Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$32,921
Trades
3,407
Unique wallets
714
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
39¢
Latest NO mid
61¢
End date
2026-10-08
First seen
2026-10-07
last 10-08 01:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.9¢
(top1%: 32% YES on $15.9K
vs crowd: 33% YES on $30.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 138 | $6.0K | $11.2K | $5.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 219 | $2.1K | $5.5K | $3.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 219 | $1.6K | $3.1K | $1.4K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 138 | $310 | $528 | $218 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 160 | $5.1K | $10.8K | $5.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 128 | $1.1K | $2.8K | $1.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 30 | $89 | $123 | $35 |
| Median | 27 | $27 | $466 | $439 |
| Below median | 134 | $338 | $782 | $443 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 96 | $654 | $1.2K | $525 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 83 | $1.1K | $878 | +$220 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 56 | $1.6K | $3.3K | $1.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +1,963 | $441 | $441 | 71 | 10-08 00:59 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +1,638 | $918 | $918 | 60 | 10-08 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9a1…aa8a | Down | +1,400 | $1,247 | $1,247 | 6 | 10-08 00:58 |
| Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | +1,200 | $1,188 | $1,188 | 49 | 10-08 00:59 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Up | +1,028 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-08 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x900f…2230 | Up | +1,025 | $500 | $500 | 2 | 10-08 00:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Up | +977 | $435 | $435 | 24 | 10-08 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xe410…d4d1 | Down | +917 | $484 | $484 | 1 | 10-08 00:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +873 | $508 | $508 | 38 | 10-08 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xe105…ed92 | Up | +865 | $83 | $83 | 7 | 10-08 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +788 | $548 | $548 | 30 | 10-08 00:58 |
| Husky-Fascia 0x3b5a…b293 | Down | +757 | $500 | $500 | 5 | 10-08 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +678 | $268 | $268 | 37 | 10-08 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +674 | $214 | $214 | 28 | 10-08 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Up | +659 | $332 | $332 | 23 | 10-08 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +636 | $449 | $449 | 26 | 10-08 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Up | +596 | $236 | $443 | 18 | 10-08 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x80c6…b878 | Up | +589 | $350 | $350 | 5 | 10-08 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Up | +578 | $120 | $120 | 28 | 10-08 00:59 |
| Specific-Recorder 0x4631…5454 | Down | +505 | $499 | $507 | 3 | 10-08 00:59 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Down | +487 | $292 | $292 | 37 | 10-08 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Down | +483 | $302 | $302 | 27 | 10-08 00:58 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Up | +478 | $157 | $157 | 37 | 10-08 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Down | +476 | $232 | $232 | 40 | 10-08 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Down | +450 | $273 | $273 | 30 | 10-08 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e | Up | +401 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 10-08 00:59 |
| Earnest-Scooter 0x14cb…3466 | Up | +400 | $188 | $188 | 1 | 10-08 00:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Up | +394 | $189 | $189 | 11 | 10-08 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Up | +393 | $116 | $116 | 28 | 10-08 00:59 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +392 | $42 | $42 | 27 | 10-08 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xb09f…1e7e | Down | +377 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 10-08 00:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +358 | $164 | $164 | 11 | 10-08 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xd844…5908 | Down | +358 | $155 | $155 | 6 | 10-08 00:57 |
| Rectangular-Gaffer 0xe70d…dd35 | Down | +355 | $190 | $190 | 2 | 10-08 00:56 |
| True-Jailhouse 0x6d5c…f7e9 | Down | +354 | $350 | $350 | 1 | 10-08 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x6944…149d | Up | +352 | $80 | $80 | 6 | 10-08 00:58 |
| Whimsical-Dolor 0x5187…aa17 | Down | +350 | $200 | $200 | 2 | 10-08 00:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +349 | $131 | $131 | 36 | 10-08 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x85a1…91b9 | Down | +349 | $219 | $219 | 24 | 10-08 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x321e…b542 | Down | +347 | $343 | $343 | 1 | 10-08 00:59 |
| Stimulating-Power 0x502b…3b15 | Down | +337 | $169 | $169 | 7 | 10-08 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Up | +328 | $143 | $143 | 20 | 10-08 00:58 |
| Ironclad-Herbs 0x6c2b…36f4 | Down | +328 | $321 | $321 | 1 | 10-08 00:58 |
