Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.7%

Resolved

Trades

340

lifetime

Volume

$120.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$354

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 08-10 20:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% 50% $-1

Politics

40% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	39	$37.6K	16,431	21,400	-4,969	open	—	05-14 06:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	106	$35.3K	19,619	25,965	-6,346	open	—	08-04 01:20
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	37	$15.6K	4,426	11,176	-6,750	open	—	05-15 13:31
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	13	$4.5K	2,400	2,298	+102	open	—	05-14 10:02
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	8	$3.9K	4,100	0	+4,100	open	—	08-04 16:32
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	9	$2.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	05-14 05:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	22	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	06-28 17:01
Netanyahu out by May 31?	8	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	05-13 21:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	5	$2.2K	2,180	400	+1,780	open	—	08-04 14:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	4	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-14 22:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	1	$1.8K	0	1,900	-1,900	open	—	06-17 07:07
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	11	$1.4K	1,388	0	+1,388	open	—	05-15 00:01
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$977	491	491	+0	open	—	05-21 20:20
kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	2	$834	870	0	+870	open	—	08-10 20:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$799	920	0	+920	open	—	05-22 17:47
will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	3	$791	400	400	+0	open	—	07-20 18:06
will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	3	$786	800	0	+800	open	—	07-13 14:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	3	$779	400	400	+0	open	—	05-14 09:56
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	2	$712	800	0	+800	open	—	07-20 19:15
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$685	0	700	-700	open	—	06-06 14:46
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	7	$636	444	200	+244	open	—	05-17 15:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	36	$444	0	800	-800	open	—	06-04 20:39
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	2	$397	200	200	+0	Yes	$-1	05-13 11:42
Kash Patel out by May 31?	3	$348	200	200	+0	open	—	05-15 12:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$296	470	0	+470	open	—	06-25 12:59
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	2	$198	0	200	-200	open	—	06-07 04:54
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	5	$152	167	0	+167	open	—	05-15 15:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$63	0	80	-80	open	—	08-03 15:20
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	1	$47	48	0	+48	Up	+$0	05-13 19:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 20:26:18	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	BUY	670	96¢	$643	0xc53bc2…
08-05 22:12:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x967b7d…
08-04 16:32:14	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	105	97¢	$102	0x8b849d…
08-04 15:59:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	295	97¢	$288	0xd4cdc9…
08-04 14:45:38	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	400	98¢	$390	0xecf31d…
08-04 14:10:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	400	82¢	$329	0x618f0f…
08-04 13:53:59	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1,800	98¢	$1,757	0x6316f2…
08-04 12:24:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,142	84¢	$960	0x7d9393…
08-04 12:20:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x50bcf3…
08-04 12:19:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	25	84¢	$21	0xf9d3d4…
08-04 12:11:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0x35f44e…
08-04 01:20:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,948	58¢	$1,130	0x409848…
08-04 01:20:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x8c724d…
08-04 01:20:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x22fb0e…
08-04 01:20:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xc7be0a…
08-04 01:20:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xe1cc86…
08-04 01:20:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	319	58¢	$185	0xe76818…
08-03 15:20:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	80	79¢	$63	0x8126e6…
08-02 02:39:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,428	55¢	$786	0xbeb355…
08-02 02:39:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x9dc87c…
08-02 02:39:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x2db2b0…
08-02 02:20:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	29	55¢	$16	0x81c8db…
08-02 02:20:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	39	55¢	$21	0x29930e…
08-02 02:20:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xb37ed0…
08-02 02:20:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,516	54¢	$819	0x8397b2…
07-20 19:15:25	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x80dbc9…
07-20 18:06:01	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	SELL	400	100¢	$398	0xdc5af1…
07-20 14:12:00	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x31909a…
07-20 13:46:57	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	699	92¢	$643	0x625aa5…
07-20 11:25:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa692aa…
07-14 16:43:49	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	BUY	400	98¢	$393	0xfa9d4b…
07-13 14:45:22	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	347	98¢	$341	0x9479a2…
07-13 14:45:13	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0x02505a…
07-13 14:44:59	will samuel alito announce his retirement by july 15 2026	No	BUY	372	98¢	$365	0xcdcccb…
07-13 11:46:38	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x73cd0e…
07-11 17:38:04	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	400	84¢	$336	0x457425…
07-08 12:06:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,863	58¢	$1,661	0xbeaa35…
07-08 11:19:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	93	58¢	$54	0x78fe32…
07-08 10:53:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x61e947…
07-08 10:52:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0xcf8ad1…
07-08 10:43:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xab1f15…
07-08 10:36:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x509cde…
07-08 10:32:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,198	58¢	$1,275	0x4a4f1f…
07-08 09:34:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x4d104c…
07-08 09:30:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	26	58¢	$15	0xac9d81…
07-08 09:21:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xdf8765…
07-08 09:20:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x3f3899…
07-08 09:15:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x878461…
07-08 09:14:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x67dc47…
07-08 08:38:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xcc82b0…
07-08 08:33:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x9168b9…
07-01 08:42:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x3d4fa7…
06-30 14:19:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	74	82¢	$61	0x380448…
06-30 11:03:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	83	82¢	$68	0xec7eb1…
06-30 08:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x3e0d75…
06-30 08:47:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x6bd21c…
06-30 08:41:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xb699cb…
06-30 08:33:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xd760bd…
06-30 03:45:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1fbe7c…
06-30 03:44:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x03ba0b…
06-30 03:23:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	165	82¢	$135	0x7d3b8d…
06-29 21:31:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x0612a5…
06-29 19:22:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdc03e2…
06-29 18:04:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xad71bc…
06-29 17:51:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x7838a2…
06-29 17:51:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x4ce84c…
06-29 17:51:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0xcbdea6…
06-29 17:51:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xb1ad94…
06-29 17:51:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0x161106…
06-29 17:50:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0xf39d86…
06-29 17:00:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	59	83¢	$49	0x872994…
06-29 16:33:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x9ad4f2…
06-29 16:32:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	394	83¢	$327	0x3e0ddf…
06-28 17:01:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,200	99¢	$1,189	0x960548…
06-25 13:02:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,700	89¢	$1,513	0x5ebb86…
06-25 12:59:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	470	63¢	$296	0x7fdab2…
06-25 11:53:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,000	90¢	$1,800	0x8ef2b2…
06-24 09:52:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	600	86¢	$516	0x05001f…
06-24 08:49:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0xb62aed…
06-24 08:49:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x18d11e…
06-24 08:48:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$65	0xd9bead…
06-24 08:48:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x696f1d…
06-24 08:48:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x39877d…
06-24 08:48:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x07ed93…
06-24 08:47:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x01fb63…
06-24 08:47:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb682c7…
06-24 08:46:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	74	98¢	$73	0xe7fffe…
06-24 08:45:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x347090…
06-24 08:45:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x306f35…
06-24 08:44:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x57f840…
06-24 08:44:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe2b30d…
06-24 08:44:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8ddaa4…
06-24 08:43:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x4f34f5…
06-24 08:40:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe99761…
06-24 08:40:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8cfd96…
06-24 08:39:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x586755…
06-19 03:19:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	260	89¢	$231	0xde86c0…
06-18 12:47:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	704	91¢	$641	0x3e2bc1…
06-18 12:31:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3a07a3…
06-18 12:24:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x372308…