Mellow-Tectonics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$264

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 07-08 00:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 100% +$9

Other

46% 93% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	2	$602	309	309	+0	No	-$13	04-25 13:08
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$588	296	296	+0	No	+$0	05-07 02:36
bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	1	$310	310	0	+310	No	+$0	07-08 00:08
bitcoin above 54k on june 29 2026	1	$307	307	0	+307	Yes	+$0	06-29 05:57
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	1	$307	308	0	+308	No	+$1	04-23 21:24
bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	1	$307	307	0	+307	Yes	+$0	06-28 07:42
bitcoin above 70k on april 23	1	$307	307	0	+307	Yes	+$0	04-22 19:36
bitcoin above 82k on april 22	1	$306	307	0	+307	No	+$0	04-21 20:53
bitcoin above 82k on april 21	1	$306	306	0	+306	No	+$1	04-20 21:08
bitcoin above 82k on april 20	1	$305	306	0	+306	No	+$1	04-19 17:10
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	1	$305	306	0	+306	No	+$1	06-19 14:41
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	1	$305	306	0	+306	No	+$1	06-23 14:08
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	1	$304	305	0	+305	No	+$1	06-16 23:16
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	1	$301	301	0	+301	No	+$0	06-09 02:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 20?	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	05-21 01:27
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	1	$300	304	0	+304	No	+$4	06-13 12:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	1	$299	299	0	+299	No	+$0	05-19 21:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	1	$299	299	0	+299	Yes	+$0	05-18 21:03
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	1	$299	306	0	+306	No	+$7	04-18 14:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	1	$298	299	0	+299	No	+$1	05-17 20:33
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	1	$297	298	0	+298	No	+$1	05-15 21:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$296	297	0	+297	No	+$0	05-13 20:33
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$296	297	0	+297	No	+$1	05-14 21:53
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$295	296	0	+296	No	+$1	05-11 18:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	1	$295	296	0	+296	Yes	+$1	05-09 20:28
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$294	294	0	+294	No	+$0	05-05 22:11
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$294	294	0	+294	No	+$0	05-08 02:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	1	$294	294	0	+294	Yes	+$0	05-04 18:19
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$293	293	0	+293	No	+$0	04-30 05:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	1	$238	238	0	+238	Yes	+$0	05-21 17:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 00:08:56	bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	310	100¢	$310	0x38807e…
07-06 23:40:11	bitcoin above 58k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	160	100¢	$159	0xc43623…
07-06 23:38:37	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x865871…
07-02 09:22:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 2?	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x730e2c…
07-02 09:19:37	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x584e7f…
07-01 12:11:14	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 1?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x865136…
07-01 12:09:25	will bitcoin dip to 54k on july 1	No	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0xa2a840…
06-30 04:32:37	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	158	100¢	$157	0x611a5f…
06-30 04:31:10	bitcoin above 56k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x027a30…
06-29 05:57:23	bitcoin above 54k on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	307	100¢	$307	0xab1577…
06-28 07:42:59	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	307	100¢	$307	0xa11805…
06-23 14:08:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	306	100¢	$305	0x4b15bd…
06-19 14:41:04	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	306	100¢	$305	0x1b77be…
06-16 23:16:22	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	305	100¢	$304	0xf6dce8…
06-13 12:40:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0x656878…
06-09 02:44:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$301	0xf95765…
05-21 17:12:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xfbd768…
05-21 17:11:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	238	100¢	$238	0x9753dd…
05-21 01:27:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x032882…
05-19 21:50:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	299	100¢	$299	0xc80928…
05-18 21:03:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	299	100¢	$299	0xed8e79…
05-17 20:33:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	299	100¢	$298	0x0ee298…
05-15 21:07:53	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	298	100¢	$297	0xf91822…
05-14 21:53:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	297	100¢	$296	0x370517…
05-13 20:33:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	297	100¢	$296	0xf4e174…
05-11 18:33:28	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	296	100¢	$295	0x5054ee…
05-09 20:28:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	296	100¢	$295	0x4797f0…
05-08 02:03:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	294	100¢	$294	0xd94ad3…
05-07 02:36:22	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	296	99¢	$294	0xfaa05a…
05-06 22:50:51	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	296	99¢	$294	0x0ad334…
05-05 22:11:44	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	294	100¢	$294	0x9790b3…
05-04 18:19:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	294	100¢	$294	0x41135b…
04-30 05:52:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	293	100¢	$293	0x68cf5f…
04-25 13:08:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	SELL	309	95¢	$295	0x783c2a…
04-24 21:05:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	309	99¢	$308	0x560c27…
04-23 21:24:54	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	No	BUY	308	100¢	$307	0xe5faac…
04-22 19:36:42	bitcoin above 70k on april 23	Yes	BUY	307	100¢	$307	0x76f2b1…
04-21 20:53:38	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	307	100¢	$306	0xaa44cd…
04-20 21:08:42	bitcoin above 82k on april 21	No	BUY	306	100¢	$306	0xe1ba68…
04-19 17:10:00	bitcoin above 82k on april 20	No	BUY	306	100¢	$305	0x1e3e97…
04-18 14:12:52	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	No	BUY	306	98¢	$299	0x8354d8…