Enchanted-Bargain — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2.33K

Unrealized P&L

-$1.08K

Hit rate

78.0%

Resolved (90d)

143

Trades (90d)

349

1,027 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$44.9K

$373.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$364

Open exposure

$2.94K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-15 10:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 147 days

Categories

Other

68% 60% +$20,275

Politics

16% 61% +$2,021

Crypto

15% 69% +$3,262

Tech

1% 50% +$142

Sports

1% 0% -$2,000

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 70 20260618224014045	Yes	+1,021	$1,000	99¢	$1.0K	+$16	06-25 09:21
Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	No	+1,114	$1,000	84¢	$933	-$67	11-13 16:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in November?	No	+1,544	$950	58¢	$896	-$54	11-13 15:46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+6,929	$970	1¢	$94	-$876	07-01 19:22
will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046	Yes	+177	$100	2¢	$4	-$96	06-24 10:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	37	$36.4K	26,648	18,900	+7,748	No	+$5,802	03-26 20:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$21.7K	12,805	12,805	+0	Yes	-$1,323	04-07 21:03
will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	23	$15.2K	21,042	603	+20,440	No	+$5,989	02-03 10:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	5	$13.0K	21,446	0	+21,446	No	+$8,396	04-07 23:08
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	6	$12.0K	13,823	0	+13,823	No	+$1,832	01-25 09:00
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	23	$11.5K	11,679	9,312	+2,367	Yes	+$1,546	04-07 22:42
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	7	$8.8K	9,254	1,828	+7,426	No	+$1,599	07-01 01:34
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	6	$8.7K	5,266	5,266	+0	No	+$741	03-29 14:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	5	$8.0K	4,459	4,441	+18	No	-$29	04-18 15:07
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	4	$6.2K	4,517	2,258	+2,259	Down	+$496	05-06 12:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	4	$6.1K	3,641	3,615	+26	No	+$111	04-25 16:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$5.9K	5,333	5,280	+53	Yes	-$2,126	04-07 22:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?	2	$5.4K	3,448	3,448	+0	No	+$1,444	08-28 15:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	4	$5.2K	4,443	2,907	+1,536	No	+$820	04-08 12:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	4	$5.0K	5,955	1,547	+4,408	No	+$1,546	05-07 17:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	4	$5.0K	5,360	1,321	+4,039	No	+$1,094	05-05 10:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	3	$5.0K	7,515	0	+7,515	No	+$2,545	05-14 16:51
will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	3	$4.9K	6,509	1,385	+5,124	No	+$2,266	06-10 13:01
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	7	$4.5K	3,401	3,401	+0	No	+$103	04-23 10:10
wti up or down on april 22 2026	2	$4.3K	2,471	2,452	+19	Up	+$348	04-22 17:46
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?	5	$4.2K	5,551	1,159	+4,392	Up	-$3,704	05-07 18:08
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	5	$4.2K	4,146	1,278	+2,868	No	+$1,046	03-29 11:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	2	$4.1K	2,275	2,264	+11	No	+$119	04-18 15:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$4.1K	2,342	2,342	+0	No	+$78	05-03 20:46
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$3.9K	2,554	2,554	+0	No	+$33	01-24 12:37
us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	2	$3.0K	4,348	0	+4,348	No	+$1,348	04-02 09:06
will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	2	$3.0K	3,670	0	+3,670	No	+$690	06-19 18:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?	3	$3.0K	4,557	0	+4,557	No	+$1,587	08-24 19:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	1	$2.9K	4,408	0	+4,408	No	+$1,458	05-06 10:32
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	3	$2.9K	2,447	1,240	+1,207	Down	+$146	05-08 16:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 10:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	707	99¢	$700	0xedcda8…
11-14 17:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xe46fa2…
11-14 17:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	82¢	$25	0x8fa145…
11-14 11:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	707	99¢	$700	0xc693ba…
11-14 11:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x870f9a…
11-14 11:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x411e20…
11-14 11:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x9676eb…
11-14 11:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xbfdd00…
11-14 11:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x245a0a…
11-14 11:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xf14fad…
11-14 11:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xde8807…
11-14 11:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xeda9bd…
11-14 11:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x8cffc2…
11-14 10:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0f4402…
11-14 10:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1fe52d…
11-14 10:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0xa23fa8…
11-14 10:49:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 November 9-15?	No	BUY	832	58¢	$480	0x7adb9a…
11-13 19:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x478b5d…
11-13 19:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x3c8c3a…
11-13 19:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x581621…
11-13 19:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xf477ed…
11-13 19:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xadba63…
