Palatable-Hype — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

87.7%

Resolved

Trades

132

lifetime

Volume

$3.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 06-28 08:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

97% 65% $-30

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic		+10	$8	91¢	$9	+$1	06-04 19:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
as quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 24 2026 0pt28	6	$1.1K	626	626	+0	open	—	02-24 13:03
Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	7	$304	158	158	+0	Yes	+$13	05-06 21:59
Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$302	155	155	+0	open	—	05-21 14:25
Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?	7	$288	164	164	+0	Yes	+$38	05-06 12:17
Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?	10	$248	143	143	+0	Yes	+$38	05-06 12:17
Will Hyatt Hotels (H) beat quarterly earnings?	6	$159	96	95	+2	open	—	04-30 11:51
Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?	5	$154	87	86	+1	open	—	04-30 11:54
Will Frontline (FRO) beat quarterly earnings?	7	$133	120	106	+14	open	—	05-22 23:04
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$125	66	66	+0	open	—	05-21 20:36
Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$106	110	0	+110	open	—	05-07 10:36
Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?	5	$86	48	56	-9	Yes	+$18	05-07 20:48
Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$52	67	0	+67	open	—	06-01 08:26
will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	1	$50	251	0	+251	open	—	01-29 17:19
Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$50	155	0	+155	No	$-50	05-07 10:45
Will Google say "Anthropic" during earnings call?	4	$46	44	44	+0	open	—	04-29 21:30
Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	6	$42	92	0	+92	No	$-42	04-30 13:03
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$40	22	22	+0	Yes	+$4	05-06 21:59
Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	05-26 11:38
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$30	17	17	+0	Yes	+$4	05-07 12:35
Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	05-07 20:36
Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$23	35	0	+35	No	$-23	04-30 12:03
Will Expedia (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	04-30 12:53
Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 21:30
lulu quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 04 2026 1pt68	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 21:44
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$17	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	05-06 21:58
Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$14	20	0	+20	No	$-14	05-06 23:02
Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$14	82	0	+82	No	$-14	05-04 21:31
Will O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$14	37	0	+37	open	—	04-25 18:43
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	2	$13	150	0	+150	open	—	06-05 17:52
nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 30 2026 0pt12	2	$11	117	0	+117	open	—	06-28 08:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 08:35:23	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 30 2026 0pt12	No	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x1f9cd7…
06-12 07:52:52	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 30 2026 0pt12	No	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x62f5f5…
06-05 17:56:12	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xd53be6…
06-05 17:52:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x422388…
06-04 21:52:43	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$8	0x348c60…
06-04 21:52:18	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	Yes	BUY	150	6¢	$9	0x17211d…
06-04 21:52:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x2fc00a…
06-04 21:44:22	lulu quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 04 2026 1pt68	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb33e0a…
06-04 19:01:06	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x8ada00…
06-04 18:48:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x1e07e8…
06-04 18:48:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x077f3a…
06-04 18:47:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x4a3995…
06-04 18:38:42	aso quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt92	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2c1594…
06-04 00:12:43	cpb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 08 2026 0pt48	No	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0x601068…
06-01 08:26:21	Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x483908…
06-01 00:01:18	Will lululemon athletica (LULU) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xcd5f15…
05-26 11:38:21	Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x19d783…
05-22 23:04:05	Will Frontline (FRO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x8fd33a…
05-22 23:03:19	Will Frontline (FRO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	106	31¢	$32	0x137725…
05-21 20:36:38	Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xe2cf11…
05-21 18:00:51	Will Frontline (FRO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x46ac5f…
05-21 17:51:22	Will Frontline (FRO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x3a899e…
05-21 17:50:40	Will Frontline (FRO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x0a1ce9…
05-21 17:49:48	Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xb50add…
05-21 17:49:20	Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	46	90¢	$41	0x309683…
05-21 17:40:24	Will Frontline (FRO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0xa8561c…
05-21 17:27:32	Will Frontline (FRO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x591bbc…
05-21 17:27:08	Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf83a3a…
