Massive-Prayer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.88K

Unrealized P&L

-$68

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

169

Trades

464

lifetime

Volume

$6.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$479

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 11-09 15:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Politics

85% 36% +$2,076

Other

15% 13% -$164

Sports

0% 0% -$20

Crypto

0% 0% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	+1,019	$148	21¢	$212	+$65	11-06 12:03
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	+500	$200	38¢	$188	-$12	11-08 19:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	+400	$124	15¢	$58	-$66	11-05 17:17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	+325	$75	6¢	$21	-$54	11-05 10:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	2	$764	720	720	+0	No	+$664	08-30 19:48
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	3	$305	1,220	0	+1,220	No	+$915	11-02 09:11
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	13	$262	586	429	+157	Yes	+$198	04-21 15:41
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	17	$257	245	245	+0	Yes	+$3	03-08 08:10
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	6	$216	209	209	+0	Yes	+$96	04-10 14:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	1	$200	500	0	+500	open	—	11-08 19:15
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?	2	$182	180	180	+0	Yes	+$171	07-31 00:33
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	5	$162	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	10-29 17:48
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	9	$157	201	201	+0	Yes	+$129	06-17 16:36
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	2	$148	1,019	0	+1,019	open	—	11-06 12:03
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	2	$131	125	125	+0	No	+$111	05-25 23:30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	3	$124	400	0	+400	open	—	11-05 17:17
iran closes its airspace by june 15	5	$120	200	200	+0	Yes	+$80	06-07 19:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	4	$110	996	420	+576	Yes	-$1	09-28 12:35
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	3	$102	184	184	+0	No	+$42	06-14 21:22
will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	20	$101	495	0	+495	No	-$101	08-09 01:21
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	5	$93	127	74	+53	Yes	+$50	03-07 03:34
will qatar strike iran by march 31	6	$82	60	60	+0	No	+$2	03-03 17:43
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	9	$78	125	90	+34	No	+$8	03-12 21:05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	3	$76	470	470	+0	Yes	-$45	09-22 17:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$75	99	99	+0	Yes	+$55	04-09 19:41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	2	$75	325	0	+325	open	—	11-05 10:07
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	4	$70	396	0	+396	No	-$70	04-09 08:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	3	$68	720	720	+0	Yes	-$41	09-22 17:58
iran closes its airspace by june 8	4	$63	71	71	+0	Yes	+$53	06-07 21:01
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	4	$61	86	86	+0	No	-$1	03-08 13:44
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	3	$57	42	42	+0	Yes	+$26	03-08 21:14
us iran nuclear deal by july 31	16	$55	154	0	+154	Yes	+$99	06-09 13:10
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	5	$54	170	170	+0	Yes	-$46	08-02 04:48
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$53	39	39	+0	Yes	+$23	02-28 19:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 15:21:39	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	35	6¢	$2	0x2f3989…
11-08 19:15:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0x50c424…
11-06 17:56:57	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	35	14¢	$5	0xf327f9…
11-06 12:03:57	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0x938dd7…
11-06 11:57:49	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	BUY	983	15¢	$143	0x106194…
11-06 08:37:07	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x0c2297…
11-05 17:17:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	BUY	52	31¢	$16	0x6b6fe2…
11-05 17:09:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	BUY	48	31¢	$15	0xeaf97f…
11-05 16:42:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	BUY	300	31¢	$93	0x8bf043…
11-05 10:07:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x823659…
11-02 09:11:58	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x44c750…
10-29 17:48:56	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	192	8¢	$15	0xb507c0…
10-29 17:48:02	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	828	8¢	$66	0x9c3d42…
10-12 12:13:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x6c987a…
10-11 14:27:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	6¢	$4	0x8fbbcb…
10-11 14:24:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0xe7de6f…
10-10 13:49:48	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x6a73ba…
10-09 16:17:59	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	No	BUY	1,000	27¢	$270	0xc6afc1…
10-06 20:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x273da3…
10-06 17:45:45	Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	126	12¢	$15	0x3cb243…
10-03 16:32:09	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	400	13¢	$52	0x19ee25…
09-28 12:35:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0xe68118…
09-26 23:13:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	420	13¢	$55	0x85f0b0…
09-26 19:26:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	550	6¢	$33	0xca62a1…
09-26 19:24:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	290	6¢	$17	0xa2438d…
09-22 21:48:05	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0xa3e993…
09-22 20:19:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xef4abb…
09-22 20:18:54	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x85395f…
09-22 17:59:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	470	3¢	$16	0xb82695…
09-22 17:58:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	SELL	720	2¢	$13	0xb5390f…
09-21 19:48:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x65d931…
09-20 16:14:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x6dd9de…
