Clumsy-Endorsement-Underweight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.41K

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

96.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,110

lifetime

Volume

$37.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-15

last 10-25 19:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

50% 100% +$931

Politics

50% 67% +$507

Crypto

0% 20% -$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+0	$10	3¢	$0	-$10	05-19 00:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	460	$12.2K	12,948	13,083	-136	No	+$306	06-22 14:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	33	$8.5K	4,400	4,300	+100	No	+$21	05-08 23:12
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	46	$3.2K	3,092	1,600	+1,492	No	+$504	04-12 16:04
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	50	$2.8K	2,119	1,480	+639	Yes	+$209	04-11 23:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	16	$2.8K	1,904	1,904	+0	Yes	+$1	05-07 21:40
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	74	$1.4K	10,400	10,400	+0	open	—	05-19 00:09
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$1	05-09 11:44
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	52	$1.2K	1,404	1,330	+74	Yes	+$82	04-11 22:27
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	9	$786	400	400	+0	open	—	10-25 19:44
will voter turnout be 7174 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	68	$759	1,804	1,475	+329	No	-$86	04-12 10:44
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	5	$576	292	292	+0	Yes	+$2	05-07 19:20
will tisza win 130 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	17	$265	519	419	+100	Yes	+$81	04-10 23:57
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	11	$263	180	180	+0	No	-$4	05-14 02:54
will voter turnout be 7477 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	47	$254	683	683	+0	No	+$5	04-12 12:32
will tisza win at least 120 seats	10	$218	279	139	+140	Yes	+$71	04-12 12:49
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 15 18	27	$161	300	300	+0	No	+$111	04-12 20:15
will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	3	$142	91	91	+0	No	+$3	04-06 12:02
will tisza win at least 130 seats	11	$137	250	229	+21	Yes	+$14	04-12 08:43
will tisza win 120 129 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	18	$132	350	200	+150	No	-$5	04-11 20:32
Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" in April?	6	$128	141	0	+141	Yes	+$12	04-01 21:17
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	2	$125	80	80	+0	No	+$5	04-05 18:45
will tisza win 110119 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	16	$77	341	200	+141	No	-$13	04-07 08:05
will tisza win at least 110 seats	1	$68	100	0	+100	Yes	+$32	04-11 15:57
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 18	27	$66	340	300	+40	No	+$4	04-12 05:03
will tisza win 100109 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	13	$47	220	200	+20	No	-$7	04-07 04:42
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	16	$42	200	200	+0	No	+$2	04-08 21:05
will voter turnout be 7780 in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election 448	14	$35	135	135	+0	Yes	+$6	04-10 15:43
will trump say god 3 times during address to the nation	1	$26	45	0	+45	Yes	+$19	04-01 18:31
Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$26	60	60	+0	No	-$8	05-14 13:02
Will Trump say "Sovereign / Sovereignty" in April?	2	$25	35	0	+35	Yes	+$9	04-05 20:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 19:44:56	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	307	99¢	$303	0xbb9c18…
10-25 16:07:27	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0x75671b…
09-12 22:33:43	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	337	98¢	$329	0xab8ac0…
09-12 17:20:07	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x5afb46…
09-12 06:06:07	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x483af8…
09-12 06:00:16	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc018e2…
09-12 04:27:04	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x46a4ca…
09-12 02:46:24	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xf77913…
09-12 00:58:52	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$14	0x8c0e31…
06-22 14:16:01	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	251	17¢	$43	0x1aa68a…
06-22 12:32:13	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	113	20¢	$23	0x65fa32…
06-22 12:30:46	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x4c2751…
06-22 12:29:53	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	158	20¢	$32	0xa55e84…
06-22 12:15:28	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	289	11¢	$32	0x56af73…
06-22 11:52:50	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	28	12¢	$3	0x77354e…
06-22 11:52:22	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x3af251…
06-05 16:45:16	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	22¢	$7	0x85c04c…
06-05 15:39:49	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x51aac8…
06-05 15:35:27	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x8987c5…
06-05 15:25:27	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xb4751e…
06-05 15:15:22	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xe67cb6…
06-05 14:16:33	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa08a68…
06-05 14:15:30	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x6a5d2c…
06-05 14:15:16	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xcb6ab0…
06-05 14:15:06	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf4227b…
06-05 14:09:00	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x19ef15…
06-05 14:05:18	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x6aba7a…
06-05 14:02:48	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xecef94…
06-05 13:58:21	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xbd774b…
