Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET
open
Total volume
$1,725
Trades
66
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$6,616
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 01:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+16.8¢
(top1%: 26% YES on $431
vs crowd: 9% YES on $1.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $72 | $80 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $41 | $988 | $947 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 27 | $30 | $313 | $283 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $113 | $318 | $205 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | — | $903 | $903 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $4 | $31 | $27 |
| Median | 6 | $10 | $2 | +$8 |
| Below median | 5 | $2 | $7 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $8 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $12 | $6 | +$6 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $103 | $103 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Complex-Horizon 0xc779…cc45 | Down | +750 | $706 | $706 | 3 | 05-10 00:55 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +224 | $72 | $72 | 4 | 05-10 00:54 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +205 | $77 | $77 | 5 | 05-10 00:46 |
| Petty-Girlfriend 0xb6c4…6678 | Down | +184 | $184 | $184 | 1 | 05-10 00:59 |
| Poor-Footnote 0x482e…4894 | Down | +165 | $135 | $135 | 1 | 05-10 00:50 |
| Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Up | +92 | $41 | $41 | 3 | 05-10 00:54 |
| Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Down | +85 | $47 | $47 | 3 | 05-10 00:49 |
| Academic-Ship 0x3621…ae2f | Down | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-10 00:54 |
| Wrong-Attendance 0xe2d9…101a | Up | +17 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 00:12 |
| Productive-Garage 0x21ad…dffe | Down | +15 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 05-10 00:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x8176…709a | Down | +13 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-10 00:55 |
| Miserable-Geranium 0x929a…5f88 | Down | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-10 00:54 |
| Thunderous-Lake 0xf3e9…4c3c | Down | +11 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 00:15 |
| Uncomfortable-Goddess 0xa144…963b | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 23:55 |
| Thunderous-Lake 0xf3e9…4c3c | Up | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 00:08 |
| Deserted-Modem 0x802c…e4b0 | Down | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 00:55 |
| Sure-Footed-Manacle 0xdf55…1d21 | Up | +8 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-10 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Up | +7 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-10 00:14 |
| Euphoric-Credibility 0xa6b7…c718 | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 00:55 |
| Palatable-Cut 0x35e7…c415 | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 00:55 |
| Scary-Rubbish-Contour 0xdb0f…6906 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 00:00 |
| Sweet-Convection 0xc0ff…136b | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 23:55 |
| Perfumed-Sisterinlaw 0x5d14…b900 | Up | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 00:36 |
| Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Down | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 00:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 00:50 |
| Suburban-Classic 0x425c…a16e | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 00:36 |
| Enormous-Lily 0x981b…a86c | Down | +1 | $1 | $3 | 3 | 05-10 00:54 |
| Any-Polenta 0x7c59…0c2c | Down | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 01:36:24 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Down | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xfe35d1… |
| 05-10 01:08:00 | Negligible-Detector 0x2214…cf41 | Down | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xebc1bf… |
| 05-10 01:04:35 | Buzzing-Consulting 0x7d30…e133 | Down | SELL | 102 | 100¢ | $102 | 0xc62c63… |
| 05-10 01:02:57 | Harmless-Recipient 0xd3e8…0fe3 | Down | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0xe70714… |
| 05-10 01:00:34 | (anonymous) 0x2a28…6301 | Down | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x550323… |
| 05-10 01:00:06 | Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c | Down | SELL | 43 | 100¢ | $43 | 0x796d86… |
| 05-10 01:00:00 | Any-Polenta 0x7c59…0c2c | Down | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x89f346… |
| 05-10 00:59:53 | Petty-Girlfriend 0xb6c4…6678 | Down | BUY | 184 | 100¢ | $184 | 0x807e74… |
| 05-10 00:59:48 | Cruel-Collaboration 0x1ccb…a91e | Up | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd96a2a… |
| 05-10 00:55:54 | Frightened-Fall 0xbf93…3752 | Down | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xce8d3d… |
| 05-10 00:55:41 | Buzzing-Consulting 0x7d30…e133 | Down | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0x044985… |
| 05-10 00:55:24 | (anonymous) 0x8176…709a | Down | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0xe8f712… |
| 05-10 00:55:20 | Complex-Horizon 0xc779…cc45 | Down | BUY | 287 | 95¢ | $273 | 0xacf185… |
| 05-10 00:55:17 | Complex-Horizon 0xc779…cc45 | Down | BUY | 377 | 94¢ | $355 | 0x1cef9f… |
| 05-10 00:55:17 | Deserted-Modem 0x802c…e4b0 | Down | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x67d7da… |
| 05-10 00:55:15 | Frightened-Fall 0xbf93…3752 | Down | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x1e4e1d… |
