Thunderous-Lake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$290

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

190

Trades

2,072

lifetime

Volume

$15.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 05-25 22:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 50% $-162

Other

32% 50% $-128

Sports

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 515 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol dk drx 2026 02 13	5	$1.2K	1,600	400	+1,200	open	—	02-13 13:05
dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13	5	$270	440	400	+40	open	—	02-13 15:41
lol edg omg 2026 02 11	3	$244	600	0	+600	open	—	02-10 10:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2AM ET	46	$213	386	0	+386	Down	$-195	05-11 06:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3AM ET	31	$208	336	0	+336	Up	+$79	05-09 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	23	$196	484	8	+476	Up	$-15	05-08 15:47
Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs regain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs	35	$195	215	84	+131	open	—	05-01 04:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 2PM ET	28	$190	325	0	+325	Up	+$119	05-09 18:56
BNB Up or Down on May 9?	53	$179	387	0	+387	Up	+$5	05-09 15:23
BNB Up or Down on May 8?	44	$172	309	14	+295	Up	+$6	05-08 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	42	$162	303	0	+303	Up	$-42	05-09 10:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	21	$157	238	0	+238	Up	+$39	05-10 21:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	10	$152	274	0	+274	open	—	05-25 22:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2AM ET	33	$151	282	0	+282	Down	$-114	05-11 06:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8PM ET	30	$150	303	0	+303	Down	$-117	05-10 00:49
nba atl cha 2026 02 11	5	$146	345	0	+345	open	—	02-11 22:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11AM ET	19	$142	223	0	+223	Up	$-122	05-09 15:43
nba phi por 2026 02 09	3	$140	300	0	+300	open	—	02-10 02:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET	17	$139	212	0	+212	Up	+$46	05-09 16:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	31	$133	273	0	+273	Up	$-48	05-10 16:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6AM ET	27	$133	279	0	+279	Down	$-91	05-11 10:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET	17	$126	227	0	+227	Up	+$8	05-10 12:38
epl eve bou 2026 02 10 draw	1	$124	200	0	+200	open	—	02-10 20:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1PM ET	8	$121	152	0	+152	Up	+$31	05-08 17:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	22	$120	232	0	+232	Up	+$12	05-09 12:43
epl che lee 2026 02 10 draw	1	$115	200	0	+200	open	—	02-10 21:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11AM ET	31	$112	264	0	+264	Up	+$21	05-10 15:38
epl ast bri 2026 02 11 ast	1	$108	200	0	+200	open	—	02-11 19:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6PM ET	10	$105	148	0	+148	Down	$-6	05-08 22:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9PM ET	24	$100	208	0	+208	Down	+$45	05-10 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 22:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xda9eef…
05-25 22:39:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	14	81¢	$11	0x4ca79e…
05-25 22:29:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x219593…
05-25 22:28:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0xfc0179…
05-25 22:28:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	32	48¢	$15	0x47b08d…
05-25 22:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0xe33a4c…
05-25 22:27:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xa35194…
05-25 22:22:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xaf2a02…
05-25 22:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8a220c…
05-25 22:18:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0xcf7b5e…
05-25 22:15:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x0dbfe3…
05-25 22:06:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xbca3b1…
05-25 22:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x910874…
05-25 22:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x9b5e57…
05-25 22:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4464ee…
05-25 22:05:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	27	53¢	$14	0xd727e4…
05-25 22:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0x666895…
05-25 22:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3dffb2…
05-25 21:26:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x2ec372…
05-25 21:22:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0x115262…
05-25 21:20:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0xf80151…
05-25 20:40:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x8cb4ad…
05-25 20:40:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x735aab…
05-25 20:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	16	39¢	$6	0x2cb8b3…
05-25 20:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x18bf8e…
05-25 20:22:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xb786d0…
05-25 20:18:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	22	48¢	$11	0xce4d5c…
05-25 20:16:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xbc072d…
05-25 19:25:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x8de1e9…
05-25 19:18:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x344864…
05-25 19:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	28	66¢	$18	0xc96f8d…
05-25 19:07:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x4b6173…
05-22 00:11:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0x520744…
05-22 00:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0xd03c1e…
