Unrealistic-Malice — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

+$78

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$655

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

$285

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-12 22:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

61% — —

Other

39% 50% +$6

Crypto

1% 67% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No		+300	$208	95¢	$285	+$78	05-11 23:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$397	250	250	+0	open	—	05-07 19:06
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$208	300	0	+300	open	—	05-11 23:33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	1	$30	50	0	+50	Yes	+$20	05-10 18:47
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5	1	$10	19	0	+19	Over	$-10	05-08 18:57
SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5	1	$4	11	0	+11	Over	$-4	05-09 17:24
Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-12?	1	$2	25	0	+25	open	—	05-12 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-07 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-12 22:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 10?	1	$1	0	22	-22	No	+$1	05-10 09:19
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?	1	$0	0	38	-38	No	+$0	05-07 20:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 22:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x43393f…
05-12 18:31:33	Will Elche CF win on 2026-05-12?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x59f509…
05-11 23:33:46	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	300	69¢	$208	0xdf267e…
05-10 18:47:44	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xa7a99c…
05-10 09:19:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$1	0xeba80d…
05-09 17:24:55	SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xee6291…
05-08 18:57:55	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa8ad5a…
05-07 20:41:50	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	38	0¢	$0	0x857a34…
05-07 19:06:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	250	81¢	$202	0x6d94c6…
05-07 18:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa83018…
05-07 11:34:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	250	78¢	$194	0xce0c72…
05-05 18:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6afad5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	6	$2.13K	30	05-12 22:48
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	5	$22.4K	37	05-12 19:40
Happy-Go-Lucky-Min 0x84ad…bfb7	5	$570	78	05-12 18:37
Agitated-Bricklaying 0x84cf…2f63	3	$14.8K	208	05-12 17:56
Cuddly-Will 0x7fea…8f74	3	$1.40K	4	05-12 18:11
Outlying-Recall 0x01c7…e995	3	$1.35K	8	05-12 19:26
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	3	$1.19K	15	05-12 19:17
Miserable-Poison 0x0346…52a5	3	$1.15K	4	05-10 19:14