Suburban-Tatami — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.62K

Unrealized P&L

+$136

Hit rate

62.7%

Resolved

Trades

334

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$217

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-24 02:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

50% 70% +$936

Politics

28% 56% +$674

Sports

17% 75% +$490

Tech

4% 0% -$480

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	-150	-$142	98¢	$-146	-$4	07-03 20:47
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	-443	-$44	11¢	$-49	-$4	05-24 15:49
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	Yes	-490	-$153	4¢	$-21	+$132	05-24 15:56
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	-1	-$1	96¢	$-1	$0	06-27 10:43
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	-17	-$13	2¢	$-0	+$12	05-26 20:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the february meeting	24	$991	2,647	168	+2,480	No	-$598	02-12 15:36
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the february meeting	20	$891	1,500	400	+1,100	Yes	+$677	02-12 12:33
pelosi vs sp january	10	$743	1,521	355	+1,166	Pelosi	-$429	01-23 03:06
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	1	$626	0	728	-728	Yes	+$626	08-24 02:21
Don Lemon charges dropped?	26	$617	866	958	-92	No	+$145	02-22 11:54
will xai or x run an ad during super bowl lx	1	$470	587	0	+587	No	+$117	02-08 21:22
will perplexity run an ad during super bowl lx	1	$439	563	0	+563	No	+$124	02-08 21:17
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	9	$424	781	739	+41	No	+$122	02-14 12:59
will apple run an ad during super bowl lx	19	$421	905	534	+371	Yes	-$80	02-08 22:40
another us government shutdown by february 14	17	$386	500	727	-227	No	-$351	02-11 23:27
will israel strike lebanon on january 19 2026	13	$364	427	415	+12	Yes	+$14	01-18 13:49
will spacex have 11 or more launches in february	9	$354	1,246	103	+1,143	Yes	-$267	02-16 01:44
will artemis ii launch by february 28	5	$354	310	310	+0	No	+$261	02-05 07:35
will russia join the board of peace	1	$345	664	0	+664	No	+$319	01-24 00:43
north korea missile launch by january 31 661	4	$342	670	0	+670	Yes	+$328	01-10 19:04
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	6	$337	400	100	+300	No	+$83	01-14 22:58
stefon diggs arrested by march 31	4	$329	1,113	0	+1,113	No	-$329	01-13 20:19
will israel strike lebanon on january 18 2026	19	$320	855	855	+0	No	-$10	01-18 20:36
FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	29	$306	463	50	+413	No	+$166	05-29 15:31
will trump and machado hug by friday	2	$290	300	75	+225	No	+$71	01-14 09:18
transgender women be banned from the olympics before winter games	37	$281	330	1,171	-841	No	+$176	02-01 11:17
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	5	$280	400	200	+200	No	-$84	01-16 06:36
will allstate run an ad during super bowl lx	4	$256	312	43	+269	No	+$67	02-04 21:58
will verizonvisible run an ad during super bowl lx	3	$250	333	0	+333	No	+$83	02-08 21:44
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	5	$247	200	100	+100	No	+$18	01-18 14:28
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	7	$216	248	148	+100	No	+$43	01-14 22:28
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	4	$214	702	0	+702	Yes	-$214	02-02 05:49
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	5	$193	151	641	-490	open	—	05-24 15:56
will trump talk to xi jinping in february	2	$192	430	0	+430	Yes	+$238	02-02 05:51
will epstein data set 13 be released by	4	$182	200	0	+200	No	+$18	02-02 18:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 02:23:46	US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?	No	SELL	64	83¢	$53	0x99df42…
08-24 02:21:06	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	SELL	728	86¢	$626	0x5644d2…
07-03 20:47:20	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	150	95¢	$142	0xe06856…
06-27 10:43:46	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x880ca5…
06-27 10:39:34	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	572	1¢	$6	0x66984e…
05-29 15:31:40	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd4d8cd…
05-29 11:50:57	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0a18f9…
05-29 10:51:34	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x365c35…
05-27 20:51:51	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xaf5a35…
05-27 20:48:05	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x700a33…
05-27 18:50:10	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x9722f0…
05-27 18:03:32	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbbb2fc…
05-27 13:06:47	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5049c7…
05-27 13:06:02	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x99cd1b…
05-27 11:53:35	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb6d48d…
05-27 11:20:27	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x460b4c…
05-27 11:05:11	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7fe3ed…
05-27 09:44:33	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x246fd1…
05-27 09:20:34	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb48b3b…
05-27 08:47:40	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0800b0…
05-27 07:07:39	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x480cdc…
05-27 02:21:44	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x69687f…
05-27 00:32:30	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x511af8…
05-27 00:03:24	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0xacb9e0…
05-26 20:31:23	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x159e1d…
05-26 12:58:56	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x0f9b9a…
05-26 10:30:10	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	38	60¢	$23	0x010b6d…
05-26 10:29:08	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x1ed2b5…
05-26 10:27:13	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xfd0730…
05-26 10:25:16	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x3d58ae…
05-26 10:19:13	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xe47c24…
05-26 10:14:02	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xcead85…
