Realized P&L
+$10
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
91.7%
Resolved
3
Trades
78
lifetime
Volume
$1.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$32
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 06-19 13:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
84% 50% +$14
Other
15%
Sports
1%
Crypto
0% 0% $-4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +15 $10 88¢ $13 +$3 06-14 16:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +61 $19 10¢ $6 $-13 06-14 22:36
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -122 $-8 $-5 +$3 06-04 06:21
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +24 $5 18¢ $4 $-1 06-14 16:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $6 $2 $-4 06-04 18:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +50 $7 $1 $-7 06-08 08:08
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $5 $1 $-4 06-08 07:26
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes +23 $5 $0 $-5 06-14 22:11