09-19 16:35:18	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	No	BUY	620	8¢	$50	0x21710f…
09-19 16:00:44	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x48e200…
09-03 07:58:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	370	15¢	$56	0xb38b13…
08-30 19:48:18	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	SELL	720	99¢	$714	0x6c5abe…
08-26 00:25:13	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x0901b7…
08-25 08:36:25	US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	No	BUY	720	7¢	$50	0x330345…
08-22 20:26:40	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 25	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x84b975…
08-22 20:26:34	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 25	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x066a8b…
08-20 17:23:46	us iran final nuclear deal by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	606	7¢	$42	0xc9ebe5…
08-20 14:28:13	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	No	BUY	43	3¢	$2	0xcd75f5…
08-20 14:28:13	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 22	No	BUY	257	3¢	$9	0xac0773…
08-20 05:26:48	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 25	No	BUY	500	5¢	$25	0xcfd31a…
08-19 11:46:25	us iran final nuclear deal by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	114	7¢	$8	0x042523…
08-19 07:16:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	251	5¢	$13	0x30f366…
08-19 02:52:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x9a85b8…
08-19 01:46:43	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	148	5¢	$7	0x9c3c68…
08-09 01:21:13	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xec6b54…
08-09 01:21:09	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x2f327c…
08-09 01:20:24	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x32a2ff…
08-09 01:19:16	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x8dc7ea…
08-09 01:18:54	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xabe713…
08-09 01:18:30	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x705ad4…
08-09 01:17:46	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x236418…
08-09 01:15:55	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xd90477…
08-04 21:21:48	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741056	Yes	BUY	497	4¢	$22	0x5af029…
08-03 20:22:23	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xde29b4…
08-03 20:22:09	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xfd6143…
08-03 20:21:51	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xc15997…
08-03 20:21:17	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xc201c8…
08-03 20:17:00	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x4510d9…
08-03 20:16:29	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x3f3fdc…
08-03 20:16:12	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x11dbef…
08-03 19:37:32	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x8e2b9f…
08-03 19:37:14	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xa3afa8…
08-03 18:14:48	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x01e5f4…
08-03 14:16:02	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741055	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x278e97…
08-03 13:21:53	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741055	Yes	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xffc16a…
08-03 08:45:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x840d86…
08-02 22:49:14	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	Yes	BUY	28	30¢	$8	0xb53c8f…
08-02 22:43:00	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	Yes	BUY	72	30¢	$22	0xbf0f88…
08-02 21:07:35	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x3faf71…
08-02 21:07:30	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xa1a3bf…
08-02 04:48:21	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	82	2¢	$2	0x72af03…
08-02 04:25:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	68	2¢	$1	0x8e7050…
08-02 04:19:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x86d87b…
08-01 21:38:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb5c7d6…
08-01 21:15:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	150	30¢	$45	0xa76e86…
07-31 00:33:23	Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	180	98¢	$176	0xa73b73…
07-28 11:18:14	Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x62462e…
07-26 12:38:13	Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	180	3¢	$5	0xf05248…
07-25 19:15:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	BUY	88	8¢	$7	0xaa1bb6…
07-23 20:27:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	SELL	231	1¢	$3	0x55c689…
07-23 20:02:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 23	No	BUY	231	2¢	$5	0x41f9ae…
07-19 20:49:54	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x55a9f5…
07-19 20:36:12	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x7f1a83…
07-17 00:35:38	will trump say nuclear 15 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621421	Yes	BUY	275	4¢	$10	0xcf0a44…
07-17 00:33:04	will trump say iran or iranian 20 times during speech to the nation 20260713200621420	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xe9d204…
07-14 19:21:05	Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?	Yes	SELL	36	17¢	$6	0xdc9e26…
07-14 19:21:04	Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?	Yes	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0xc5e9d7…
07-14 19:20:55	Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x8a1df4…
07-14 19:20:55	Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Spain?	Yes	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x38af4c…
07-14 19:20:53	Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x153b00…
07-14 19:20:11	Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0x6ff6ef…
07-14 19:19:46	Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?	Yes	SELL	120	6¢	$7	0x4a680b…
07-14 18:54:50	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?	Yes	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0xa11882…
07-14 18:53:23	Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0xc67e95…
07-14 18:53:11	Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x6827d5…
07-14 18:52:41	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x2cc1a4…