Frightened-Fall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.2%

Resolved

Trades

247

lifetime

Volume

$284

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-10 01:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	4	$15	16	14	+2	Down	+$11	05-10 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	3	$8	12	6	+6	Up	+$4	05-10 00:12
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	4	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	5	$7	7	5	+2	Up	+$1	05-10 01:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	6	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 01:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	4	$7	6	5	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 00:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$5	5	4	+1	Up	+$1	05-10 00:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	5	$5	4	2	+1	Down	$-1	05-10 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 00:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$5	6	3	+3	Up	+$3	05-09 23:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$5	8	3	+5	Up	+$5	05-10 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	4	$5	105	2	+103	Down	+$1	05-10 00:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 01:14
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	3	$4	11	2	+8	Down	+$0	05-10 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	4	$4	5	1	+3	Up	$-1	05-09 23:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	Down	$-0	05-10 00:58
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$3	4	2	+3	Up	$-1	05-09 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	Up	+$0	05-10 00:09
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	3	$3	3	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-09 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	Up	$-1	05-10 00:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	Down	+$0	05-10 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	3	$3	9	1	+8	Down	$-1	05-10 00:51
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	3	$3	14	1	+13	Down	$-1	05-10 00:58
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$3	2	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-09 23:44
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$3	2	1	+1	Down	+$0	05-10 00:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$3	10	1	+9	Up	$-1	05-10 00:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 01:16:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xebdee5…
05-10 01:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x36dc34…
05-10 01:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x58bfc7…
05-10 01:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x0eff81…
05-10 01:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xd46abc…
05-10 01:13:39	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0ea912…
05-10 01:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x046416…
05-10 01:11:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd115c2…
05-10 01:11:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x9ea4e4…
05-10 01:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4b7521…
05-10 01:10:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa24471…
05-10 01:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xb171f4…
05-10 01:07:51	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x8ea8e5…
05-10 01:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x2f04d1…
05-10 01:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6df32e…
05-10 01:07:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x63db7a…
05-10 01:06:53	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x81c3bb…
05-10 01:06:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x5db9b8…
05-10 01:06:25	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0xd33237…
05-10 01:06:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x2722ed…
05-10 01:05:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc8ea28…
05-10 01:05:38	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x46b8df…
05-10 01:04:02	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x615f08…
05-10 01:03:55	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa4d615…
05-10 01:03:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x64360c…
05-10 01:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0xd77a65…
05-10 01:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb4cd1e…
05-10 01:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4555b9…
05-10 01:01:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa5470c…
05-10 01:01:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3302e8…
05-10 01:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x42485c…
05-10 01:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6fb6c8…
05-10 00:59:32	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc4e9c8…
05-10 00:58:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xbb1369…
05-10 00:58:19	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0d4a90…
05-10 00:56:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x35de58…
05-10 00:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0cfbe6…
05-10 00:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x2ec4ca…
05-10 00:56:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2f2357…
05-10 00:55:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xce8d3d…
05-10 00:55:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1e4e1d…
05-10 00:54:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0ee9b6…
05-10 00:54:47	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa80c40…
05-10 00:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x628b7a…
05-10 00:53:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbb0273…
05-10 00:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x700e91…
05-10 00:52:53	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xcc7d1e…
05-10 00:52:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x559c20…
05-10 00:52:03	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfa5f9d…
05-10 00:51:42	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x796a17…
05-10 00:51:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd847b7…
05-10 00:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x6d020b…
05-10 00:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x74f4ec…
05-10 00:50:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x56ff8f…
05-10 00:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x47c7a6…
05-10 00:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x698e56…
05-10 00:49:15	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xac3ae9…
05-10 00:48:38	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xeb4588…
05-10 00:48:20	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3e06a3…
05-10 00:48:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd5b549…
05-10 00:47:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa52e8e…
05-10 00:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x289a69…
05-10 00:47:16	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x625005…
05-10 00:46:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb66645…
05-10 00:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3b0990…
05-10 00:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xfb71c2…
05-10 00:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x153a1e…
05-10 00:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe1b04a…
05-10 00:45:38	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc4026a…
05-10 00:44:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc9d105…
05-10 00:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x02b532…
05-10 00:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9880e4…
05-10 00:43:21	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7d08d4…
05-10 00:43:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x92e49c…
05-10 00:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8edb7c…
05-10 00:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xd01ef2…
05-10 00:41:06	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xcbffc7…
05-10 00:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc3ed40…
05-10 00:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x29905e…
05-10 00:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa6c06d…
05-10 00:37:08	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x81b5d0…
05-10 00:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x945386…
05-10 00:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x550c77…
05-10 00:35:50	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb09158…
05-10 00:35:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x809210…
05-10 00:34:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xba6398…
05-10 00:34:01	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x314d31…
05-10 00:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x91b1cf…
05-10 00:33:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd18991…
05-10 00:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xf9cd68…
05-10 00:33:02	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0xa43e7f…
05-10 00:32:21	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x40c84a…
05-10 00:32:16	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe0045e…
05-10 00:31:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x497415…
05-10 00:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1be736…
05-10 00:29:30	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x66111a…
05-10 00:27:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x65b1ad…
05-10 00:27:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8975bb…
05-10 00:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd805dd…
05-10 00:27:06	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd0d837…