| 05-10 00:55:12 | Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c | Down | BUY | 22 | 92¢ | $20 | 0x436164… |
| 05-10 00:55:12 | Complex-Horizon 0xc779…cc45 | Down | BUY | 85 | 92¢ | $79 | 0x8a342e… |
| 05-10 00:55:10 | Euphoric-Credibility 0xa6b7…c718 | Down | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xa9df0a… |
| 05-10 00:55:03 | Palatable-Cut 0x35e7…c415 | Down | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x5708a6… |
| 05-10 00:54:59 | Academic-Ship 0x3621…ae2f | Down | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x5c46dc… |
| 05-10 00:54:58 | Frightened-Fall 0xbf93…3752 | Down | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x0ee9b6… |
| 05-10 00:54:42 | Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c | Down | BUY | 21 | 94¢ | $20 | 0xf9b04d… |
| 05-10 00:54:35 | Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c | Down | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x64119e… |
| 05-10 00:54:21 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x76b40f… |
| 05-10 00:54:17 | Productive-Garage 0x21ad…dffe | Down | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x945a1e… |
| 05-10 00:54:16 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Up | BUY | 29 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xdfb183… |
| 05-10 00:54:05 | Miserable-Geranium 0x929a…5f88 | Down | BUY | 13 | 95¢ | $12 | 0x9daf93… |
| 05-10 00:54:03 | Productive-Garage 0x21ad…dffe | Down | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7e1514… |
| 05-10 00:54:00 | Enormous-Lily 0x981b…a86c | Down | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xc9a44f… |
| 05-10 00:53:48 | Enormous-Lily 0x981b…a86c | Down | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xc1c24d… |
| 05-10 00:52:59 | Enormous-Lily 0x981b…a86c | Down | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xefa62c… |
| 05-10 00:50:46 | (anonymous) 0xd3e8…0fe3 | Down | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xaf389f… |
| 05-10 00:50:21 | Unselfish-Misreading 0x8173…68d3 | Down | SELL | 3 | 82¢ | $3 | 0x5af479… |
| 05-10 00:50:21 | Poor-Footnote 0x482e…4894 | Down | BUY | 165 | 82¢ | $135 | 0x49660b… |
| 05-10 00:50:04 | (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Down | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0xdb9190… |
| 05-10 00:49:58 | (anonymous) 0x8176…709a | Down | BUY | 6 | 61¢ | $4 | 0xac4f1d… |
| 05-10 00:49:55 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 174 | 36¢ | $63 | 0x3a6def… |
| 05-10 00:49:53 | Productive-Garage 0x21ad…dffe | Down | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x288dc8… |
| 05-10 00:49:53 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 6 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x20abab… |
| 05-10 00:49:51 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 27 | 23¢ | $6 | 0x9a552e… |
| 05-10 00:49:51 | Weighty-Millstone 0x09b7…eca8 | Up | SELL | 18 | 25¢ | $4 | 0x709701… |
| 05-10 00:49:44 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Down | BUY | 6 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x211160… |
| 05-10 00:46:16 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0xc257a0… |
| 05-10 00:46:14 | Well-Worn-Back 0xbf68…ae5c | Down | SELL | 9 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xffccbb… |
| 05-10 00:46:04 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Down | BUY | 64 | 50¢ | $32 | 0xbd5cbf… |
| 05-10 00:36:05 | Perfumed-Sisterinlaw 0x5d14…b900 | Up | BUY | 3 | 72¢ | $2 | 0xcd36e4… |
| 05-10 00:36:05 | Suburban-Classic 0x425c…a16e | Up | BUY | 1 | 72¢ | $1 | 0x14ec1f… |
| 05-10 00:36:02 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 50 | 26¢ | $13 | 0x540efd… |
| 05-10 00:26:24 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Down | BUY | 7 | 41¢ | $3 | 0x1e36e1… |
| 05-10 00:26:10 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 62 | 39¢ | $24 | 0xaa7cd2… |
| 05-10 00:21:27 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Up | BUY | 8 | 75¢ | $6 | 0x73f988… |
| 05-10 00:21:11 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x900c50… |
| 05-10 00:15:30 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Up | BUY | 55 | 61¢ | $34 | 0xa9ab39… |
| 05-10 00:15:25 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 78 | 42¢ | $33 | 0x354177… |
| 05-10 00:15:14 | Thunderous-Lake 0xf3e9…4c3c | Down | BUY | 11 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x9e784f… |
| 05-10 00:14:06 | Sure-Footed-Manacle 0xdf55…1d21 | Up | BUY | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0xce393f… |
| 05-10 00:14:04 | (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Up | BUY | 3 | 64¢ | $2 | 0x781f37… |
| 05-10 00:12:58 | Wrong-Attendance 0xe2d9…101a | Up | BUY | 17 | 57¢ | $10 | 0x04db6b… |
| 05-10 00:12:05 | Sure-Footed-Manacle 0xdf55…1d21 | Up | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0xa3ecaf… |
| 05-10 00:12:03 | (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Up | BUY | 4 | 55¢ | $2 | 0x58ea6a… |
| 05-10 00:08:35 | Exotic-Utility 0xa806…2c7c | Down | BUY | 15 | 70¢ | $10 | 0x883a07… |
| 05-10 00:08:26 | Thunderous-Lake 0xf3e9…4c3c | Up | BUY | 8 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x7631f2… |
| 05-10 00:00:15 | Scary-Rubbish-Contour 0xdb0f…6906 | Down | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x6a7db8… |
| 05-09 23:55:15 | Sweet-Convection 0xc0ff…136b | Down | BUY | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x2a844e… |
| 05-09 23:55:14 | Uncomfortable-Goddess 0xa144…963b | Up | BUY | 10 | 53¢ | $5 | 0xedff4b… |