06-05 13:55:18	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x9d0d08…
06-05 13:45:22	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x656fb7…
06-05 13:25:24	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x7a6ee6…
06-05 13:25:10	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x14b506…
06-05 13:15:25	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa53ffb…
06-05 13:15:22	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xc8d94a…
06-05 13:05:34	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xfd18ef…
06-05 12:59:33	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xa6de7c…
06-05 12:55:58	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xdc31ec…
06-05 12:55:43	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x852473…
06-05 12:55:30	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x016cf2…
06-05 12:15:22	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3ac13b…
06-05 12:15:19	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xabb85b…
06-05 12:05:27	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x3bdd87…
06-05 10:45:19	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xee6bab…
06-05 10:35:30	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xc3804c…
06-05 10:25:37	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xb14f03…
06-05 10:25:12	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x668c4a…
06-04 15:34:01	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	110	22¢	$24	0x77a502…
06-04 12:57:36	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0x7ae83a…
06-04 06:24:30	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	Yes	SELL	210	2¢	$4	0xd9b4f9…
06-03 16:46:06	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x886b7e…
06-03 10:15:07	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x602277…
06-03 10:14:39	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x16b887…
06-03 10:11:21	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xd2de1d…
06-03 10:11:05	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x432c65…
06-03 10:10:46	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xe8defb…
06-03 10:10:46	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xb71321…
06-03 10:10:46	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xab6b44…
06-03 10:10:46	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xa65066…
06-03 10:10:46	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x94e1a5…
06-03 10:10:46	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x6503ce…
06-03 10:10:46	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x0d23d2…
06-03 10:10:46	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x00fb4d…
06-03 04:54:52	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xe0bf52…
06-02 17:49:53	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0x6e95f2…
06-02 17:49:22	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$1	0xd9e176…
06-02 13:34:57	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	800	32¢	$256	0xc3dc55…
06-01 07:33:00	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,900	20¢	$388	0xed4a09…
06-01 03:06:21	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	77	31¢	$24	0xd3f3bf…
06-01 02:07:51	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x08a90c…
06-01 00:07:53	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	33¢	$11	0xce4ec3…
06-01 00:02:57	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xfdd3b7…
06-01 00:02:52	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf4399b…
06-01 00:02:47	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x3dd9f0…
06-01 00:02:36	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xaa3277…
06-01 00:02:31	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xa9ec1a…
06-01 00:02:12	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	43	33¢	$14	0x8a4296…
05-31 23:58:37	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	110	35¢	$38	0xf6a161…
05-31 23:50:30	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	52	35¢	$18	0x605386…
05-31 20:49:31	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0xe98317…
05-31 20:34:44	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0xd98596…
05-31 20:34:44	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x06d601…
05-31 20:30:48	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4104f2…
05-31 20:30:43	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9e0390…
05-31 20:30:29	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	45	40¢	$18	0x21bee9…
05-31 20:05:34	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	87	43¢	$37	0xe6f530…
05-31 20:01:27	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x26eda1…
05-31 20:01:22	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x1a6f3e…
05-31 19:52:16	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	130	43¢	$56	0x5bf7f8…
05-31 19:47:50	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	180	40¢	$72	0x5eb983…
05-31 19:46:40	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xcdc4f6…
05-31 19:20:46	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xaf1542…
05-31 19:20:39	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x7b62b1…
05-31 19:20:36	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x4aa504…
05-31 19:06:34	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	80	37¢	$30	0x086db0…
05-31 18:11:33	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	120	33¢	$40	0xd5a0b9…
05-31 18:05:56	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	250	42¢	$105	0x59bec5…
05-31 18:01:33	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	BUY	120	33¢	$40	0x29563e…
05-31 17:40:40	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	251	42¢	$105	0x50fa09…
05-31 17:31:48	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	Yes	SELL	90	43¢	$39	0x735332…