Natural-Peer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$392

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

296

Trades

435

lifetime

Volume

$28.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 09-06 13:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Other

81% 40% +$336

Sports

10% 31% -$796

Politics

6% 29% -$93

Crypto

2% 42% +$159

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$1.4K	727	727	+0	Yes	+$6	01-28 19:23
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$1.3K	702	702	+0	No	-$31	01-23 21:03
mlb mil bos 2026 04 08	7	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Boston Red Sox	+$0	04-08 18:06
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?	3	$1.0K	763	763	+0	Yes	+$518	05-04 18:57
tur fen kas 2026 02 23 fen	1	$701	716	0	+716	No	-$701	02-23 19:01
mwoh usa slo 2026 02 20	2	$672	369	369	+0	USA	+$22	02-20 20:22
ucl bog1 mnc1 2026 01 20 bog1	2	$605	310	310	+0	Yes	+$3	01-20 19:27
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	2	$567	528	264	+264	Miami Marlins	-$193	04-29 01:15
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$551	354	354	+0	Yes	+$155	05-11 20:45
Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)	2	$542	420	420	+0	Caracas FC	+$26	05-22 00:07
fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	2	$501	429	429	+0	United States	+$201	06-19 20:03
Spread: United States (-1.5)	2	$499	430	430	+0	United States	+$301	06-13 02:10
will freecash get paid real money be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	2	$466	268	268	+0	Yes	+$66	01-16 18:31
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 first half team total home 1pt5	2	$452	280	280	+0	Over	+$106	06-14 18:58
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	2	$402	203	203	+0	Yes	+$2	01-16 18:30
spx up or down on april 1 2026	2	$386	200	200	+0	Up	-$6	04-01 18:02
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC end in a draw?	2	$353	323	323	+0	Yes	+$159	05-11 20:49
ucl slp fcb1 2026 01 21 fcb1	2	$352	203	203	+0	Yes	+$53	01-21 22:16
epl bou liv 2026 01 24 draw	4	$343	323	323	+0	No	+$143	01-24 19:22
Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)	2	$329	269	269	+0	Málaga CF	+$135	05-31 18:08
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$301	336	331	+5	Yes	+$19	01-30 00:43
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 total 2pt5	4	$299	305	305	+0	Under	$0	04-07 17:53
bun wer bay 2026 02 14 bay	2	$296	171	171	+0	Yes	+$46	02-14 17:47
uel bra mid1 2026 01 22 total 2pt5	2	$275	175	175	+0	Over	+$75	01-22 18:20
sea laz com 2026 01 19 total 1pt5	2	$255	155	155	+0	Over	+$55	01-19 23:40
bitcoin above 88k on january 21	2	$244	221	221	+0	No	+$196	01-21 17:04
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	4	$242	137	137	+0	No	+$15	01-16 18:48
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?	2	$240	208	208	+0	Yes	+$40	05-13 20:25
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-24?	2	$239	153	153	+0	Yes	+$65	05-24 18:53
bun dor bay 2026 02 28 bay	2	$235	185	185	+0	Yes	+$135	02-28 20:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 13:58:27	Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0xa88962…
07-15 18:32:05	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	326	46¢	$150	0xbb6c96…
07-14 20:45:59	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x8e3ef0…
07-14 17:52:38	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xdcb7bc…
07-14 17:50:47	Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xbf9f98…
07-11 17:45:37	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xc93595…
07-11 17:40:26	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	270	4¢	$10	0x5a669c…
07-11 17:40:04	Exact Score: Norway 0 - 2 England?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xc9442c…
07-11 17:39:41	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x4c5b31…
07-11 17:39:28	Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x5ff9eb…
07-11 17:39:13	Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xc5d72c…
07-05 19:10:02	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	127	35¢	$44	0xa9a22e…
07-05 19:07:13	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x82f28b…
07-04 21:26:11	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	161	28¢	$45	0x2c9232…
07-04 11:00:55	Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 France?	Yes	BUY	367	7¢	$24	0xd47a76…
07-04 11:00:37	Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 2 France?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$10	0xc437dc…
07-01 22:09:37	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	364	33¢	$120	0xb59a56…
07-01 20:38:32	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 btts	No	BUY	140	25¢	$35	0xeb4a5e…
06-28 00:33:40	Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0x872e62…
06-25 23:35:02	Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	217	36¢	$78	0x3c02fb…
06-21 18:25:29	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x452e91…
06-20 01:37:05	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	Türkiye	BUY	312	24¢	$75	0x4619f9…
06-19 21:43:04	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 first half team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	225	20¢	$45	0x855fdf…
06-19 20:03:26	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	United States	SELL	429	82¢	$351	0xeee769…
06-19 18:44:19	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	United States	BUY	429	35¢	$150	0x95fd74…
06-18 23:22:17	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xa4e3fe…
06-18 17:26:07	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	Czechia	BUY	145	31¢	$45	0xee0bd1…
06-17 18:39:29	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x666d1c…
06-17 18:33:07	Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	112	26¢	$29	0xcfe006…
06-17 01:14:31	Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x6f9151…
06-16 00:00:52	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xb4d502…
06-15 23:57:28	Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	71	78¢	$55	0xaae4ca…
06-15 23:36:28	Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	34¢	$24	0xb98095…
06-15 22:38:55	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x1e8f31…
06-15 20:03:36	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	74	31¢	$23	0x29795f…
06-14 22:13:04	Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x12fcdc…
