Flickering-Departure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.81K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

10,248

Trades

14,387

lifetime

Volume

$284.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 10-08 19:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 207 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% +$8,786

Sports

0% 50% +$20

Other

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 08:45 UTC	8	$238	170	170	+0	Up	+$36	02-18 08:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 08:30 UTC	4	$171	112	111	+1	Down	+$16	02-18 08:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 08:40 UTC	12	$171	120	119	+1	Up	+$30	02-18 08:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:00 UTC	1	$140	251	0	+251	Up	-$140	08-13 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$136	243	0	+243	Up	-$136	08-13 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$135	254	0	+254	Down	-$135	08-13 19:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:30 UTC	1	$127	261	0	+261	Down	-$127	08-01 22:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 18:10 UTC	1	$123	216	0	+216	Down	+$93	08-13 18:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 18:35 UTC	1	$123	248	0	+248	Down	+$126	08-13 18:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 00:35 UTC	1	$121	236	0	+236	Down	-$121	08-02 00:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 03:35 UTC	1	$120	233	0	+233	Down	-$120	08-01 03:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:45 UTC	1	$120	220	0	+220	Down	+$100	08-01 23:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:45 UTC	1	$120	200	0	+200	Up	+$80	08-13 16:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:45 UTC	1	$119	239	0	+239	Down	-$119	08-01 22:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 11:00 UTC	1	$119	344	0	+344	Down	-$119	08-01 11:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 14:20 UTC	1	$118	212	0	+212	Down	+$93	08-13 14:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:30 UTC	1	$118	231	0	+231	Up	+$113	08-01 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 21:35 UTC	1	$118	219	0	+219	Down	+$101	08-01 21:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 23:20 UTC	1	$118	213	0	+213	Down	-$118	08-13 23:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 00:45 UTC	1	$116	215	0	+215	Down	-$116	08-02 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 13:40 UTC	1	$115	214	0	+214	Up	+$99	08-13 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 20:20 UTC	1	$114	228	0	+228	Up	+$114	08-01 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 08:45 UTC	1	$114	225	0	+225	Up	+$111	08-01 08:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 05:55 UTC	1	$113	222	0	+222	Down	-$113	08-01 05:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 08:50 UTC	1	$113	221	0	+221	Up	+$108	08-01 08:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 07:25 UTC	1	$113	191	0	+191	Down	-$113	08-13 07:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:00 UTC	1	$112	215	0	+215	Down	-$112	08-02 02:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 08:10 UTC	1	$112	208	0	+208	Up	+$96	08-01 08:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 06:05 UTC	1	$112	228	0	+228	Down	-$112	08-13 06:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 08:15 UTC	1	$112	212	0	+212	Down	-$112	08-01 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 19:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xe974f9…
10-08 19:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0x77e71b…
10-08 18:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x67c6a8…
10-08 18:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	54¢	$15	0x0440ab…
10-08 17:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xbf3e33…
10-08 16:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	52¢	$14	0x405506…
10-08 15:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x6200b3…
10-08 15:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x3f9ae6…
10-08 15:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0xbd3d71…
10-08 13:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	35	53¢	$19	0x7a6df9…
10-08 13:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	34	51¢	$18	0xf5d0d9…
10-08 10:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	34	51¢	$17	0xedc03f…
10-08 10:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x4e96ea…
10-08 09:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	37	52¢	$19	0x07e546…
10-08 07:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xf42c0d…
10-08 05:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x1cc4f0…
10-08 05:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0xa48155…
10-08 03:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	42	51¢	$21	0xf2030f…
10-08 00:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x82940c…
10-07 23:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xa7a19b…
10-07 21:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xc65e77…
10-07 15:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0x0a2dbe…
10-07 15:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	41	50¢	$20	0xc1c1a6…
10-07 13:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	51¢	$19	0xf6c478…
10-07 13:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	41	52¢	$21	0x413d34…
10-07 09:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xa09401…
10-07 06:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	36	52¢	$19	0x315d78…
10-07 05:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	36	51¢	$18	0x6d822f…
10-07 03:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0xf3566d…
