Enchanted-Bargain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$780

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

356

Trades

754

lifetime

Volume

$352.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$467

Open exposure

$290

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-03 20:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Other

71% 60% +$20,348

Politics

17% 59% +$1,723

Crypto

11% 65% +$3,938

Tech

1% 50% +$142

Sports

1% 0% -$2,000

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	Yes		+213	$100	80¢	$169	+$69	11-03 20:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+6,929	$970	2¢	$121	-$849	07-01 19:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	37	$36.4K	26,648	18,900	+7,748	No	+$5,802	03-26 20:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$21.7K	12,805	12,805	+0	Yes	-$1,323	04-07 21:03
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	23	$15.2K	21,042	603	+20,440	No	+$5,989	02-03 10:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	5	$13.0K	21,446	0	+21,446	No	+$8,396	04-07 23:08
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	6	$12.0K	13,823	0	+13,823	No	+$1,832	01-25 09:00
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	23	$11.5K	11,679	9,312	+2,367	Yes	+$1,546	04-07 22:42
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	7	$8.8K	9,254	1,828	+7,426	No	+$1,599	07-01 01:34
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	6	$8.7K	5,266	5,266	+0	No	+$741	03-29 14:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	5	$8.0K	4,459	4,441	+18	No	-$29	04-18 15:07
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	4	$6.2K	4,517	2,258	+2,259	Down	+$496	05-06 12:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	4	$6.1K	3,641	3,615	+26	No	+$111	04-25 16:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$5.9K	5,333	5,280	+53	Yes	-$2,126	04-07 22:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	2	$5.4K	3,448	3,448	+0	No	+$1,444	08-28 15:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	4	$5.2K	4,443	2,907	+1,536	No	+$820	04-08 12:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	4	$5.0K	5,955	1,547	+4,408	No	+$1,546	05-07 17:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	4	$5.0K	5,360	1,321	+4,039	No	+$1,094	05-05 10:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	3	$5.0K	7,515	0	+7,515	No	+$2,545	05-14 16:51
will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	3	$4.9K	6,509	1,385	+5,124	No	+$2,266	06-10 13:01
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	7	$4.5K	3,401	3,401	+0	No	+$103	04-23 10:10
wti up or down on april 22 2026	2	$4.3K	2,471	2,452	+19	Up	+$348	04-22 17:46
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	5	$4.2K	5,551	1,159	+4,392	Up	-$3,704	05-07 18:08
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	5	$4.2K	4,146	1,278	+2,868	No	+$1,046	03-29 11:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	2	$4.1K	2,275	2,264	+11	No	+$119	04-18 15:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$4.1K	2,342	2,342	+0	No	+$78	05-03 20:46
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$3.9K	2,554	2,554	+0	No	+$33	01-24 12:37
us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	2	$3.0K	4,348	0	+4,348	No	+$1,348	04-02 09:06
will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	2	$3.0K	3,670	0	+3,670	No	+$690	06-19 18:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	3	$3.0K	4,557	0	+4,557	No	+$1,587	08-24 19:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	1	$2.9K	4,408	0	+4,408	No	+$1,458	05-06 10:32
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	3	$2.9K	2,447	1,240	+1,207	Down	+$146	05-08 16:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 20:47:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xfe21b2…
11-03 13:56:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0x01b545…
11-03 10:50:13	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,299	77¢	$1,000	0x8e027f…
11-02 15:51:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	142	71¢	$100	0x87bd3d…
10-30 15:31:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	237	76¢	$180	0x59db28…
10-28 08:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x535cf7…
10-21 14:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xbf1eb8…
10-21 14:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x5e6f48…
10-21 09:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	36	61¢	$22	0xd61d0b…
10-21 09:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x8dae75…
10-21 09:11:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-21 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa40326…
10-21 08:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x0c2e2b…
10-21 08:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x96c9c1…
10-21 08:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x97a723…
10-20 21:06:30	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $348 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0xf3a745…
10-20 21:05:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xf51bc3…
10-18 14:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	132	85¢	$112	0x58eac0…
10-18 14:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x00501f…
10-16 20:03:41	wti closes above 99 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	150	65¢	$97	0xb7980c…
10-16 14:26:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x5f963e…
10-16 11:53:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:50 UTC	Down	SELL	79	87¢	$69	0x378535…
10-16 11:50:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x69aadc…
10-15 15:38:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0xef3ea6…
10-14 18:34:09	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	278	35¢	$97	0x74bc67…
10-14 17:37:09	Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x431a77…
10-13 13:42:10	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	226	92¢	$208	0x776b67…
10-13 12:36:08	Will Gemini Argon be released on October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	226	88¢	$200	0x22fb00…
10-12 15:06:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on October 12?	No	BUY	138	65¢	$90	0xabdf93…
10-12 14:30:45	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on October 12?	No	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0xded7e8…
10-09 21:35:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	No	BUY	2,974	66¢	$1,950	0x50a685…
10-08 14:43:44	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8?	No	BUY	220	74¢	$163	0x5a5ae9…
