Jaunty-Birdhouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$189

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

70.7%

Resolved

Trades

544

lifetime

Volume

$4.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-03 12:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 55% +$189

Other

6% — —

Politics

5% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes		+24	$20	42¢	$10	$-10	06-05 08:52
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	Yes		+15	$10	42¢	$6	$-4	06-05 08:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	9	$280	346	211	+135	Down	+$15	05-08 03:39
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	1	$160	172	0	+172	open	—	06-07 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	6	$150	228	0	+228	Up	+$78	05-08 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	8	$103	172	0	+172	Down	+$70	05-07 15:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$100	102	0	+102	Up	+$2	05-07 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	4	$95	77	77	+0	Up	+$35	05-07 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	4	$86	118	43	+76	Up	$-74	05-08 04:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	5	$80	126	0	+126	Down	+$46	05-08 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	5	$80	102	0	+102	Up	+$22	05-08 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$75	58	58	+0	Up	+$25	05-07 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	3	$75	173	0	+173	Up	$-75	05-08 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	3	$75	215	0	+215	Down	$-75	05-08 03:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	5	$71	90	24	+66	Down	$-3	05-07 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	3	$70	88	0	+88	Down	+$18	05-08 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$70	119	0	+119	Up	+$49	05-07 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	3	$61	31	31	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 04:25
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	2	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	06-14 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$60	110	0	+110	Down	+$50	05-08 00:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$60	68	0	+68	open	—	05-22 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	3	$60	82	0	+82	Down	+$22	05-07 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$60	103	0	+103	Down	+$43	05-07 08:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$60	79	0	+79	Down	+$19	05-07 13:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$58	33	33	+0	open	—	06-19 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$58	92	57	+35	Up	$-7	05-08 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$55	70	42	+28	Down	+$3	05-08 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	5	$54	62	62	+0	Up	+$14	05-09 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	4	$51	100	80	+20	Up	$-24	05-08 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	5	$51	78	0	+78	Up	+$27	05-08 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$50	76	0	+76	Down	+$26	05-07 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$50	74	0	+74	Up	+$24	05-07 05:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 12:46:20	Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x8a59c5…
06-29 10:50:19	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x1fad8d…
06-22 03:18:44	Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xefa148…
06-20 23:18:20	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x0a969d…
06-20 23:17:50	Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x517a9b…
06-19 18:52:28	Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x97ec0e…
06-19 05:19:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	33	86¢	$28	0x1fbcc9…
06-19 01:36:14	btc updown 5m 1781832900	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xab172c…
06-19 01:34:08	btc updown 5m 1781832600	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x575a4f…
06-16 13:34:43	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x76aa2d…
06-16 03:53:37	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8e5e1d…
06-16 03:51:15	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x961488…
06-16 03:50:13	bitcoin above 66k on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x2002c4…
06-15 16:03:12	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x4d8b09…
06-15 04:10:52	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xb7f25e…
06-14 14:34:09	btc updown 4h 1781438400	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb464a7…
06-14 14:23:01	btc updown 4h 1781438400	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x35765b…
06-14 14:06:46	btc updown 4h 1781438400	Up	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x93daef…
06-14 14:06:34	btc updown 4h 1781438400	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xfa3cbf…
06-14 12:34:24	btc updown 4h 1781438400	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8e3c20…
06-14 12:32:40	btc updown 4h 1781438400	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xac685e…
06-14 12:17:46	btc updown 4h 1781438400	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xb317bf…
06-14 12:10:27	btc updown 4h 1781438400	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x30c862…
06-14 12:01:21	btc updown 4h 1781438400	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc35caf…
06-14 12:00:28	btc updown 4h 1781438400	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfc66a2…
06-14 11:38:30	btc updown 4h 1781424000	Up	SELL	24	94¢	$23	0xfbd13b…
06-14 11:19:57	btc updown 4h 1781424000	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x7e1c0e…
06-14 11:07:03	btc updown 4h 1781424000	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xfd69be…
06-14 11:06:52	btc updown 4h 1781424000	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa0e63b…
06-14 10:33:33	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	SELL	32	95¢	$31	0xd09db9…
06-14 10:20:16	btc updown 4h 1781424000	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x670579…
06-14 10:19:07	btc updown 4h 1781424000	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x815488…
06-14 10:14:49	btc updown 4h 1781424000	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x72f82b…
06-14 10:12:13	btc updown 4h 1781424000	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xd9c792…
06-14 10:05:24	btc updown 4h 1781424000	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x3c8cf4…