10-07 03:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x61f7aa…
10-07 03:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0x5d9070…
10-07 03:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0xce0fa6…
10-07 02:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	51¢	$21	0xeacd85…
10-07 01:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xa79baf…
10-07 01:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0xf5edc0…
10-06 21:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	45	52¢	$23	0xaa7cab…
10-06 17:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0xc53ab6…
10-06 15:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	41	54¢	$22	0x714962…
10-06 15:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	32	51¢	$17	0xb74542…
10-06 15:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	45	51¢	$23	0x708ee4…
10-06 14:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x6c7910…
10-06 11:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0x10f5bf…
10-06 09:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	44	51¢	$22	0x6378e4…
10-06 07:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0xccb0e7…
10-06 07:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	44	51¢	$22	0x46b2ca…
10-06 04:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	42	51¢	$21	0xd55daf…
10-06 01:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	43	51¢	$22	0x349724…
10-06 01:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	42	51¢	$21	0xf2f531…
10-06 00:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x25d092…
10-05 23:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x9948b6…
10-05 21:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x8017df…
10-05 19:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x381e08…
10-05 18:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	41	52¢	$21	0x135473…
10-05 16:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0x903e1f…
10-05 15:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x5bd391…
10-05 14:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xf1d433…
10-05 13:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	62	51¢	$32	0xf8d1d0…
10-05 13:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	62	52¢	$32	0x6a209b…
10-05 12:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0xca2d14…
10-05 10:04:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0xd9e682…
10-05 06:54:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	61	50¢	$31	0xbaa576…
10-05 06:34:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0xbf43a5…
10-05 06:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0x16bd22…
10-05 06:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	61	52¢	$32	0x8c5e86…
10-05 04:19:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	61	53¢	$32	0xe4bc33…
10-05 03:59:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0xac9c06…
10-05 00:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	60	52¢	$31	0xb6e16a…
10-04 23:54:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xd77d23…
10-04 23:39:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xd65bf4…
10-04 22:49:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	59	50¢	$30	0x894b97…
10-04 21:59:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	58	49¢	$29	0x8e2c0e…
10-04 21:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0x97ce80…
10-04 17:14:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	56	51¢	$29	0x99473c…
10-04 11:04:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	57	51¢	$29	0x1cb764…
10-04 10:59:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	58	50¢	$29	0xd2969f…
10-04 10:29:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	57	52¢	$30	0xf6c120…
10-04 09:24:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0xaf06ad…
10-04 07:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x0c36c6…
10-04 07:34:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	57	51¢	$29	0x29006e…
10-04 01:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	56	51¢	$29	0x460c15…
10-04 01:19:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	57	51¢	$29	0xc17993…
10-03 21:09:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x0fa6f3…
10-03 21:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	57	52¢	$30	0xceb872…
10-03 19:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	55	50¢	$28	0x007e0d…
10-03 17:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	56	52¢	$29	0x3783c9…
10-03 14:04:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	54	51¢	$28	0xd7b65d…
10-03 12:19:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	56	47¢	$26	0x5e3051…
10-03 04:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	54	51¢	$28	0x8bc755…
10-03 04:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0x147b63…
10-03 03:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0x38211c…
10-03 03:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	55	52¢	$29	0x00076e…
10-03 03:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	52¢	$29	0x9d15af…
10-02 20:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0x40815c…
10-02 16:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	54	51¢	$28	0x1a791f…
10-02 15:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0x680dd3…
10-02 14:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	55	52¢	$29	0x56c132…
10-02 14:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xd51a09…
10-02 10:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	54	51¢	$28	0x37d1da…
10-02 06:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	54	51¢	$28	0x59eecd…
10-02 05:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	53	51¢	$27	0x3c39d4…