10-08 14:42:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8?	No	BUY	150	73¢	$110	0x8cb6e5…
10-07 10:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	25	85¢	$21	0xfd0277…
10-07 10:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x5bc0ab…
10-07 10:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x983fda…
10-06 13:48:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	257	74¢	$190	0x0567bf…
10-05 12:49:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	310	58¢	$180	0x716cc3…
09-23 16:07:10	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	No	SELL	1,098	95¢	$1,039	0x09c2e6…
09-23 15:56:47	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xfaba76…
09-23 14:19:42	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	No	BUY	213	23¢	$50	0xa0164e…
09-22 19:49:28	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x3418ea…
09-22 15:54:39	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xeccd09…
09-21 15:50:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	No	SELL	651	29¢	$188	0x0abb41…
09-21 13:40:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	136	73¢	$100	0x3f2413…
09-21 13:13:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	251	80¢	$200	0xa2edbb…
09-21 13:09:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0xd6fa7f…
09-21 13:09:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x0a4c0c…
09-20 22:22:59	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?	No	BUY	1,098	91¢	$1,000	0x7aafdf…
09-20 15:41:00	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	435	92¢	$400	0x222163…
09-20 11:36:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?	No	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0xf6fdca…
09-20 10:14:43	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0x2a40d5…
09-20 09:59:18	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x130f2f…
09-20 09:57:55	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x848e8d…
09-17 22:49:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 22:45 UTC	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x16d5aa…
09-17 22:48:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x0e340f…
09-17 15:04:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 15:00 UTC	Down	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0xb875ce…
09-17 15:02:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x3cf072…
09-17 14:24:31	wti closes above 98 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0x5dec5c…
09-16 18:31:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	No	BUY	690	72¢	$500	0x6861e6…
09-16 18:25:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20?	No	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0x229526…
09-16 13:00:04	wti closes above 103 on september 16 2026	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xe94962…
09-14 16:04:39	will bitcoin reach 79k on september 14 2026	No	BUY	186	51¢	$95	0xcfe5ec…
09-14 15:52:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on September 14?	No	BUY	251	78¢	$195	0xbc8ca7…
09-11 17:23:24	wti closes above 100 on september 11 2026	No	BUY	148	64¢	$95	0x2eb4b4…
09-11 15:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x10b943…
09-10 14:10:42	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	1,401	71¢	$1,000	0x761903…
09-10 11:28:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	1,509	63¢	$950	0xcebca4…
09-10 11:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	106	98¢	$104	0x984be4…
09-10 11:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x12ef5e…
08-31 19:40:21	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026 from august 28	No	BUY	1,188	84¢	$998	0x586a97…
08-28 15:44:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	No	SELL	3,448	100¢	$3,444	0x19e3f0…
08-27 12:40:46	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	No	BUY	1,601	62¢	$990	0xb6bf3f…
08-24 19:51:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	No	BUY	1,419	70¢	$990	0x8beac3…
08-19 20:03:16	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x66a65c…
08-19 20:02:21	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	1,432	69¢	$990	0x1cd210…
08-18 12:49:21	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	1,706	58¢	$990	0xff6455…
08-17 12:09:15	wti up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	358	53¢	$190	0x89034c…
08-14 09:27:00	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	BUY	3,448	58¢	$2,000	0x5be59a…
08-13 10:47:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xbb6c97…
08-11 19:09:28	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	33	92¢	$30	0x685760…
08-11 19:07:49	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x466dac…
08-11 14:09:15	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	27	85¢	$23	0x879316…
08-11 14:08:16	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x364c53…
08-10 22:04:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xac9e02…
08-10 22:00:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7d41b4…
08-10 18:23:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 18:20 UTC	Up	SELL	112	95¢	$107	0x161b9c…
08-10 18:22:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xcd08c0…
08-09 10:45:18	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Down	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0x0c7ed7…
08-09 10:43:31	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Down	BUY	275	73¢	$200	0x55543e…
08-08 20:03:13	Solana Up or Down - August 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	29	92¢	$27	0xaaa721…
08-08 20:03:01	Solana Up or Down - August 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xc94430…
08-08 12:49:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	228	88¢	$200	0x32bef0…
08-07 20:53:42	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	429	42¢	$180	0x676230…
08-07 20:53:31	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	275	69¢	$190	0x30a7d3…
08-07 20:52:00	bitcoin up or down on august 8 2026	Down	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xe2ed6b…
08-07 20:50:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 8 2026	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x9ecbc0…
08-07 20:48:36	will bitcoin reach 66k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0xa75c99…
08-07 18:40:09	wti closes above 77 on august 7 2026	No	SELL	310	2¢	$6	0xcfa083…
08-07 12:52:09	wti closes above 77 on august 7 2026	No	BUY	310	58¢	$180	0x696230…
08-07 12:52:07	wti closes above 77 on august 7 2026	Yes	SELL	383	42¢	$161	0xc702fb…