Lonely-Darn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.76K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.0%

Resolved

Trades

4,075

lifetime

Volume

$199.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 07-06 17:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Sports

34% 50% +$1,762

Crypto

12% — —

Politics

5% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	584	$29.0K	35,033	30,033	+5,000	open	—	04-06 17:44
will st johns win the 2025 2026 big east mens basketball regular season championship	169	$18.4K	30,285	0	+30,285	open	—	03-07 04:36
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	27	$17.6K	9,243	9,243	+0	open	—	04-12 22:21
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	43	$17.1K	28,165	0	+28,165	open	—	04-11 21:53
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$9.3K	9,810	0	+9,810	open	—	02-11 01:45
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 2	1	$9.0K	9,466	0	+9,466	open	—	02-01 20:07
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	59	$8.2K	16,863	0	+16,863	open	—	04-26 22:39
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	12	$6.9K	4,243	4,243	+0	open	—	02-09 12:14
will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	68	$4.6K	6,319	0	+6,319	open	—	03-10 21:07
will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	266	$3.7K	10,812	8,318	+2,494	open	—	03-23 01:35
will uconn be a number 1 seed in the 2026 ncaa mens basketball march madness tournament	27	$3.4K	4,124	0	+4,124	open	—	03-14 23:56
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	19	$3.4K	3,708	165	+3,544	open	—	04-17 16:34
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	6	$3.0K	7,400	7,400	+0	open	—	04-06 17:50
will kpop demon hunters win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	46	$2.9K	3,117	0	+3,117	open	—	03-14 09:42
cbb stjohn seton 2026 03 06	62	$2.8K	8,795	8,782	+14	open	—	03-07 04:13
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$2.7K	3,500	0	+3,500	Spurs	+$770	05-06 23:44
cbb utahst arz 2026 03 22	1	$2.6K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	03-21 13:32
cbb stlou mich 2026 03 21	1	$2.5K	2,850	0	+2,850	open	—	03-21 13:30
2026 arnold palmer invitational presented by mastercard winner daniel berger win	6	$2.4K	3,013	0	+3,013	open	—	03-08 21:32
bitcoin above 76k on february 5	4	$2.0K	2,359	0	+2,359	open	—	02-04 20:57
Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	16	$2.0K	2,087	1,486	+601	open	—	07-06 17:51
cbb miss ala 2026 03 13	4	$1.5K	1,705	0	+1,705	open	—	03-14 01:35
cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27 spread home 6pt5	1	$1.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	03-26 02:12
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	15	$1.5K	5,333	0	+5,333	open	—	04-27 01:46
bitcoin above 70k on february 11	8	$1.4K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	02-06 02:00
cbb smu miaoh 2026 03 18	2	$1.4K	1,840	0	+1,840	open	—	03-19 01:15
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	498	$1.4K	8,445	0	+8,445	open	—	03-16 06:33
2026 rbc heritage winner matt fitzpatrick win	19	$1.3K	2,824	0	+2,824	open	—	04-19 21:54
bitcoin above 70k on february 10	34	$1.2K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	02-10 14:46
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	12	$1.2K	2,800	0	+2,800	open	—	01-25 23:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 17:51:26	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	720	43¢	$311	0x0a6bcd…
07-06 17:50:46	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	550	46¢	$253	0xfbd3fb…
07-06 01:14:50	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x9618bb…
07-05 20:05:46	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0xaa54c2…
07-05 19:32:40	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	44	68¢	$30	0xf79ed1…
07-05 19:05:19	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	113	71¢	$80	0x67c61d…
07-05 18:45:52	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0x1a28cc…
07-05 17:12:49	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xced1eb…
07-05 16:46:19	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	124	60¢	$74	0x4b6525…
07-05 16:41:50	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	541	60¢	$325	0x74daec…
07-05 16:31:13	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	188	60¢	$113	0xe454a4…
07-05 16:20:11	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	586	60¢	$352	0x7fc15b…
07-05 15:52:41	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	96	60¢	$58	0xf7480a…
07-05 15:48:55	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x034d8e…
07-05 15:48:38	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	413	65¢	$268	0x7a9b4d…
07-05 15:48:28	Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	32	54¢	$17	0x7e7383…
06-14 03:48:51	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	1,000	21¢	$210	0xbcae99…
06-09 01:46:06	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	1,000	46¢	$460	0xbd4988…
06-09 00:42:18	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	1,000	47¢	$470	0x77358b…
06-04 00:58:19	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x2ae38f…
06-04 00:58:18	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	130	57¢	$74	0x75580d…
06-04 00:58:06	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xfacccb…
06-04 00:58:04	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	73	57¢	$42	0xb82512…
06-04 00:57:54	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	255	57¢	$145	0x124981…
05-16 00:58:04	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	1,000	67¢	$670	0x0f4a41…
05-08 00:46:20	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	1,000	17¢	$170	0x105fb3…
05-07 15:39:08	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	750	18¢	$135	0xbff51b…
05-06 23:44:19	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2,000	78¢	$1,560	0xd6d8c9…
05-06 23:34:04	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1,500	78¢	$1,170	0xae0539…
