Realized P&L
-$67
Unrealized P&L
-$153
Hit rate
33.9%
Resolved
31
Trades
107
lifetime
Volume
$492
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$71
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-03
last 08-19 17:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
77% 0% -$9
Crypto
19% 24% -$40
Sports
2% 0% -$12
Politics
1% 0% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +36,378 $109 0¢ $36 -$73 07-27 17:15
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +5,602 $33 0¢ $8 -$24 05-04 01:38
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? Yes +3,055 $21 0¢ $8 -$13 08-19 17:10
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +1,598 $21 0¢ $7 -$14 05-12 07:38
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +1,529 $17 0¢ $5 -$12 05-12 07:38
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +1,899 $17 0¢ $5 -$12 05-12 07:38
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,167 $7 0¢ $2 -$5 05-04 01:35