Ignorant-Appellation — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$118

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved (90d)

199

Trades (90d)

499

3,402 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$39.7K

$209.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 11-08 00:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 143 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 43% -$7,368

Other

43% 56% -$3,894

Politics

0% 33% -$36

Sports

0% 70% +$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes		+59	$10	16¢	$10	$0	11-06 06:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on february 9	16	$13.8K	11,278	11,278	+0	Yes	-$4,607	02-09 16:55
bitcoin above 68k on february 9	10	$11.9K	6,244	6,244	+0	Yes	+$322	02-09 16:40
bitcoin above 70k on february 8	29	$6.1K	5,167	5,349	-181	Yes	+$569	02-08 16:26
bitcoin up or down on february 5	28	$5.1K	2,586	2,776	-190	Down	+$250	02-05 15:21
bitcoin above 78k on february 3	27	$4.6K	4,530	4,292	+238	No	-$1,526	02-03 15:39
bitcoin above 78k on february 5	24	$4.4K	2,371	2,371	+0	No	+$167	02-05 05:48
bitcoin above 72k on february 9	3	$4.1K	2,235	2,235	+0	No	+$330	02-09 15:39
bitcoin above 80k on february 5	16	$4.1K	2,214	2,214	+0	No	+$121	02-04 15:23
bitcoin above 82k on february 3	5	$3.2K	1,726	1,726	+0	No	+$77	02-03 08:43
bitcoin above 80k on february 2	10	$3.1K	1,629	1,629	+0	No	+$128	02-02 17:11
bitcoin up or down on february 6	12	$3.1K	3,983	4,001	-18	Up	-$1,069	02-05 18:19
bitcoin above 74k on february 6	2	$3.0K	1,540	1,540	+0	No	-$40	02-05 23:28
bitcoin above 82k on february 2	4	$2.8K	1,505	1,505	+0	No	+$99	02-02 02:48
solana up or down on february 6	3	$2.7K	1,766	1,766	+0	Up	-$276	02-06 15:05
lol ns dnf 2026 02 07 game1	5	$2.5K	1,271	1,271	+0	Nongshim Red Force	+$69	02-07 10:38
bitcoin above 74k on february 7	2	$2.5K	1,274	1,274	+0	No	+$54	02-07 09:05
bitcoin above 70k on february 16	8	$2.5K	1,545	1,545	+0	No	-$325	02-16 12:40
bitcoin above 84k on february 2	15	$2.4K	1,358	1,358	+0	No	+$171	02-01 11:40
lol dk drx 2026 02 07 game2	3	$2.3K	1,176	1,176	+0	Dplus KIA	+$15	02-07 09:51
lol ig1 jdg 2026 02 03 game1	13	$2.3K	1,689	1,589	+100	Invictus Gaming	+$388	02-03 11:43
bitcoin above 76k on february 5	8	$2.2K	1,721	719	+1,001	No	+$238	02-05 07:10
lol drx ns 2026 02 08	5	$2.0K	1,371	1,371	+0	DRX	+$692	02-08 10:55
bitcoin above 80k on january 31	10	$2.0K	1,183	1,183	+0	Yes	-$32	01-31 16:52
lol t1 fox1 2026 02 15 game4	2	$1.7K	999	999	+0	BNK FEARX	+$296	02-15 13:02
bitcoin above 84k on january 31	3	$1.7K	976	976	+0	No	+$80	01-31 16:21
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner	5	$1.6K	984	984	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$334	10-31 00:27
bitcoin above 84k on january 30	3	$1.6K	804	804	+0	No	+$37	01-30 17:03
lol gen dk 2026 02 14 game1	6	$1.5K	959	959	+0	Gen.G	-$13	02-14 09:34
lol gen dk 2026 02 14 game3	3	$1.3K	771	771	+0	Gen.G	+$194	02-14 10:54
lol ns dnf 2026 02 07 game2	3	$1.3K	2,049	2,049	+0	DN Freecs	-$1,208	02-07 11:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 00:41:40	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner	Gen.G	SELL	355	100¢	$355	0x1ee2ee…
11-08 00:39:45	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x7f574f…
11-08 00:22:30	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x62c69b…
11-08 00:15:51	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	98	33¢	$32	0x707a29…
11-08 00:15:51	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x304856…
11-08 00:06:01	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x416d1e…
11-08 00:02:01	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x55369c…
11-07 23:37:16	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	SELL	139	100¢	$138	0x486635…
11-07 22:47:10	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x28f4b8…
11-07 22:26:30	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xd17d65…
11-07 22:20:03	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xeb0745…
11-06 23:37:33	Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)	T1	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0x49e883…
11-06 23:34:48	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 3 Winner	T1	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0xcf5ce7…
11-06 22:41:00	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0xfb6366…
11-06 19:09:27	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x771df4…
11-06 12:23:01	Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)	T1	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x2997c2…
11-06 06:09:22	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x6208a4…
11-06 00:20:39	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	375	80¢	$300	0x8aaeb7…
11-06 00:17:19	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x055eba…
11-06 00:08:54	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xb41fa1…
11-06 00:07:48	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xff5899…
11-06 00:02:55	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x96a561…
11-05 23:48:19	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x66e799…
11-05 23:42:04	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	746	100¢	$746	0x10ecf2…
11-05 23:26:15	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	746	67¢	$500	0xac7a7f…
11-05 00:17:52	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 3 Winner	LYON	BUY	240	42¢	$100	0x7477ff…
11-05 00:17:03	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x70acb6…
11-05 00:16:57	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 3 Winner	Gen.G	SELL	367	60¢	$218	0x6f3cd7…
11-05 00:16:48	Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)	Gen.G	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x11049c…
11-05 00:16:19	Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)	Gen.G	SELL	30	56¢	$17	0x6681a4…
11-04 23:15:33	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 3 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	305	82¢	$250	0xe2b0dc…
11-04 16:42:55	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 3 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x26e716…
11-04 16:42:46	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x263884…
11-04 07:12:00	Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)	Gen.G	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xb550e4…
11-04 02:25:31	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x093544…
