Academic-Topic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

211

Trades

1,593

lifetime

Volume

$5.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 06-03 14:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 49% +$76

Other

8% 39% $-49

Sports

2% 60% $-12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 587 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	7	$83	83,361	0	+83,361	Down	$-83	05-11 13:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	6	$76	91	90	+1	open	—	05-11 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	19	$76	59	59	+0	open	—	05-14 18:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	12	$69	61	42	+19	open	—	05-14 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	15	$62	40	40	+0	open	—	05-16 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	7	$62	33	33	+0	open	—	05-16 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	9	$61	59	53	+6	open	—	05-14 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	8	$57	61	50	+10	open	—	05-14 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$49	36	36	+0	Up	+$7	05-11 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$40	45	0	+45	Down	+$4	05-11 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	7	$40	59	0	+59	open	—	05-14 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	13	$39	55	18	+37	open	—	05-14 17:52
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	9	$37	25	25	+0	open	—	05-16 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	3	$34	149	65	+83	Down	$-4	05-11 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	10	$33	39	13	+26	open	—	05-14 15:03
Will Anheuser-Busch (BUD) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$33	35	0	+35	Yes	+$2	05-04 21:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	8	$33	127	0	+127	Up	$-33	05-11 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	9	$33	55	0	+55	open	—	05-14 10:16
76ers vs. Knicks	2	$33	75	0	+75	Knicks	$-6	05-04 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	5	$32	99	0	+99	open	—	05-14 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	6	$32	130	0	+130	open	—	05-14 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	11	$32	81	11	+71	open	—	05-16 07:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	10	$31	63	8	+55	open	—	05-14 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	7	$30	58	0	+58	open	—	05-14 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	8	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	05-14 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	11	$30	66	0	+66	open	—	05-14 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	14	$30	74	0	+74	open	—	05-14 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$30	68	0	+68	Up	+$38	05-11 15:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	8	$30	53	0	+53	open	—	05-14 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	13	$29	78	0	+78	open	—	05-14 11:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 14:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0e0f33…
05-22 08:29:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	SELL	127	3¢	$4	0xf434bb…
05-17 07:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0b37dc…
05-17 07:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x957afa…
05-17 07:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x31b451…
05-17 07:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x543434…
05-17 07:44:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xef1471…
05-17 07:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x88dbff…
05-17 07:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd91980…
05-17 07:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x96a2a0…
05-17 07:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x155bf2…
05-17 07:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x040b54…
05-17 07:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x2d0927…
05-17 07:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xbbe5a8…
05-17 07:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x55b65d…
05-17 07:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc1b730…
05-17 07:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xb72adb…
05-17 07:19:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x807444…
05-17 07:18:23	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2fdab2…
05-17 07:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x229621…
05-17 07:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x40505d…
05-17 07:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xa7d287…
05-17 07:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0x124017…
05-17 07:17:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xf5933f…
05-17 07:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3d4bf9…
05-17 07:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x61aad2…
05-17 07:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xbd86b9…
05-17 07:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd254c8…
05-17 07:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x99ec43…
05-17 07:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0x396255…
05-17 07:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7f2cc8…
05-17 07:10:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x7bed0c…
05-17 07:09:56	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xd5b53d…
05-17 07:08:33	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xab7bb2…
05-17 07:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8f944d…
05-17 07:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xee38b0…
05-17 07:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe3f7a5…
05-17 07:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x728b4a…
05-17 06:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa1d24f…
05-17 06:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x12823c…
05-17 06:44:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1900cc…
05-17 06:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0x14a4ed…
05-17 06:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0x688c7d…
05-17 06:40:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf5a3f9…
05-17 06:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xad6e53…
05-17 06:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x71efdd…
05-17 06:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0x15b74d…
05-17 06:29:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe553de…
05-17 06:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$2	0xfb35a7…
05-17 06:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x09b0b9…
05-17 06:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x54fd5e…
05-17 06:20:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7af1a5…
05-17 06:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc4392b…
05-17 06:19:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x37a54e…
05-17 06:18:41	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x373381…
05-17 06:18:41	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0be5c9…
05-17 06:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x88e456…
05-17 06:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbdb9dd…
05-17 06:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x858ee1…
05-17 06:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x81fcdd…
05-17 06:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x28c1dd…
05-17 06:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x13335e…
05-17 06:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2c74e6…
05-17 06:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x44d8a3…
05-17 06:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x5f5e3a…
05-17 06:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb28386…
05-17 06:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x17df78…
05-17 06:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xcf9bb2…
05-17 06:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x16ac86…
05-17 06:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x24dbc9…
05-17 06:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xab30e7…
05-17 06:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x778293…
05-17 06:04:55	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xe2bd2a…
05-17 06:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0f4daa…
05-17 06:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x705eab…
05-17 06:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd1b100…
05-17 06:04:39	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x6ad229…
05-17 06:04:37	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x7b339c…
05-17 05:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3c80c0…
05-17 05:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x81b3bc…
05-17 05:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa096d3…
05-17 05:55:38	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$2	0xc30828…
05-17 05:55:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x489f75…
05-17 05:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8f4510…
05-17 04:59:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf96c39…
05-17 04:59:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x18b610…
05-17 04:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xdea0e8…
05-17 04:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfb8c75…
05-17 04:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x8fdac3…
05-17 04:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x9a8f3d…
05-17 04:30:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc24a07…
05-17 04:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x9721b5…
05-17 04:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xc771aa…
05-17 04:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x20f3ff…
05-17 04:14:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xaa017c…
05-17 04:14:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x037b2a…
05-17 04:14:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x3bc7d4…
05-17 04:14:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x030991…
05-17 04:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xa4329d…
05-17 03:59:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xf866e3…