Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$1.00K

Hit rate

10.7%

Resolved

Trades

288

lifetime

Volume

$104.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$364

Open exposure

$4.37K

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 07-01 08:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% 50% $-1

Politics

46% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	-6,252	$-5,139	62¢	$-3845	+$1,294	07-01 08:42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	-800	$-444	60¢	$-484	$-40	06-04 20:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	+470	$296	10¢	$45	$-251	06-25 12:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	39	$37.6K	16,431	21,400	-4,969	open	—	05-14 06:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	78	$29.2K	19,619	15,300	+4,319	open	—	07-01 08:42
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	37	$15.6K	4,426	11,176	-6,750	open	—	05-15 13:31
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	13	$4.5K	2,400	2,298	+102	open	—	05-14 10:02
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	9	$2.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	05-14 05:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	22	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	06-28 17:01
Netanyahu out by May 31?	8	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	05-13 21:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	4	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-14 22:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	1	$1.8K	0	1,900	-1,900	open	—	06-17 07:07
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	11	$1.4K	1,388	0	+1,388	open	—	05-15 00:01
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$977	491	491	+0	open	—	05-21 20:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$799	920	0	+920	open	—	05-22 17:47
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	3	$779	400	400	+0	open	—	05-14 09:56
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$685	0	700	-700	open	—	06-06 14:46
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	7	$636	444	200	+244	open	—	05-17 15:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	36	$444	0	800	-800	open	—	06-04 20:39
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	2	$397	200	200	+0	Yes	$-1	05-13 11:42
Kash Patel out by May 31?	3	$348	200	200	+0	open	—	05-15 12:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$296	470	0	+470	open	—	06-25 12:59
Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	2	$198	0	200	-200	open	—	06-07 04:54
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	5	$152	167	0	+167	open	—	05-15 15:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	1	$47	48	0	+48	Up	+$0	05-13 19:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 08:42:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x3d4fa7…
06-30 14:19:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	74	82¢	$61	0x380448…
06-30 11:03:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	83	82¢	$68	0xec7eb1…
06-30 08:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x3e0d75…
06-30 08:47:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x6bd21c…
06-30 08:41:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xb699cb…
06-30 08:33:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xd760bd…
06-30 03:45:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1fbe7c…
06-30 03:44:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x03ba0b…
06-30 03:23:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	165	82¢	$135	0x7d3b8d…
06-29 21:31:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x0612a5…
06-29 19:22:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdc03e2…
06-29 18:04:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xad71bc…
06-29 17:51:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x7838a2…
06-29 17:51:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x4ce84c…
06-29 17:51:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0xcbdea6…
06-29 17:51:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xb1ad94…
06-29 17:51:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0x161106…
06-29 17:50:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0xf39d86…
06-29 17:00:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	59	83¢	$49	0x872994…
06-29 16:33:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x9ad4f2…
06-29 16:32:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	394	83¢	$327	0x3e0ddf…
06-28 17:01:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,200	99¢	$1,189	0x960548…
06-25 13:02:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,700	89¢	$1,513	0x5ebb86…
06-25 12:59:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	470	63¢	$296	0x7fdab2…
06-25 11:53:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,000	90¢	$1,800	0x8ef2b2…
06-24 09:52:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	600	86¢	$516	0x05001f…
06-24 08:49:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0xb62aed…
06-24 08:49:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x18d11e…
06-24 08:48:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$65	0xd9bead…
06-24 08:48:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x696f1d…
06-24 08:48:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x39877d…
06-24 08:48:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x07ed93…
06-24 08:47:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x01fb63…
06-24 08:47:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xb682c7…
06-24 08:46:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	74	98¢	$73	0xe7fffe…
06-24 08:45:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x347090…
06-24 08:45:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x306f35…
06-24 08:44:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x57f840…
06-24 08:44:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe2b30d…
06-24 08:44:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8ddaa4…
06-24 08:43:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x4f34f5…
06-24 08:40:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe99761…
06-24 08:40:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8cfd96…
06-24 08:39:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x586755…
06-19 03:19:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	260	89¢	$231	0xde86c0…
06-18 12:47:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	704	91¢	$641	0x3e2bc1…
06-18 12:31:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3a07a3…
06-18 12:24:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x372308…
06-18 11:59:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0xe50392…
06-18 11:55:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0xfb7303…
06-18 10:37:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	110	91¢	$100	0xd18830…
06-18 10:37:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	110	91¢	$100	0x02ba6e…
06-18 09:34:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xc5cb36…
06-18 08:39:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x0b1e20…
06-18 08:39:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x4a64a8…
06-18 08:39:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x77b1b1…
06-18 07:33:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	529	91¢	$481	0x3e82e6…
06-18 07:25:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	329	91¢	$299	0x4a9d05…
06-17 14:27:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	600	90¢	$540	0x69905f…
06-17 12:24:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x5a401a…
06-17 07:07:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,900	96¢	$1,824	0xceb2e6…
06-17 06:24:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	400	91¢	$364	0xa2fea3…
06-16 21:26:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	800	92¢	$736	0x42b29f…
06-16 17:15:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	372	90¢	$335	0x2c6b89…
06-16 17:11:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xc9d42a…
06-16 17:09:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x1176cb…
06-16 17:09:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x2299d7…
06-16 17:03:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x37edc0…
06-16 16:58:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x409842…
06-16 16:50:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x2c6b9e…
06-16 16:49:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x9155b1…
06-16 13:02:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	409	89¢	$364	0xa431db…
06-16 04:50:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	400	91¢	$364	0x1ff546…
06-16 00:28:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	123	91¢	$112	0x21751f…
06-15 22:52:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	77	91¢	$70	0x2840c2…
06-15 18:54:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,190	90¢	$1,071	0x02bd27…
06-12 14:02:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x290103…
06-12 09:13:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	385	81¢	$312	0x210592…
06-12 09:12:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x5a07de…
06-12 08:35:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,600	79¢	$1,264	0x3f0b49…
06-11 20:22:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,772	79¢	$2,190	0x07caaa…
06-11 20:12:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xa82a7f…
06-11 20:11:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	22	79¢	$17	0x84e0f2…
06-11 20:10:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	557	78¢	$434	0x93c4a1…
06-11 20:09:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x620546…
06-11 19:55:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,233	78¢	$1,742	0x910453…
06-07 04:54:45	Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	No	SELL	197	99¢	$195	0xf3df53…
06-07 02:37:00	Will Walmart acquire TikTok?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x46ecb1…
06-06 14:46:36	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	700	98¢	$685	0x1f8dbc…
06-04 20:39:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xb1886a…
06-04 20:39:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0x00ab52…
06-04 20:39:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	53¢	$8	0xb2339f…
06-04 20:39:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	53¢	$6	0x183161…
06-04 20:39:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0x444f95…
06-04 20:39:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	53¢	$6	0x350bd4…
06-04 20:39:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0x95207a…
06-04 20:39:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xc6e75e…
06-04 20:39:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xa69ec7…
06-04 20:39:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xa451b9…