05-04 20:59:24	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	76ers	BUY	500	50¢	$250	0xfde08d…
05-04 01:56:32	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	700	29¢	$203	0x82259f…
04-28 07:27:26	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xafef6f…
04-28 07:27:26	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x924acf…
04-28 07:27:06	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x5a304f…
04-28 07:26:48	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xfe4f05…
04-28 07:26:48	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0xa9e847…
04-28 06:08:38	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x3dde79…
04-28 00:11:54	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	257	3¢	$8	0xf251e6…
04-28 00:11:48	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,199	3¢	$36	0x7560e3…
04-28 00:07:10	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc2405b…
04-27 23:45:56	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	22¢	$6	0xd145e9…
04-27 23:33:44	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xd6e229…
04-27 23:33:36	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xcdad8d…
04-27 23:32:40	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0x8c4af6…
04-27 23:32:24	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0xfa2e73…
04-27 23:32:24	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	22¢	$14	0xca71fa…
04-27 23:32:24	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	22¢	$14	0x4d60b8…
04-27 23:32:14	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0xf042d4…
04-27 23:31:54	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	22¢	$25	0x027055…
04-27 23:31:46	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	283	20¢	$57	0x32866e…
04-27 23:28:34	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x7bcf6f…
04-27 13:48:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	2¢	$36	0x88c145…
04-27 01:46:22	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,133	28¢	$877	0x21117e…
04-27 01:44:54	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0xb7a9b0…
04-27 01:44:54	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	28¢	$5	0x3ffa2c…
04-27 00:57:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	670	8¢	$56	0x34eb14…
04-27 00:55:44	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	8¢	$9	0x85b11f…
04-27 00:54:30	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xe90d50…
04-27 00:54:14	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x2430a8…
04-27 00:45:26	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x46b0f6…
04-27 00:38:16	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0x5e185e…
04-27 00:35:52	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xf112ec…
04-27 00:33:12	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xb5eeb5…
04-27 00:32:22	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x9aa147…
04-27 00:32:16	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0x21c329…
04-27 00:28:58	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x0dd440…
04-27 00:28:40	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xe3f38b…
04-27 00:27:16	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x48b3ae…
04-27 00:26:46	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xb7ddd7…
04-27 00:25:50	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe2a8f8…
04-27 00:20:30	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x6a6946…
04-27 00:20:12	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	8¢	$4	0xefe58d…
04-26 23:25:58	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,235	28¢	$347	0x0b5ed3…
04-26 23:23:32	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x76d7e6…
04-26 23:23:32	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x1f0041…
04-26 23:14:12	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	27	28¢	$8	0xa1854d…
04-26 23:14:12	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	45	28¢	$13	0x85ce40…
04-26 23:14:10	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	410	28¢	$115	0x533655…
04-26 23:14:10	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	58	28¢	$16	0x439f3c…
04-26 23:14:10	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	45	28¢	$13	0x2a83e7…
04-26 23:14:10	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	38	28¢	$11	0x155cf8…
04-26 23:14:10	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x0142f6…
04-26 23:08:20	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	152	28¢	$42	0xfce1f6…
04-26 22:51:54	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	99	27¢	$27	0xbe8ebe…
04-26 22:51:22	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	36	46¢	$16	0x536ab9…
04-26 22:39:44	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	7,017	52¢	$3,649	0x705f1d…
04-26 21:11:04	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x7cc62b…
04-26 21:07:44	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Spurs	BUY	400	23¢	$92	0x0afb81…
04-26 14:39:50	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x958dbc…
04-26 14:39:50	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x56673e…
04-26 14:39:24	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x2844f6…
04-26 14:39:24	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x09cf9d…
04-26 14:39:22	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0xaa7e98…
04-26 08:06:42	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4497c7…
04-26 05:30:58	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xaf9721…
04-26 01:17:00	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x09e3d4…
04-26 00:15:10	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	235	45¢	$106	0x6ca185…
04-25 22:34:34	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x8c25d9…
04-23 23:37:28	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	4,000	52¢	$2,080	0xee0ec9…
04-23 23:33:38	will arvell reese be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	605	68¢	$411	0xee813d…