Glaring-Turn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$146

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.1%

Resolved

156

Trades

379

lifetime

Volume

$4.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 07-10 09:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

42% 100% +$27

Crypto

34% 38% +$112

Politics

24% 100% +$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$907	487	487	+0	No	+$7	06-27 17:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$549	322	272	+50	No	+$19	05-21 16:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	5	$479	259	259	+0	No	+$5	05-20 15:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	4	$260	168	168	+0	No	+$0	05-16 16:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 05:10 UTC	4	$202	115	115	+0	Down	+$18	07-03 05:15
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$189	100	100	+0	No	+$1	05-20 15:03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$151	100	100	+0	No	+$1	05-20 15:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 05:20 UTC	1	$143	300	0	+300	Down	+$157	07-03 05:24
Iran leadership change by May 31?	3	$101	54	54	+0	No	+$1	05-16 00:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$100	88	88	+0	No	+$0	05-16 20:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 10:00 UTC	1	$100	116	0	+116	Down	+$16	07-02 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 12:30 UTC	5	$44	30	30	+0	Down	+$14	07-01 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 13:15 UTC	4	$41	68	68	+0	Down	$0	07-01 13:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:45 UTC	5	$29	30	30	+0	Up	-$7	07-01 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 11:55 UTC	6	$27	30	30	+0	Up	+$9	07-01 11:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 13:55 UTC	6	$27	30	30	+0	Up	+$4	07-01 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:15 UTC	2	$26	39	39	+0	Up	-$14	07-01 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 11:40 UTC	4	$24	30	20	+10	Down	+$14	07-05 11:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 11:45 UTC	4	$22	20	20	+0	Down	+$10	07-01 11:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 09:35 UTC	2	$22	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	07-02 09:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:05 UTC	3	$22	20	20	+0	Up	+$2	07-01 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	07-02 10:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 13:45 UTC	5	$21	30	30	+0	Up	-$3	07-01 13:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 07:55 UTC	4	$21	17	17	+0	Down	+$3	07-02 08:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 09:45 UTC	2	$20	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	07-02 09:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 11:35 UTC	2	$19	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	07-01 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 14:35 UTC	7	$17	33	33	+0	Up	-$16	07-01 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$16	20	10	+10	Up	+$4	07-04 06:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 13:25 UTC	4	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	07-01 13:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:45 UTC	7	$15	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	07-08 07:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-10 09:07:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x27c32e…
07-10 09:03:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	35¢	$0	0x435247…
07-10 08:36:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x94df6c…
07-10 08:34:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x6bfc7a…
07-10 08:31:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 08:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x32c8c5…
07-10 08:31:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x4816a8…
07-10 08:26:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 08:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0xadf292…
07-10 08:26:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 08:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x11241a…
07-10 08:23:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 08:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x19a463…
07-10 08:22:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 08:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0xc1bf86…
07-10 08:16:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x0343d7…
07-10 08:14:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 08:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x437442…
07-10 08:12:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 08:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x902b39…
07-10 08:08:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 08:05 UTC	Down	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x4e4151…
07-10 08:07:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 08:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x5580de…
07-10 08:06:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x8a5d8d…
07-10 08:05:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xd5076d…
07-10 08:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x8ca9ba…
07-10 08:01:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0xaa9b4c…
07-10 07:52:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xe4398a…
07-10 07:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5fadca…
07-10 07:00:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1983a8…
07-10 06:54:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0aa1a7…
07-10 06:49:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x186fdf…
07-10 06:44:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7185c5…
07-10 06:44:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x3cf01d…
07-10 06:39:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 06:35 UTC	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x3f9fb3…
07-10 06:38:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 06:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x296c43…
07-10 06:34:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 06:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x88f9cb…
07-10 06:32:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 06:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xcfc2c9…
07-10 06:27:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 06:25 UTC	Down	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xe59c5a…
07-10 06:21:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 06:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0x48d681…
07-10 06:21:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 06:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x010abe…
07-10 06:18:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x8247cf…
07-10 06:04:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x69db0c…
07-10 05:47:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xf7f3c9…
07-10 05:47:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-10 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x726337…
07-10 05:42:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x65b220…
07-10 05:33:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xa1d9a0…
07-10 05:32:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xbd27e6…
07-10 05:24:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x470477…
07-09 09:13:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xfe9ca4…
07-09 09:06:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9e38f0…
07-09 09:04:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x62e5aa…
07-09 09:03:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xc5695c…
07-09 06:07:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x489ce1…
07-09 05:47:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe7d8e6…
07-09 05:44:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc3b72a…
07-09 05:37:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x309587…
07-09 05:37:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x0e4189…
07-09 05:37:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x21165d…
07-09 05:32:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xf4d593…
07-09 05:32:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xb4aab0…
07-09 05:29:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x955a6f…
07-09 05:29:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x94f857…
07-08 09:27:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfd875a…
07-08 09:21:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 09:20 UTC	Down	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xef70ef…
07-08 09:21:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 09:20 UTC	Down	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xd5e908…
07-08 09:20:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x909e1a…
07-08 09:06:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x0ec3cf…
07-08 09:01:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7c74cc…
07-08 08:57:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd69043…
07-08 08:54:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xcfe7e9…
07-08 08:53:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8a08ec…
07-08 08:53:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x574f8c…
07-08 08:45:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe19abc…
07-08 08:44:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x73a78f…
07-08 08:43:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:40 UTC	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x43d399…
07-08 08:42:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xf6e242…
07-08 08:42:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x8f22e7…
07-08 08:42:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x36f2bc…
07-08 08:35:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xe628f8…
07-08 08:35:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xe4e185…
07-08 08:33:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x030241…
07-08 08:32:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x571053…
07-08 08:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x370013…
07-08 08:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xff4aa6…
07-08 08:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x0f52d7…
07-08 08:16:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd3e1ff…
07-08 07:57:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:55 UTC	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xc13c01…
07-08 07:56:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x5de13d…
07-08 07:51:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:50 UTC	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x025553…
07-08 07:50:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xe624ac…
07-08 07:48:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xc8922f…
07-08 07:48:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0x2dc508…
07-08 07:48:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf3e424…
07-08 07:48:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xbe80b5…
07-08 07:48:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xbc265e…
07-08 07:48:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xae6ba7…
07-08 07:48:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x00a9b3…
07-08 07:44:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x7f6118…
07-08 07:44:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x6e13c0…
07-08 07:43:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xdd0188…
07-08 07:43:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x38cbd3…
07-08 06:43:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 06:40 UTC	Down	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x374481…
07-08 06:41:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x84f655…
07-08 06:39:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 06:35 UTC	Up	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x17cbdb…
07-08 06:38:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x1f4a82…
07-08 06:33:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x07acd8…
07-08 06:27:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 06:25 UTC	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x83d9b2…