| Fitting-Entree 0x86b1…fc87 | Up | +316 | $143 | $143 | 7 | 10-08 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x80c6…b878 | Down | +304 | $150 | $150 | 3 | 10-08 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x7467…0168 | Down | +303 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 10-08 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x5326…7510 | Up | +300 | $3 | $3 | 12 | 10-08 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cb0…3a90 | Down | +298 | -$31 | $842 | 37 | 10-08 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | +294 | $291 | $291 | 15 | 10-08 01:00 |
| Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f | Down | +290 | $171 | $171 | 9 | 10-08 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Up | +288 | $147 | $147 | 4 | 10-08 00:55 |
| Prudent-Cohort 0xa265…1bb3 | Up | +286 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-08 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Up | +286 | $123 | $123 | 15 | 10-08 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +282 | $135 | $135 | 23 | 10-08 00:58 |
| Nice-Trapdoor 0xc1b4…624f | Up | +277 | $118 | $118 | 12 | 10-08 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x280e…fbd8 | Down | +270 | $141 | $141 | 7 | 10-08 00:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Down | +262 | $129 | $129 | 21 | 10-08 00:57 |
| Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab | Up | +258 | $57 | $57 | 18 | 10-08 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +256 | $126 | $126 | 9 | 10-08 00:57 |
| Unfortunate-Technology 0xe974…e575 | Up | +256 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 10-08 00:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 01:00:23 | (anonymous) 0x601c…d303 | Down | SELL | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xd56078… |
| 10-08 01:00:23 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xd56078… |
| 10-08 01:00:04 | (anonymous) 0xea12…5d7a | Down | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xe567a0… |
| 10-08 01:00:04 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0xe567a0… |
| 10-08 01:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xccf2b7… |
| 10-08 01:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x3dc8…aa57 | Down | SELL | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0xccf2b7… |
| 10-08 00:59:59 | (anonymous) 0xc998…e194 | Down | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x58d2ea… |
| 10-08 00:59:59 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x58d2ea… |
| 10-08 00:59:50 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xfa5485… |
| 10-08 00:59:50 | (anonymous) 0x2a68…abc2 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xfa5485… |
| 10-08 00:59:47 | (anonymous) 0x8a9e…0317 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3055f2… |
| 10-08 00:59:47 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x3055f2… |
| 10-08 00:59:40 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x436657… |
| 10-08 00:59:40 | (anonymous) 0xb811…9115 | Up | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x436657… |
| 10-08 00:59:28 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 57 | 99¢ | $56 | 0xea69bb… |
| 10-08 00:59:28 | (anonymous) 0xb185…739d | Down | SELL | 57 | 99¢ | $56 | 0xea69bb… |
| 10-08 00:59:23 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x7d21f5… |
| 10-08 00:59:23 | (anonymous) 0x2bdf…1eb3 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x0e7f41… |
| 10-08 00:59:23 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Up | BUY | 1,028 | 1¢ | $10 | 0x0e7f41… |
| 10-08 00:59:23 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xf116be… |
| 10-08 00:59:23 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x7efa07… |
| 10-08 00:59:23 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x315a81… |
| 10-08 00:59:23 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x7d21f5… |
| 10-08 00:59:23 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x315a81… |
| 10-08 00:59:23 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 167 | 99¢ | $165 | 0x0e7f41… |
| 10-08 00:59:23 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x58498a… |
| 10-08 00:59:23 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x58498a… |
| 10-08 00:59:23 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 851 | 99¢ | $843 | 0x0e7f41… |
| 10-08 00:59:23 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xf116be… |
| 10-08 00:59:23 | (anonymous) 0xfd9c…9934 | Down | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x7efa07… |
| 10-08 00:59:22 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xc83657… |
| 10-08 00:59:22 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xb790bc… |
| 10-08 00:59:22 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x45b8a9… |
| 10-08 00:59:22 | (anonymous) 0x1a80…3b26 | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xa6b552… |
| 10-08 00:59:22 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x0575de… |
| 10-08 00:59:22 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x45b8a9… |
| 10-08 00:59:22 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xa6b552… |
