 -$1 11-05 04:17
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +10 $2 20¢ $2 $0 11-05 02:50
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on November 8? No +24 $2 7¢ $2 +$0 11-04 03:12
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +25 $2 6¢ $1 $0 11-04 22:56
ethereum above 2000 on november 9 2026 No +33 $3 4¢ $1 -$1 11-02 18:34
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +79 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 11-05 03:24
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? Yes +13 $2 10¢ $1 -$1 11-02 21:00
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 15, 2026? No +20 $1 6¢ $1 +$1 11-05 17:12
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on November 7? No +24 $1 5¢ $1 $0 11-04 03:11
Sweden snap election called in 2026? Yes +5 $3 22¢ $1 -$2 11-05 06:59
Harris's Democratic nomination odds hit 8% by December 31? Yes +5 $2 22¢ $1 -$1 11-04 16:07
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 50% or higher? No — +18 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 11-06 00:08
Will OpenAI have the highest private market valuation at the end of November? Yes +24 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 11-05 13:28
Will Solana dip to $80 November 2-8? Yes +7 $1 11¢ $1 $0 11-05 16:00
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 23 and November 29, 2026? Yes +37 $0 2¢ $1 +$0 11-01 16:49
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +12 $1 6¢ $1 $0 11-05 10:41
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in November? Yes +14 $1 5¢ $1 $0 11-03 04:44
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 14 and December 20, 2026? Yes +40 $0 2¢ $1 +$0 11-05 01:34
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? No — +12 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 11-06 00:08
Will XRP dip to $1.00 November 2-8? Yes +19 $1 2¢ $0 $0 11-05 15:59
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +11 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 11-04 23:01
Will the right bloc win the Spanish election by 1-9 seats? Yes +6 $1 8¢ $0 $0 11-04 21:16
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between December 7 and December 13, 2026? Yes +17 $1 2¢ $0 $0 11-05 23:04
Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +16 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 11-04 22:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +42 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 11-05 18:43
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 4 and January 10, 2027? Yes — +32 $0 1¢ $0 $0 11-02 03:22
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between January 11 and January 17, 2027? Yes +43 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-05 01:35