06-14 18:59:42	Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	93	29¢	$27	0x29d9b7…
06-14 18:58:10	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	280	100¢	$279	0x33e8f1…
06-14 16:58:24	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	280	62¢	$173	0x1050ac…
06-13 22:55:12	Spread: Scotland (-1.5)	Scotland	BUY	118	40¢	$47	0xf38b09…
06-13 22:50:45	Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?	Yes	SELL	109	91¢	$99	0xce6685…
06-13 21:48:21	Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	109	45¢	$49	0x455e83…
06-13 19:31:45	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 first half total 1pt5	Over	BUY	196	50¢	$98	0x934630…
06-13 02:10:51	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	United States	SELL	430	93¢	$400	0x608b94…
06-13 01:01:51	Spread: United States (-1.5)	United States	BUY	430	23¢	$99	0x9fa2c9…
05-31 20:08:06	Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-31?	Yes	BUY	107	27¢	$29	0x9c827b…
05-31 18:08:28	Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)	Málaga CF	SELL	269	86¢	$232	0x67bf49…
05-31 16:42:50	Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)	Málaga CF	BUY	269	36¢	$97	0x451c02…
05-31 16:42:17	Will CD Leganés vs. CD Mirandés end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xd23764…
05-27 01:53:11	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x1114ca…
05-26 23:58:09	Will Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	76	9¢	$7	0x3d049d…
05-26 23:51:28	Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x34c50e…
05-26 23:37:11	Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-05-26?	Yes	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0xbc52bd…
05-26 23:36:30	Will Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	76	32¢	$24	0x53a796…
05-26 22:53:24	Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)	CD Cuenca	BUY	264	56¢	$148	0xdba57a…
05-26 18:34:27	Saint-Etienne vs. Nice: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	148	50¢	$74	0xa55694…
05-26 18:13:44	Will CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x48c8c7…
05-26 18:13:30	Will Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Coquimbo Unido end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xd3f505…
05-25 20:15:31	Will Paderborn vs. Wolfsburg end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	83	74¢	$62	0x668729…
05-25 19:22:37	Will Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x59d6bc…
05-25 18:48:33	Will Sandefjord Fotball vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	114	21¢	$24	0x64c775…
05-25 18:47:16	Will Paderborn vs. Wolfsburg end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x3eddf2…
05-25 18:14:15	Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-05-25?	Yes	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x7c2e45…
05-24 18:56:33	Will Torino FC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	226	23¢	$52	0x3870d5…
05-24 18:53:15	Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	SELL	153	100¢	$152	0x1ab55a…
05-24 17:03:49	Will CD Castellón win on 2026-05-24?	Yes	BUY	153	57¢	$87	0xd67684…
05-23 18:35:02	Real Madrid CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	178	55¢	$98	0x5fe670…
05-23 18:33:07	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	298	50¢	$149	0x42eeb7…
05-23 18:28:11	Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	145	33¢	$48	0xf7b80e…
05-23 18:27:24	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-23?	Yes	BUY	143	28¢	$40	0x20e864…
05-22 01:42:47	Will Caracas FC win on 2026-05-21?	Yes	BUY	136	6¢	$8	0x759efa…
05-22 01:40:40	Will Caracas FC win on 2026-05-21?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$30	0xd9b7d5…
05-22 00:07:04	Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)	Caracas FC	SELL	420	68¢	$284	0xf62083…
05-21 22:45:26	Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)	Caracas FC	BUY	420	61¢	$258	0xe07f98…
05-21 17:43:30	Will FC København win on 2026-05-21?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x75fbe9…
05-21 16:51:10	FC København leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x8ec381…
05-21 16:50:46	Will FC København win on 2026-05-21?	Yes	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xe043ef…
05-19 19:59:14	Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	327	30¢	$98	0xbb940f…
05-19 19:58:14	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x9bb276…
05-17 19:48:44	Will Lille OSC vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	145	33¢	$48	0xd72e37…
05-17 17:32:59	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	276	21¢	$58	0xa563ff…
05-17 17:16:34	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	154	26¢	$40	0xfe026a…
05-17 17:15:41	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	167	36¢	$60	0x608733…
05-17 17:15:03	Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	91	93¢	$85	0x33da44…
05-17 16:42:49	Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	SELL	89	84¢	$75	0x6ef7fb…
05-17 16:05:47	Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0xb941c3…
05-17 16:04:03	Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0xf8561e…
05-16 15:47:34	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x3628cc…
05-16 13:45:44	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	108	36¢	$39	0x41c104…
05-16 13:45:14	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	83	46¢	$38	0xd8b92c…
05-15 20:07:39	Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-05-15?	Yes	SELL	281	10¢	$29	0x230348…
05-15 19:29:18	Will Córdoba CF vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x8a65bf…
05-15 19:28:13	Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-15?	Yes	BUY	114	7¢	$8	0xb17164…
05-15 19:01:55	Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-05-15?	Yes	BUY	59	29¢	$17	0x0d3cda…
05-15 19:01:18	Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x5fe625…
05-15 18:40:21	Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-17?	Yes	BUY	73	26¢	$19	0x61ae3c…
05-15 18:31:26	Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-05-15?	Yes	BUY	223	22¢	$49	0xba28c9…
05-15 17:26:57	Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	57	23¢	$13	0x1fcbb1…
05-14 18:38:00	Will Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x5b57fa…
05-14 17:13:39	Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-14?	Yes	BUY	170	27¢	$46	0x96d282…