05-21 14:25:43	Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0x362280…
05-21 07:35:29	Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x0c92e3…
05-21 07:30:00	Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	57	76¢	$44	0x5a6e76…
05-19 05:37:20	Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x0a4f67…
05-13 21:15:21	Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	140	95¢	$133	0xf2f6e4…
05-13 14:08:28	Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xbda858…
05-07 20:48:11	Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xfddcf1…
05-07 20:36:59	Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xbe395c…
05-07 12:35:18	Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xcfa7b0…
05-07 10:45:14	Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x411d4b…
05-07 10:45:03	Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x0bdbb3…
05-07 10:36:55	Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0x64fb47…
05-07 10:03:35	Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xb88796…
05-07 10:03:14	Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x6f8c89…
05-07 08:49:16	Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xd835b8…
05-07 08:48:51	Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xb6f5ac…
05-07 08:48:34	Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xecd8d1…
05-06 23:02:03	Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x816d39…
05-06 22:07:29	Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xab8a47…
05-06 22:05:31	Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x036d9b…
05-06 22:05:02	Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x13f977…
05-06 22:02:59	Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc81d1c…
05-06 22:01:40	Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x3d4c6d…
05-06 21:59:29	Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0x62b14c…
05-06 21:59:01	Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x4445dd…
05-06 21:58:17	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xae245a…
05-06 15:15:14	Will Circle Internet (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x057061…
05-06 14:59:36	Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x2870ed…
05-06 12:17:58	Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x7c36a4…
05-06 12:17:48	Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	164	99¢	$163	0x0f0bc1…
05-05 15:26:30	Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x0346d8…
05-04 21:31:56	Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	66	7¢	$4	0x682e33…
05-04 21:31:22	Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x5aab60…
05-04 21:30:40	Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xce450e…
04-30 13:03:58	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x0c4e8a…
04-30 12:54:52	Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x406532…
04-30 12:53:04	Will Expedia (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xd9ace5…
04-30 12:08:10	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x128a55…
04-30 12:07:16	Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	45	76¢	$34	0xbfe84a…
04-30 12:06:16	Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xbeda35…
04-30 12:03:28	Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	36	75¢	$27	0xcb4628…
04-30 12:03:08	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x18d370…
04-30 12:02:28	Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x1b2247…
04-30 11:59:36	Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xf275bf…
04-30 11:58:40	Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x6218d0…
04-30 11:56:58	Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xa24c4b…
04-30 11:55:36	Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	45	71¢	$32	0x9bbb74…
04-30 11:54:36	Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x7d937e…
04-30 11:53:20	Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$0	0x1c6455…
04-30 11:51:50	Will Hyatt Hotels (H) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xc06aa4…
04-30 11:50:56	Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xd1b7b0…
04-30 10:27:04	Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x324d19…
04-30 10:24:10	Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	38	68¢	$26	0x056ed1…
04-29 21:42:48	Will Hyatt Hotels (H) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x218206…
04-29 21:30:12	Will Google say "Anthropic" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	44	16¢	$7	0x46853b…
04-26 07:07:50	Will Google say "Anthropic" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x90a9d2…
04-26 07:00:18	Will Google say "Anthropic" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0x116473…
04-26 07:00:12	Will Google say "Anthropic" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x8c911a…
04-25 19:15:06	Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xbeb775…
04-25 19:07:12	Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x6f8697…
04-25 19:05:56	Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x38542d…
04-25 19:05:32	Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xcaaa0f…
04-25 19:03:46	Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe9628a…
04-25 19:03:32	Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd16ebf…
04-25 19:00:14	Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xa71dda…
04-25 18:59:24	Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x67d540…
04-25 18:58:30	Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x433565…
04-25 18:57:12	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x782d47…
04-25 18:56:34	Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x692f00…
04-25 18:48:50	Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x893f5a…
04-25 18:46:40	Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	8	84¢	$6	0x54ee01…
04-25 18:45:14	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x5e7178…