11-04 00:36:06	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner	Top Esports	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x7d6280…
11-04 00:30:21	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner	Top Esports	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x7d63fa…
11-04 00:12:36	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Top Esports	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x706cc3…
11-03 23:30:34	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Top Esports	BUY	56	27¢	$15	0x4904db…
11-03 22:15:54	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Top Esports	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x82742c…
10-31 23:11:09	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	685	58¢	$399	0x16b94f…
10-31 21:56:16	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	500	55¢	$275	0x4de69d…
10-31 21:27:55	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0xa90d36…
10-31 21:27:27	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	141	48¢	$67	0x586b96…
10-31 21:24:27	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	244	69¢	$168	0x52cb19…
10-31 21:15:25	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x4ee876…
10-31 21:08:24	LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	LYON	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0x77994d…
10-31 21:07:30	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	SELL	300	14¢	$42	0x970179…
10-31 21:03:55	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	300	35¢	$105	0xd50bd2…
10-31 20:00:54	LoL: LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	LYON	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x683874…
10-31 17:14:21	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner	Karmine Corp	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xd2276d…
10-31 00:27:37	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	984	97¢	$954	0xbe7692…
10-31 00:24:19	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	616	65¢	$400	0xd16dd1…
10-31 00:23:00	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x91ce72…
10-31 00:06:57	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x649f19…
10-31 00:04:27	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x6cd36b…
10-30 23:57:12	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xe055ab…
10-30 22:51:13	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	300	70¢	$210	0xd628e0…
10-30 22:49:34	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	SELL	552	100¢	$552	0x1eb7ed…
10-30 22:26:07	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	501	79¢	$395	0xff5399…
10-30 22:20:28	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	37	76¢	$28	0x25b464…
10-30 22:04:07	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x0f0c57…
10-30 21:39:25	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	448	97¢	$434	0xc7fe64…
10-30 21:05:45	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	139	70¢	$97	0x503758…
10-30 21:04:12	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 1 Winner	LOS	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xda77bf…
10-30 21:04:00	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	162	68¢	$110	0x6e164d…
10-30 21:01:55	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x198de0…
10-30 20:14:43	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 1 Winner	LOS	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0xb140d7…
10-30 20:13:37	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 1 Winner	LOS	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x9e13ae…
10-30 20:12:31	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	SELL	139	66¢	$92	0xf27d87…
10-30 12:38:27	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x73b240…
10-30 10:56:39	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x8ccfd3…
10-29 12:13:47	Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+1.5)	Karmine Corp	BUY	168	58¢	$97	0x99ed60…
10-28 23:16:29	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	Invictus Gaming	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0x9e2f5b…
10-28 22:23:19	Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)	LYON	SELL	168	38¢	$64	0x0f562c…
10-28 22:22:05	Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)	LYON	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x41c94e…
10-28 22:10:58	Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)	LYON	BUY	173	70¢	$121	0xb87b4b…
10-28 22:06:11	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	LYON	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x74a14e…
10-28 21:41:35	Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	T1	SELL	280	100¢	$280	0x43c68b…
10-28 06:25:52	Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	T1	BUY	280	59¢	$165	0xc4b280…
10-25 00:02:06	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xcef980…
10-24 23:16:41	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	536	56¢	$300	0x92e3c2…
10-24 22:38:29	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xf10a11…
10-24 21:40:33	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	SELL	324	19¢	$62	0x6511b9…
10-24 21:36:44	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x012204…
10-24 21:32:24	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x63fae8…
10-24 21:31:15	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5baabf…
10-24 21:28:38	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x9ed845…
10-24 20:39:38	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xd5fee9…
10-24 20:31:24	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	SELL	42	15¢	$6	0xb344ee…
10-24 20:24:21	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xe8ae48…
10-24 19:08:12	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x894f51…
10-24 18:36:32	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x607b7b…
10-24 18:12:56	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x4c3590…
10-24 17:31:56	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x1ffe67…
10-24 03:07:36	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0xa3e898…
10-24 00:27:20	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x778b1d…
10-24 00:24:18	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x7d86c0…
10-23 23:17:21	LoL: LOS vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x18b219…
10-23 21:33:11	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x312bf5…