05-26 09:53:56	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x9a0133…
05-26 09:40:42	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0xdd071c…
05-26 08:46:11	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xc92cb7…
05-24 19:21:52	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x8b8695…
05-24 19:11:59	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	12	76¢	$10	0x071b0f…
05-24 19:01:13	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0xe618f2…
05-24 15:56:27	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	Yes	SELL	41	36¢	$15	0x25236a…
05-24 15:55:52	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0x148f61…
05-24 15:55:32	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0xea47c0…
05-24 15:55:10	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0x54c127…
05-24 15:53:00	Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	Yes	BUY	151	13¢	$20	0xdadbe8…
05-24 15:49:56	Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes	SELL	443	10¢	$44	0xa2ff64…
05-24 15:49:13	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	181	98¢	$178	0xce44f7…
02-22 11:54:10	Don Lemon charges dropped?	Yes	SELL	32	47¢	$15	0x418103…
02-22 01:52:44	Don Lemon charges dropped?	Yes	SELL	64	49¢	$31	0x034800…
02-22 01:10:06	Don Lemon charges dropped?	Yes	SELL	32	48¢	$15	0xfa01d4…
02-16 01:44:49	will spacex have 11 or more launches in february	No	BUY	329	6¢	$20	0xe72965…
02-14 12:59:09	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0xec6b34…
02-13 19:55:11	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	SELL	22	36¢	$8	0xe51d85…
02-13 19:32:23	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x875a64…
02-13 18:42:33	khamenei public appearance by february 21 2026	No	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0x34f72e…
02-13 15:49:53	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	SELL	100	37¢	$37	0xd9aea6…
02-13 15:49:05	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	SELL	344	37¢	$129	0x64b1de…
02-13 15:47:31	will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	No	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0x0da1e6…
02-12 19:44:47	will trump talk to mrbeast in february	No	SELL	37	99¢	$36	0xcb5bab…
02-12 15:36:45	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	BUY	170	36¢	$61	0x7f0aa4…
02-12 15:36:39	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	BUY	165	36¢	$59	0xe86110…
02-12 15:36:39	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	BUY	65	36¢	$23	0xd6becf…
02-12 15:27:51	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xfbfe77…
02-12 12:33:11	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	SELL	114	59¢	$67	0x61f810…
02-12 12:33:11	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	BUY	108	40¢	$43	0x1bbee6…
02-12 12:33:09	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	BUY	92	40¢	$37	0x6ca3a7…
02-12 12:27:57	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	SELL	58	59¢	$34	0xd6ab10…
02-12 12:26:39	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	BUY	82	40¢	$33	0xc57776…
02-12 12:19:07	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	SELL	28	59¢	$16	0x50c30c…
02-12 12:18:29	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0x89cca2…
02-12 12:15:07	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	SELL	75	58¢	$44	0x8d9aa8…
02-12 12:14:43	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the february meeting	No	BUY	147	58¢	$85	0x7e5ff4…
02-12 12:14:41	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the february meeting	No	BUY	49	58¢	$28	0x323427…
02-12 12:14:27	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	SELL	26	58¢	$15	0x9169f9…
02-12 12:13:19	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0xc4ea42…
02-12 12:11:49	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	SELL	90	58¢	$52	0xf47907…
02-12 03:11:37	will trump talk to mrbeast in february	No	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x9eccbb…
02-11 23:27:35	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	35	18¢	$6	0x0f2630…
02-11 23:27:03	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xa27f8c…
02-11 23:25:55	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0xbfe76d…
02-11 23:25:53	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0xf86898…
02-11 23:23:47	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0xf2c5a6…
02-11 23:23:25	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	29	18¢	$5	0x5f723d…
02-11 23:23:03	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x0a9fec…
02-11 23:22:55	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x7cde64…
02-11 23:22:45	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	283	18¢	$51	0x02f5a2…
02-11 23:19:33	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x83baca…
02-11 23:18:25	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x3519ea…
02-11 23:15:05	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0x99e4b4…
02-11 23:13:19	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	111	18¢	$20	0xda0200…
02-11 23:07:37	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xcacdac…
02-11 23:06:43	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xbdba0f…
02-11 23:02:15	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	144	18¢	$26	0xe08811…
02-08 22:40:09	will apple run an ad during super bowl lx	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x3d29f5…
02-08 22:39:51	will apple run an ad during super bowl lx	No	SELL	62	32¢	$20	0x3d21bb…
02-08 22:37:01	will apple run an ad during super bowl lx	No	SELL	115	32¢	$37	0x647ce4…
02-08 22:36:49	will apple run an ad during super bowl lx	No	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0xd0819f…
02-08 22:36:39	will apple run an ad during super bowl lx	No	SELL	210	32¢	$67	0x9136a0…
02-08 22:36:27	will apple run an ad during super bowl lx	No	SELL	133	32¢	$43	0x368a17…
02-08 22:34:51	will apple run an ad during super bowl lx	No	BUY	47	28¢	$13	0x3355b0…
02-08 22:34:27	will apple run an ad during super bowl lx	No	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xafca0e…
02-08 21:44:55	will verizonvisible run an ad during super bowl lx	No	BUY	110	70¢	$77	0x3fde72…