11-13 16:17:22	Will there be no new be CEO of NVIDIA by December 31, 2028?	No	BUY	1,114	90¢	$1,000	0xf051ed…
11-13 15:46:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in November?	No	BUY	1,544	62¢	$950	0xc491d4…
11-13 15:26:27	SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down on November 13?	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xe0fd03…
11-13 13:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x75d236…
11-13 12:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	37	63¢	$24	0xa140f2…
11-13 12:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xa7f013…
11-13 12:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xab4121…
11-13 12:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x622b04…
11-13 11:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xbcbc9e…
11-13 11:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xd5af14…
11-13 11:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x79ea2b…
11-13 11:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x4c10f2…
11-13 11:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xdb0410…
11-13 11:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x5e9c54…
11-13 11:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x0a21eb…
11-13 10:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x630827…
11-13 10:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xb76dd1…
11-13 10:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x70a5c9…
11-13 10:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xe21741…
11-13 10:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x85846e…
11-13 10:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x367ef8…
11-13 10:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x9dc9e7…
11-13 10:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x00c1f4…
11-13 10:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x1571d7…
11-13 10:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x40445f…
11-13 10:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xce404c…
11-13 10:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x7254c9…
11-13 10:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xe1c195…
11-13 10:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x7ad9ff…
11-13 10:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	140	99¢	$138	0x028e8a…
11-13 10:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x607da6…
11-13 10:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x036ece…
11-13 10:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x81028a…
11-13 10:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x389495…
11-13 10:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x1e6a9f…
11-13 10:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x97df82…
11-13 10:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xa51db4…
11-13 01:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	157	95¢	$149	0x705042…
11-13 01:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x165926…
11-13 01:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x7329fc…
11-13 01:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x23caba…
11-13 01:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x337459…
11-13 01:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x1cbaa8…
11-13 01:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xc84f5a…
11-13 01:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x023fc7…
11-12 22:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	97	91¢	$88	0x8c7ee4…
11-12 22:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x6f4d15…
11-12 22:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x84c713…
11-12 20:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	63	92¢	$58	0x0b3166…
11-12 20:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x3c6fce…
11-12 20:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x49e754…
11-12 19:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xf2b9b0…
11-12 19:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x44e521…
11-12 19:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xb73eff…
11-12 19:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xa6f1fc…
11-12 16:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x345c72…
11-12 16:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xee2821…
11-12 16:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xd47cb7…
11-12 16:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xc6712d…
11-12 16:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x68b55e…
11-12 15:36:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on November 12?	No	BUY	137	37¢	$50	0x244809…
11-12 11:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x56658f…
11-12 11:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xec72d8…
11-12 10:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	707	99¢	$700	0x44a1c9…
11-12 10:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xcc1e90…
11-12 10:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x60fd24…
11-12 10:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0xa2dba1…
11-12 10:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x488986…
11-12 10:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	714	98¢	$700	0x69de1b…
11-11 20:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa21ca7…
11-11 20:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xf2c547…
11-11 20:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x88f404…
11-11 20:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x8d8c09…
11-11 20:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xfe0069…
11-11 20:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xeb4947…
11-11 20:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xae7575…
11-11 20:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xec05e8…
11-11 20:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x4905ba…