05-22 00:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0xeacb84…
05-22 00:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	16	29¢	$5	0x590721…
05-22 00:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0x21d59e…
05-22 00:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x0ae04b…
05-21 23:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0xbda1dc…
05-21 23:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0x17cee5…
05-21 23:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x9abe1c…
05-21 23:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0xa6a693…
05-21 23:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0xda1ab5…
05-21 23:25:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x7d85e5…
05-21 23:19:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	23	54¢	$12	0x9070c4…
05-21 22:14:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xc198eb…
05-21 18:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xf69f6f…
05-21 18:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x00e5e8…
05-21 18:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xdda565…
05-21 18:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x85b07d…
05-21 12:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	17	40¢	$7	0xfd28c2…
05-21 12:33:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x05652f…
05-21 12:07:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0x1f8a65…
05-21 10:39:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x92cbb3…
05-21 10:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x323783…
05-21 10:10:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x776a74…
05-21 09:26:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0xc2504c…
05-21 09:22:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x1e5363…
05-20 20:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x5930f2…
05-20 20:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x01678f…
05-20 20:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x6d4107…
05-20 19:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	38	93¢	$35	0xa678d8…
05-20 19:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x7a3025…
05-20 04:32:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0x40252b…
05-20 04:13:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0xd90fee…
05-20 00:24:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x21c4aa…
05-20 00:06:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xf0ac24…
05-19 23:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x4238a0…
05-19 18:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0xf47253…
05-19 18:41:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x3a3882…
05-19 18:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0xffe5b9…
05-19 18:39:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x95d0f0…
05-19 18:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	24	55¢	$13	0x9188c1…
05-19 18:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0x304323…
05-19 18:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	27	53¢	$14	0xa54f4d…
05-19 18:23:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x2c04df…
05-17 05:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x500545…
05-17 04:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Up	BUY	59	40¢	$24	0xcb92d2…
05-17 02:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Up	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0xafe25c…
05-17 02:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Up	BUY	31	36¢	$11	0xc8852a…
05-16 21:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0x752550…
05-16 21:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0xd99213…
05-16 21:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x07e503…
05-16 21:30:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xf1b5b6…
05-16 21:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x95afdc…
05-16 21:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0xc5a571…
05-16 19:31:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0xf50271…
05-16 18:32:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0x4ea483…
05-16 11:40:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x4a121e…
05-16 11:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	28	60¢	$17	0x6f2de1…
05-16 10:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xff5709…
05-16 08:15:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	24	57¢	$14	0x4b1785…
05-16 07:50:57	Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?	Up	BUY	36	9¢	$3	0xfb9f4c…
05-16 06:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	Up	BUY	27	17¢	$5	0xf3c273…
05-16 06:17:56	Ethereum Up or Down on May 16?	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf82972…
05-16 06:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	Up	BUY	31	30¢	$9	0xd3481b…
05-16 05:35:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0x3572f9…
05-16 04:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0xf2593d…
05-16 04:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x415130…
05-16 01:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	Up	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xc764a9…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	221	$46.7K	1,755	05-25 22:34
(anonymous) 0xdc66…0533	208	$117.0K	27,218	05-25 22:56
(anonymous) 0x7cd2…3079	208	$92.1K	14,189	05-25 22:52
(anonymous) 0x5808…e67f	208	$21.2K	8,173	05-25 22:50
Vigorous-Cargo 0xd535…9fae	207	$23.2K	8,389	05-25 22:55
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	203	$5.00K	2,050	05-25 22:51
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	200	$63.5K	4,004	05-25 22:47
Costly-Catamaran 0xbb28…aba9	196	$582	262	05-25 22:00