Diligent-Cashew — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$146

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

394

Trades

743

lifetime

Volume

$18.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-18 17:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Other

69% 44% +$135

Politics

19% 43% +$57

Sports

12% 31% -$333

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	Yes		-11	-$6	3¢	$-0	+$6	05-04 16:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election?	4	$845	466	466	+0	Yes	+$85	09-27 18:17
LoL: FURIA Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season	4	$460	502	295	+207	FURIA Esports	-$118	05-02 17:34
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?	2	$456	270	270	+0	Yes	+$83	05-01 21:36
will trump say job 20 times during the 2026 state of the union address 563	2	$427	330	330	+0	No	+$227	02-25 04:00
Will SPD be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	4	$362	218	218	+0	open	—	09-21 15:07
will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	2	$321	178	178	+0	No	+$21	03-09 23:23
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$309	234	234	+0	76ers	+$159	05-03 02:08
sea pis mil 2026 02 13 mil	3	$252	166	166	+0	Yes	+$50	02-13 21:33
lol dnf fox1 2026 01 29 game2	2	$251	152	152	+0	BNK FEARX	+$51	01-29 09:35
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)	3	$251	163	163	+0	Dplus KIA	+$73	05-02 11:32
will meta platforms meta be the top performing magnificent 7 company during the week of january 26	2	$241	142	142	+0	Yes	+$28	01-29 05:18
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	3	$237	281	281	+0	Yes	+$212	03-08 22:45
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	4	$236	474	133	+341	No	+$20	03-09 00:42
will threads be the 2 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	3	$222	137	137	+0	No	+$33	02-05 02:01
will the bhumjaithai party bjt win 140 or more seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	10	$206	142	142	+0	Yes	+$50	02-08 12:24
Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%?	4	$199	150	150	+0	Yes	+$91	09-21 19:11
lal sev cel 2026 01 12 sev	2	$199	130	130	+0	No	+$35	01-12 21:44
Spread: England (-1.5)	2	$198	120	120	+0	England	+$42	09-29 21:00
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	9	$196	220	220	+0	open	—	10-04 23:20
Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election?	22	$189	1,187	601	+587	No	-$112	09-27 11:03
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29?	2	$178	131	131	+0	No	+$84	09-29 17:52
Will Burnley finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	6	$177	207	207	+0	No	-$3	05-02 21:17
Will Linke be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?	2	$175	100	100	+0	open	—	09-21 16:37
lol dk drx 2026 02 13 total games 4pt5	2	$170	101	101	+0	Over	+$32	02-13 11:45
andrew tate posts february 20 february 27 100 129	4	$162	944	0	+944	No	-$162	02-27 14:05
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?	2	$159	101	101	+0	Yes	+$42	05-02 20:54
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)	2	$158	104	104	+0	Shifters	+$51	05-04 20:12
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$156	106	106	+0	No	+$56	04-30 20:42
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	5	$154	365	365	+0	Yes	-$28	02-12 23:05
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	2	$150	100	100	+0	Thunder	+$50	05-06 03:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 17:51:20	Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)	MVK Esports	BUY	37	24¢	$9	0x58d396…
10-18 17:50:45	Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)	MVK Esports	BUY	62	55¢	$34	0x1b3aa9…
10-08 00:15:20	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 9?	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x249637…
10-05 00:01:40	Spread: Aruba (-2.5)	Aruba	BUY	58	28¢	$16	0x5e249d…
10-05 00:01:19	Spread: Aruba (-2.5)	Aruba	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x6f0d00…
10-05 00:00:22	Spread: Aruba (-2.5)	Aruba	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x7c9a52…
10-04 23:57:44	Spread: Aruba (-2.5)	Aruba	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xfa6874…
10-04 23:21:37	Spread: Puerto Rico (-1.5)	Puerto Rico	BUY	77	40¢	$31	0xc753e9…
10-04 23:20:58	Will AloisNL Win the ADC Race 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	28¢	$14	0x8eef66…
10-04 23:20:50	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	58	32¢	$18	0xb26147…
10-04 22:22:49	Puerto Rico leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x86602b…
10-04 22:21:53	Puerto Rico vs. Cayman Islands: Puerto Rico 1st Half O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xdfae83…
