Palatable-Hype — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$155

Unrealized P&L

-$128

Hit rate

82.9%

Resolved

Trades

210

lifetime

Volume

$4.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$49

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 07-16 09:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

92% 66% +$124

Tech

6% 8% -$238

Sports

1% 0% -$42

Politics

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	+942	$164	4¢	$38	-$126	05-22 16:43
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	+10	$8	98¢	$10	+$2	06-04 19:01
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+10	$6	10¢	$1	-$4	07-16 08:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
as quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 24 2026 0pt28	6	$1.1K	626	626	+0	Yes	+$149	02-24 13:03
Will Applovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings?	7	$304	158	158	+0	Yes	+$13	05-06 21:59
Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$302	155	155	+0	Yes	+$8	05-21 14:25
Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?	7	$288	164	164	+0	Yes	+$38	05-06 12:17
Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?	10	$248	143	143	+0	Yes	+$38	05-06 12:17
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	10	$164	942	0	+942	open	—	05-22 16:43
Will Hyatt Hotels (H) beat quarterly earnings?	6	$159	96	95	+2	Yes	+$32	04-30 11:51
Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?	5	$154	87	86	+1	Yes	+$19	04-30 11:54
Will Frontline (FRO) beat quarterly earnings?	8	$153	143	106	+37	No	-$51	05-22 23:04
Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings?	9	$151	172	0	+172	Yes	+$20	05-22 16:26
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$125	66	66	+0	Yes	+$6	05-21 20:36
Will Amer Sports (AS) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$106	110	0	+110	Yes	+$4	05-07 10:36
Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?	5	$86	48	56	-9	Yes	+$18	05-07 20:48
Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?	9	$56	327	0	+327	No	-$56	06-05 17:54
Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$52	67	0	+67	Yes	+$15	06-01 08:26
will gold gc hit high 6400 by end of february 581 221 834 595 555	1	$50	251	0	+251	No	-$50	01-29 17:19
Will Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$50	155	0	+155	No	-$50	05-07 10:45
Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	18	$49	450	0	+450	No	-$49	06-05 18:00
Will Google say "Anthropic" during earnings call?	4	$46	44	44	+0	No	-$32	04-29 21:30
Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	6	$42	92	0	+92	No	-$42	04-30 13:03
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$42	100	0	+100	No	-$42	07-16 09:04
Will DoorDash (DASH) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$40	22	22	+0	Yes	+$4	05-06 21:59
Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$32	20	20	+0	Yes	+$8	05-26 11:38
Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$30	17	17	+0	Yes	+$4	05-07 12:35
Will Cloudflare (NET) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$1	05-07 20:36
Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$23	35	0	+35	No	-$23	04-30 12:03
Will Expedia (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	04-30 12:53
Will SpaceX raise between $110B and $120B in its IPO?	5	$20	492	0	+492	No	-$20	06-04 21:29
Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$20	11	11	+0	Yes	+$3	05-04 21:30
Will SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?	11	$19	365	0	+365	No	-$19	06-04 22:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 09:04:50	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x2eb422…
07-16 08:34:46	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xd7f0e2…
07-16 08:34:02	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x0722fb…
06-28 08:35:23	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 30 2026 0pt12	No	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x1f9cd7…
06-12 07:52:52	nke quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 30 2026 0pt12	No	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x62f5f5…
06-05 18:00:46	Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xdcb605…
06-05 17:56:43	Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	88	4¢	$3	0xf31887…
06-05 17:56:12	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xd53be6…
06-05 17:55:09	Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0xbe124f…
06-05 17:54:18	Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x8bee63…
06-05 17:52:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x422388…
06-05 03:09:21	Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xa5b1e9…
06-05 03:05:21	Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x10d975…
06-05 03:05:18	Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x975533…
06-05 03:05:16	Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xe13232…
06-05 02:59:39	Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xb4c59b…
06-05 02:59:39	Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x57321a…
06-04 22:44:54	Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xeb3338…
06-04 22:44:54	Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	23	16¢	$4	0xe5e1fc…
06-04 22:44:54	Will SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	56	3¢	$2	0xb78e9f…
06-04 22:44:54	Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xa14a71…
06-04 22:44:54	Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x67ba27…
06-04 22:44:54	Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x3357b0…
06-04 22:44:54	Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	34	2¢	$1	0x13429b…
06-04 21:52:43	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$8	0x348c60…
06-04 21:52:18	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	Yes	BUY	150	6¢	$9	0x17211d…
06-04 21:52:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x2fc00a…
06-04 21:44:22	lulu quarterly earnings gaap eps 06 04 2026 1pt68	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb33e0a…
06-04 21:34:09	Will SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x3c6aec…
06-04 21:29:24	Will SpaceX raise between $110B and $120B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	150	5¢	$7	0xa0c1f0…