06-14 10:04:07	btc updown 4h 1781424000	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbecc2e…
06-14 10:03:27	btc updown 4h 1781424000	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xd95c87…
06-14 09:30:58	btc updown 4h 1781424000	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4ac318…
06-14 02:42:52	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x5a4637…
06-14 01:23:48	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x00ff7b…
06-13 12:31:22	will bitcoin reach 66k june 8 14 2026	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x7db670…
06-13 11:45:33	btc updown 5m 1781351100	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc7b0e7…
06-13 04:06:51	world cup first penalty made or missed 20260605003504799	Made	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x23d105…
06-13 01:29:24	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x7d306a…
06-12 11:52:36	bitcoin up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5dfcc0…
06-12 10:05:46	bitcoin up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x70f642…
06-12 07:38:58	btc updown 5m 1781249700	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x022b0c…
06-12 07:35:27	bitcoin up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6c3b07…
06-12 07:08:39	btc updown 15m 1781247600	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1fbeba…
06-12 07:07:37	btc updown 15m 1781247600	Down	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x4fb482…
06-12 07:06:33	btc updown 15m 1781247600	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0xb9f0e9…
06-12 07:01:25	btc updown 15m 1781247600	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x15e0e1…
06-12 06:48:16	btc updown 15m 1781246700	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x56ce93…
06-12 01:12:30	will ethereum reach 1700 on june 11	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x8faa3f…
06-12 01:01:31	will ethereum reach 1700 on june 11	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x1a5986…
06-12 00:27:10	ethereum above 1700 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x1cdab2…
06-12 00:24:55	will ethereum reach 1700 on june 11	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xbeb8ce…
06-11 17:32:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x82449b…
06-11 16:21:10	bitcoin up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf9bfd8…
06-11 14:37:04	will ethereum reach 1700 on june 11	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa54b35…
06-11 13:41:48	ethereum above 1700 on june 12 2026	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x1ba8ed…
06-11 10:49:55	bitcoin up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1623c9…
06-11 09:11:21	ethereum above 1700 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x2397fe…
06-11 04:27:18	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0x27d88c…
06-11 03:35:43	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x23cf32…
06-10 22:22:55	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xa7c58c…
06-10 20:42:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x71bfa1…
06-10 20:01:30	eth updown 4h 1781121600	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x008240…
06-10 20:00:03	eth updown 4h 1781121600	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xaf18ee…
06-10 16:27:55	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe9535d…
06-10 16:01:43	eth updown 4h 1781107200	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x957868…
06-10 15:59:43	will bitcoin reach 66k june 8 14 2026	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe350b9…
06-10 15:54:10	ethereum above 1700 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x1a9ea6…
06-10 15:53:46	bitcoin above 64k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x3e8396…
06-10 15:48:48	ethereum above 1700 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x9e67ce…
06-10 15:18:03	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	23	90¢	$21	0xaf2012…
06-10 13:37:12	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 8 14 2026	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xf11cca…
06-10 13:37:12	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 8 14 2026	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x9dcc9f…
06-10 11:06:21	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x8e3d3c…
06-10 11:04:48	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xacc5db…
06-10 09:14:15	bitcoin up or down on june 10 2026	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x454041…
06-10 07:35:07	bitcoin up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	8	29¢	$2	0xa351e9…
06-10 06:19:25	eth updown 4h 1781064000	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xf0f9c2…
06-10 04:45:09	ethereum above 1500 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x07b269…
06-10 04:38:00	eth updown 4h 1781064000	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x682b4b…
06-10 04:04:16	eth updown 4h 1781064000	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0xda0d32…
06-10 04:04:16	eth updown 4h 1781064000	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xb4c240…
06-09 12:46:36	eth updown 15m 1781009100	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x330a56…
06-09 12:45:37	eth updown 15m 1781009100	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x97e402…
06-09 12:30:15	eth updown 15m 1781008200	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x4fbb22…
06-09 12:07:04	eth updown 15m 1781007300	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x1d7c8a…
06-09 12:06:22	eth updown 15m 1781007300	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xbad1ce…
06-09 12:00:57	eth updown 15m 1781006400	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x8d7129…
06-09 11:59:04	eth updown 15m 1781006400	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0xab16de…
06-09 11:55:06	eth updown 15m 1781005500	Down	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x17a0fd…
06-09 11:54:00	eth updown 15m 1781005500	Up	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0x218a77…
06-09 11:45:49	eth updown 15m 1781005500	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x79a7a2…
06-09 11:45:16	eth updown 15m 1781005500	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x6910ad…
06-09 11:30:18	eth updown 15m 1781004600	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x6eb165…
06-09 11:30:04	eth updown 15m 1781004600	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x8fb3c6…