10-04 21:56:52	Turks and Caicos Islands vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8f096d…
10-04 21:19:52	Will US Virgin Islands win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	47	10¢	$5	0xa5f11c…
10-04 21:14:46	Turks and Caicos Islands vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc1f0b3…
10-04 21:08:56	Spread: Aruba (-3.5)	Aruba	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1fb2af…
10-04 21:03:40	Spread: Puerto Rico (-3.5)	Puerto Rico	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x3e2e4a…
10-04 21:03:29	Spread: Puerto Rico (-2.5)	Puerto Rico	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0x889e7e…
10-04 20:57:50	Puerto Rico vs. Cayman Islands: Puerto Rico O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	27	14¢	$4	0x4bfc28…
10-04 20:56:59	Spread: Puerto Rico (-4.5)	Puerto Rico	BUY	33	22¢	$8	0xf09a4d…
10-04 20:56:46	Spread: Puerto Rico (-3.5)	Puerto Rico	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x30cdc2…
10-04 20:56:17	Spread: Puerto Rico (-2.5)	Puerto Rico	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xd7c668…
10-04 20:48:32	Spread: Guyana (-2.5)	Guyana	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xef5d1d…
10-04 20:48:32	Spread: Guyana (-3.5)	Guyana	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0884a1…
10-04 20:43:01	Guyana vs. Dominica: O/U 7.5	Over	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x4fadf2…
10-04 20:42:40	Guyana vs. Dominica: O/U 6.5	Over	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x578721…
10-04 20:42:11	Spread: Guyana (-4.5)	Guyana	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd97f20…
10-04 20:42:10	Spread: Guyana (-4.5)	Guyana	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xdfdfd7…
10-04 20:41:02	Spread: Guyana (-3.5)	Guyana	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x24696d…
10-04 20:40:46	Spread: Guyana (-2.5)	Guyana	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x5ff65f…
10-04 17:56:47	Guyana vs. Dominica: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0xa9f301…
10-04 17:56:32	Guyana vs. Dominica: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	23	11¢	$2	0xc6db75…
10-04 17:55:59	Spread: Guyana (-4.5)	Guyana	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xee5345…
10-04 17:55:49	Spread: Guyana (-3.5)	Guyana	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x4497a5…
10-04 17:55:40	Spread: Guyana (-2.5)	Guyana	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x5dc29a…
10-04 17:53:29	Will Austria win on 2026-10-04?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x6e9dbb…
10-04 16:13:11	Malta vs. Andorra: Malta O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x528e1e…
10-04 16:12:55	Malta vs. Andorra: Malta O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x46244c…
10-04 16:11:47	Will Austria win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x51606b…
10-03 02:06:50	Will AloisNL Win the ADC Race 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	29¢	$14	0x5aa1bc…
10-03 02:04:00	Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	68¢	$43	0xb959e3…
10-03 01:53:29	Barbados vs. Bermuda: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xb3797c…
10-03 01:34:33	Spread: Barbados (-1.5)	Bermuda	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x3a0aa3…
10-03 01:33:29	Barbados vs. Bermuda: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	37	51¢	$19	0x65dcc4…
10-03 00:14:53	Bonaire vs. Grenada: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	46	48¢	$22	0xa39c6a…
10-02 21:03:35	Ukraine vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xbc35cb…
10-02 21:02:59	Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x70d770…
10-02 19:16:24	Ukraine vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	41	48¢	$19	0xd69590…
10-02 18:07:12	Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	42	46¢	$19	0x0d621b…
10-02 17:55:05	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	58	34¢	$20	0xbc6768…
10-02 16:34:41	Latvia vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	36	51¢	$18	0xb88da7…
10-02 03:02:59	Spread: Costa Rica (-2.5)	Costa Rica	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0xb6218b…
10-02 03:02:12	Spread: Costa Rica (-1.5)	Costa Rica	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0x875ad1…
10-02 02:59:42	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	61	33¢	$20	0x9b42f8…
09-29 21:00:21	Spread: England (-1.5)	England	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x361821…