| 10-08 00:59:22 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x107c76… |
| 10-08 00:59:22 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x254fae… |
| 10-08 00:59:22 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xb790bc… |
| 10-08 00:59:22 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x7bc629… |
| 10-08 00:59:22 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x0575de… |
| 10-08 00:59:22 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x107c76… |
| 10-08 00:59:22 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x7bc629… |
| 10-08 00:59:22 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x254fae… |
| 10-08 00:59:22 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xc83657… |
| 10-08 00:59:20 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x87fac3… |
| 10-08 00:59:20 | (anonymous) 0x933e…901f | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe38820… |
| 10-08 00:59:20 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x21238b… |
| 10-08 00:59:20 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x7e4a9d… |
| 10-08 00:59:20 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x9ac3f9… |
| 10-08 00:59:20 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xea7b0d… |
| 10-08 00:59:20 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x5d80fb… |
| 10-08 00:59:20 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x87fac3… |
| 10-08 00:59:20 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xe38820… |
| 10-08 00:59:20 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x7e4a9d… |
| 10-08 00:59:20 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x21238b… |
| 10-08 00:59:20 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x9ac3f9… |
| 10-08 00:59:20 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x5d80fb… |
| 10-08 00:59:20 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xea7b0d… |
| 10-08 00:59:19 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x840c81… |
| 10-08 00:59:19 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xadf1d9… |
| 10-08 00:59:19 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xc3c5a6… |
| 10-08 00:59:19 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xf7c9de… |
| 10-08 00:59:19 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xb9dbe4… |
| 10-08 00:59:19 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xadf1d9… |
| 10-08 00:59:19 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xa9c8bd… |
| 10-08 00:59:19 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xba9f58… |
| 10-08 00:59:19 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x840c81… |
| 10-08 00:59:19 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xf7c9de… |
| 10-08 00:59:19 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xba9f58… |
| 10-08 00:59:19 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xa3a65c… |
| 10-08 00:59:19 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xb9dbe4… |
| 10-08 00:59:19 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xc3c5a6… |
| 10-08 00:59:19 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xa9c8bd… |
| 10-08 00:59:19 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xa3a65c… |
| 10-08 00:59:17 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x5de6d8… |
| 10-08 00:59:17 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x5de6d8… |
| 10-08 00:59:17 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x623daa… |
| 10-08 00:59:17 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0xb5544f… |
| 10-08 00:59:17 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xe5ce20… |
| 10-08 00:59:17 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x731611… |
| 10-08 00:59:17 | (anonymous) 0xb1e0…310b | Down | SELL | 28 | 99¢ | $28 | 0xb5544f… |
| 10-08 00:59:17 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x044804… |
| 10-08 00:59:17 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x044804… |
| 10-08 00:59:17 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x731611… |
| 10-08 00:59:17 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x623daa… |
| 10-08 00:59:17 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x054464… |
| 10-08 00:59:17 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xe5ce20… |
| 10-08 00:59:17 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x054464… |
| 10-08 00:59:16 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x010a25… |
| 10-08 00:59:16 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x51349c… |
| 10-08 00:59:16 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xb21f0b… |
| 10-08 00:59:16 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xe19b78… |
| 10-08 00:59:16 | (anonymous) 0xeee8…3655 | Down | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xa346de… |
| 10-08 00:59:16 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xb7a948… |
| 10-08 00:59:16 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x010a25… |
| 10-08 00:59:16 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xb7a948… |
| 10-08 00:59:16 | Adventurous-Parole 0xeba7…2d1f | Down | BUY | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xcfa8a4… |
| 10-08 00:59:16 | (anonymous) 0x3d93…5657 | Down | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x83a15a… |