06-04 20:59:03	Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x0e80aa…
06-04 20:58:57	Will SpaceX raise between $110B and $120B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xf5301c…
06-04 20:50:18	Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	27	16¢	$4	0x617076…
06-04 20:50:10	Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	39	20¢	$8	0xe53012…
06-04 20:45:18	Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	61	18¢	$11	0x6f258d…
06-04 20:44:40	Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x454cb0…
06-04 20:41:25	Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x533045…
06-04 20:40:36	Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xa94df6…
06-04 20:39:43	Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xd500b0…
06-04 20:39:04	Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$1	0x77cd19…
06-04 20:21:10	Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xba4b7f…
06-04 19:01:06	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x8ada00…
06-04 18:57:16	Will SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x77b8ca…
06-04 18:57:03	Will SpaceX raise between $110B and $120B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x03c8eb…
06-04 18:55:57	Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6e3ebd…
06-04 18:55:16	Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	47	20¢	$9	0xf957e1…
06-04 18:55:16	Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xee2076…
06-04 18:55:16	Will SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xde4878…
06-04 18:55:16	Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xd4ae54…
06-04 18:55:16	Will SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0xa2eb02…
06-04 18:55:16	Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x5545c4…
06-04 18:55:16	Will SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x51f545…
06-04 18:54:55	Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	75	5¢	$4	0xe1d444…
06-04 18:54:55	Will SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0xd64f40…
06-04 18:54:55	Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xcc7779…
06-04 18:54:55	Will SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x9e9b7f…
06-04 18:54:55	Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x56d6dd…
06-04 18:54:55	Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x3b4a2a…
06-04 18:54:55	Will SpaceX raise between $90B and $100B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x183c42…
06-04 18:54:16	Will SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xb2af2f…
06-04 18:54:15	Will SpaceX raise at least $120B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x95cda5…
06-04 18:53:45	Will SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$1	0x9ccf89…
06-04 18:52:43	Will SpaceX raise between $110B and $120B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x062514…
06-04 18:50:36	Will SpaceX raise between $110B and $120B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x51be28…
06-04 18:49:28	Will SpaceX raise between $100B and $110B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xe80155…
06-04 18:49:16	Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xad8075…
06-04 18:49:06	Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xfabcdc…
06-04 18:48:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x1e07e8…
06-04 18:48:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x077f3a…
06-04 18:47:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x4a3995…
06-04 18:38:42	aso quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt92	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2c1594…
06-04 00:12:43	cpb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 08 2026 0pt48	No	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0x601068…
06-01 08:26:21	Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x483908…
06-01 00:01:18	Will lululemon athletica (LULU) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xcd5f15…
05-26 11:38:21	Will AutoZone (AZO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x19d783…
05-22 23:04:54	Will Frontline (FRO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x3cbd7c…
05-22 23:04:05	Will Frontline (FRO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x8fd33a…
05-22 23:03:19	Will Frontline (FRO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	106	31¢	$32	0x137725…
05-22 16:43:48	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	243	17¢	$41	0x4d117d…
05-22 16:26:11	Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0xcfda3b…
05-22 13:06:10	Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x25d158…
05-22 09:24:00	Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x425a1c…
05-21 20:36:38	Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xe2cf11…
05-21 18:21:19	Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0a9ea6…
05-21 18:00:51	Will Frontline (FRO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x46ac5f…
05-21 17:51:22	Will Frontline (FRO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x3a899e…
05-21 17:50:40	Will Frontline (FRO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x0a1ce9…
05-21 17:49:48	Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xb50add…
05-21 17:49:20	Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	46	90¢	$41	0x309683…
05-21 17:40:24	Will Frontline (FRO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0xa8561c…
05-21 17:34:17	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	21¢	$14	0x1904c7…
05-21 17:27:32	Will Frontline (FRO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x591bbc…
05-21 17:27:08	Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf83a3a…
05-21 17:26:03	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x1fa6ed…
05-21 16:58:24	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x6268df…
05-21 16:00:29	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x8774ea…
05-21 15:51:51	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0x28c100…
05-21 14:26:13	Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	71	88¢	$62	0x01bcd9…
05-21 14:25:43	Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0x362280…
05-21 07:45:28	Will Five Below (FIVE) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x99e0bc…