09-29 19:15:23	Spread: England (-1.5)	England	BUY	120	65¢	$78	0x369e6f…
09-29 18:55:17	Spain vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0x39e994…
09-29 18:43:21	Will NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	49¢	$31	0x5cb2c7…
09-29 17:52:26	Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0x6f660f…
09-29 17:19:36	Will Rwanda win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0xdda0a0…
09-29 17:16:42	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	SELL	101	19¢	$19	0x87c3ca…
09-29 17:10:59	Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	131	36¢	$47	0xc777c8…
09-29 17:09:20	Will Iceland win on 2026-09-29?	No	SELL	84	59¢	$50	0x10e545…
09-29 03:48:51	Will Iceland win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	85	57¢	$48	0xa82097…
09-29 03:45:17	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	61	38¢	$23	0xd1a962…
09-29 03:43:06	lol ksa mas 2026 09 29	Malaysia	BUY	91	27¢	$25	0x233bba…
09-29 02:12:47	Guatemala vs. El Salvador: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	75	64¢	$48	0xbec646…
09-28 22:55:44	Cuba vs. Bonaire: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xa16d18…
09-28 21:16:00	Cuba vs. Bonaire: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	49	53¢	$26	0x2d09d3…
09-28 16:01:20	fif kyr mdv 2026 09 28 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xea3070…
09-28 14:24:18	fif kyr mdv 2026 09 28 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0xe122b0…
09-27 23:21:32	Spread: Curaçao (-2.5)	Curaçao	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x5dd734…
09-27 23:21:08	Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)	Curaçao	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x914034…
09-27 23:20:14	Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: Curaçao O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	36	7¢	$2	0x1c6a30…
09-27 23:20:02	Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: Curaçao O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x7c51d2…
09-27 23:19:51	Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: Curaçao O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xf30b24…
09-27 23:18:42	Curaçao vs. Nicaragua: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x2504d5…
09-27 18:17:27	Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election?	Yes	SELL	466	100¢	$465	0xa334cd…
09-27 11:03:23	Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	111	6¢	$7	0x2347e8…
09-26 20:47:38	Will Jynxzi reach Gold rank in League of Legends by October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x1b9ccc…
09-25 20:02:39	Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xda833d…
09-25 12:49:09	Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	65	6¢	$4	0xe852ba…
09-25 06:44:12	Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	39	6¢	$2	0x00f7ba…
09-25 02:25:38	Spread: Costa Rica (-2.5)	Curaçao	BUY	54	53¢	$29	0x87a934…
09-25 02:23:08	Spread: Costa Rica (-1.5)	Curaçao	BUY	41	52¢	$21	0x08a878…
09-24 20:38:57	Liechtenstein vs. Lithuania: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xd10e4e…
09-24 16:58:12	Liechtenstein vs. Lithuania: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	45	62¢	$28	0x8e69b9…
09-24 16:56:59	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	55	53¢	$29	0x47d32a…
09-24 16:46:08	Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?	No	SELL	158	3¢	$4	0x987deb…
09-24 14:21:44	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	55	53¢	$29	0x41de03…
09-24 00:01:52	Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x05573d…
09-23 17:03:50	Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0xa0e408…
09-23 02:02:26	Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0x39756e…
09-22 21:03:21	Will Real Madrid CF Femenino win on 2026-09-22?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x0834d7…
09-22 19:43:24	Will Real Madrid CF Femenino win on 2026-09-22?	No	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0x23afce…
09-22 13:24:42	Will Axel von der Ohe win the next Hannover mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	191	6¢	$11	0xda06e0…
09-21 20:44:10	rou1 fpp fcm 2026 09 21 spread home 1pt5	FC Petrolul Ploieşti	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x2b8a32…
09-21 20:43:57	Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-09-21?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xf887a7…
09-21 19:11:46	Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%?	Yes	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x76ed6b…
09-21 18:44:33	Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	BUY	61	22¢	$13	0x30c8b4…