Official-Gazebo-Yoga — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$96

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 09-15 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

74% 71% -$1

Crypto

10% 0% -$10

Politics

10% — —

Sports

5% 100% +$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+18	$10	72¢	$13	+$3	09-15 18:46
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	+28	$5	12¢	$3	-$2	09-15 18:42
US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	+23	$5	6¢	$1	-$4	05-10 13:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the safeguarding swiss neutrality neutrality initiative initiative be approved in switzerlands september 27 2026 popular vote 20260713144919277	1	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$1	09-15 18:44
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$3	06-14 18:37
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	06-14 18:37
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	09-15 18:46
will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	1	$10	31	0	+31	No	-$10	09-15 18:54
Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	09-15 18:45
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	09-15 18:42
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	1	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	09-15 18:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	-$5	05-10 13:06
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$5	30	0	+30	Yes	+$25	06-14 18:38
US recession by end of 2026?	1	$5	23	0	+23	open	—	05-10 13:03
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-24 12:06
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$1	34	0	+34	Yes	-$1	05-10 13:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 18:54:42	will bitcoin dip to 70k in september 2026	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x196d8d…
09-15 18:46:24	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xc4fe74…
09-15 18:45:04	Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x918492…
09-15 18:44:57	will the safeguarding swiss neutrality neutrality initiative initiative be approved in switzerlands september 27 2026 popular vote 20260713144919277	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xbd232e…
09-15 18:42:51	U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x6505e7…
09-15 18:42:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb062dc…
06-14 18:38:33	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x7bacef…
06-14 18:37:15	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb14067…
06-14 18:37:00	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x063da3…
05-24 12:06:47	AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x12d1b3…
05-24 12:04:38	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x86b3b9…
05-10 13:19:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xfa0339…
05-10 13:06:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf40890…
05-10 13:03:57	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x6e459d…
05-10 13:03:27	Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x4e3c24…